Flight profile · United Airlines

UA1616

Nashville (BNA) to Chicago (ORD) · scheduled 12:55 PM – 2:50 PM

This page describes how UA1616 has historically performed, which is a different and more useful question when you are deciding what to book. The live position below is a reading from receivers on the ground, not flight status. For today’s status, check with United Airlines.

How UA1616 performs

689 operations, January 2024 – July 2026.

On-time arrivals
85.1%
579 of 680 completed
Cancellation rate
1.02%
7 cancelled
Median arrival delay
-7 min
Average 5.6 min
Severe delays
5.7%
Arrived 60+ minutes late
Delay when late
91 min
Average, when 15+ min late
Departure punctuality
88.3%
Left the gate on time

UA1616 arrived on time 85.1% of the time, against 76.1% for all BNA → ORD flights, so this departure is 9.0 percentage points better than the route as a whole. Against United Airlines’ own flights on this route it is 8.2 points better.

Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · 689 operations, January 2024 – July 2026 · If UA1616 is cancelled or significantly changed, DOT’s automatic refund rule may entitle you to your money back. The refund checker walks through eligibility.

Where UA1616 is right now

A live reading, only if you ask for it. It is not part of the reliability record above.

Ask for the position of UA1616 right now, if receivers on the ground are hearing it. Nothing is requested until you press the button.

Against the rest of the route

Against the rest of the route
Flight or routeOn timeCancelledMedian delaySevereFlights
UA161685.1%1.02%-7 min5.7%689
United Airlines on BNA → ORD76.9%1.56%-2 min8.2%3,593
All BNA → ORD flights76.1%1.91%-4 min9.6%15,001

Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · January 2024 – July 2026

Why UA1616 runs late

Where US DOT attributed the delay minutes on this flight.

Share of the delay minutes US DOT attributed to each cause for UA1616 on BNA → ORD. Only delays of 15 minutes or more are attributed.

Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Data covering January 2024 – July 2026

Does a late aircraft delay this flight?

How often the plane that flies UA1616 comes in late, and what that does to the departure.

Inbound aircraft late
10%
63 of 634 departures came in 15+ minutes late
Scheduled time on the ground
67 minutes
Median at BNA between the inbound and this departure

The aircraft flying UA1616 came in 15 or more minutes late on 10% of the departures where its previous flight is known. There are not enough departures in both groups to say how the flight left after a late one and after an on-time one.

Each departure is matched to the flight the same aircraft flew into BNA just before it, using the tail number in the DOT file, 634 of 682 departures in all. A departure is left out when that flight is unknown, was cancelled or diverted, or the aircraft had sat for more than 12 hours. A flight the airline cancelled never left and is not in the count, and one flown by a substitute aircraft is matched to the aircraft that flew it, not to the one first planned.

Against the network at the same turn length

UA1616 against all flights with a scheduled turn of 60 to 89 minutes
Share of departuresInbound landed 15+ late
UA161610%
Network, same turn17%

The schedule leaves a normal turn: enough time to clean and board if the aircraft is on time, little to spare if it is not.

The network row is every flight with a scheduled turn of 60 to 89 minutes. How often UA1616’s aircraft landed 15 or more minutes late is lower than the network’s. There are not enough departures in both groups to compare how it left.

More: Which Flight Numbers Pay for a Late Aircraft lists the flight numbers that pass a late aircraft on.

Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Data covering January 2024 – July 2026

From pushback to gate

When it leaves BNA late, does that still matter by the time it reaches ORD?

Leaves the gate
8.6 minutes late
Average over 682 pushbacks
Taxi out at BNA
19.2 min
15.1 min for the airport in this hour
Taxi in at ORD
16.8 min
17.8 min for a typical ORD arrival
Reaches the gate at ORD
5.6 minutes late
Average over 680 arrivals

UA1616 pushes back an average of 8.6 minutes late and reaches the gate at ORD an average of 5.6 minutes late. The 3.0 minutes between those two figures are slack the published schedule already carries, which is why a late pushback on this flight does not reliably become a late arrival. It spends 19.2 minutes on the taxiways at BNA, 4.1 minutes longer than a typical BNA departure in the same hour.

On arrival at ORD, UA1616 spends 16.8 min taxiing from touchdown to the gate — ground time a connecting passenger sits through before they can even leave the aircraft, on top of however late the flight itself ran. That is 1.0 minutes shorter than a typical ORD arrival (17.8 min).

Departure delay is averaged over every pushback and arrival delay over every completed arrival, so the two counts differ by the flights that never reached ORD. Taxi-out is gate to wheels up and sits inside the scheduled block rather than on top of it; the comparison is 19,170 departures from BNA scheduled in the clock hour UA1616 most often leaves in. Taxi-in is landing to gate, compared against every arrival FlyerIntel has on file at ORD (952,666 flights), not just UA1616’s own. More on taxi time.

Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · January 2024 – July 2026

The hour it leaves BNA

Part of any flight’s record belongs to the clock rather than to the flight. UA1616 has one departure time, so this is what that time is worth.

UA161685.1%
All BNA departures, 12 PM–1 PM82.1%
All BNA departures, whole day78.3%

On-time arrival rate. 19,170 departures from BNA are scheduled in the 12 PM–1 PM hour over the period, against 319,645 across the whole day.

UA1616 is scheduled out of BNA at 12:55 PM, in the 12 PM–1 PM bank. Departures from BNA in that hour arrive on time 82.1% of the time against 78.3% across the airport’s whole day — the slot alone is worth 3.8 points better before anything about this particular flight is considered.

The two airport figures cover every departure from BNA to every destination, so they describe the slot rather than this journey — the like-for-like comparison against the route is above. Hours are scheduled local, and a number whose schedule moved between banks inside the period has no single hour and is not described here at all. Why the hour matters.

Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · January 2024 – July 2026 · Hours below 120 departures are not scored.

Other routes UA1616 has flown

A flight number is a slot in a schedule, and carriers reassign it. These are the other city pairs this number served in the analysis period.

Other routes UA1616 has flown
RouteOperatedFlightsOn time
EWR→BNA Newark to NashvilleMay 21, 2026 – July 31, 202671—
ORD→PDX Chicago to PortlandDecember 19, 2024 – June 24, 202667—
ORD→LGA Chicago to New YorkMarch 7, 2024 – April 29, 202652—
ORD→PBI Chicago to West Palm BeachMarch 5–28, 202624—
ORD→RDU Chicago to Raleigh–DurhamJanuary 6, 2026 – March 4, 202652—
LAX→LAS Los Angeles to Las VegasJanuary 5, 20261—
RSW→DEN Fort Myers to DenverDecember 18, 2025 – January 4, 202615—
ORD→DEN Chicago to DenverDecember 2–17, 202516—
ORD→SNA Chicago to Santa AnaSeptember 25, 2025 – October 25, 202531—
ORD→GRR Chicago to Grand RapidsJune 26, 2025 – September 24, 20259064.4%
ORD→DCA Chicago to WashingtonFebruary 13, 2025 – June 25, 202510955.6%
ORD→IAD Chicago to WashingtonOctober 27, 2024 – December 2, 202436—
ORD→XNA Chicago to Fayetteville/Springdale/RogersJune 7, 20241—
ORD→BTV Chicago to BurlingtonFebruary 15, 2024 – March 6, 202421—
ORD→LAS Chicago to Las VegasJanuary 13, 2024 – February 12, 20242—
ORD→MIA Chicago to MiamiJanuary 11, 2024 – February 11, 202418—
MEM→DEN Memphis to DenverDecember 21, 2023 – January 8, 202419—
DEN→MEM Denver to MemphisJuly 1, 2023 – December 20, 202314390.1%
EWR→LAX Newark to Los AngelesOctober 29, 2023 – November 27, 202330—
IAH→DEN Houston to DenverJuly 1–31, 202331—

Because the same number has served different journeys, the statistics above describe only the route UA1616 currently operates. Blending them would produce an average of two different flights.

When it goes wrong

The average describes a usual day. This is the day that ruins a connection.

One arrival in ten is worse than

24 min late

against a median of 7 min early

Arrived an hour or more late5.7%
Typical delay when late91 min
Cancelled1.02%
Landed somewhere else0.29%

Percentiles over 689 operations; cancelled and diverted flights are counted separately.

Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Data covering January 2024 – July 2026

Other flights on this route

Same airports, same journey, different odds of arriving on time.

Other flights on this route
FlightAirlineOn timeMedian arrivalOperations
OO5741SkyWest Airlines88.6%8 min early923
UA1616 this flightUnited Airlines85.1%7 min early689

Every departure listed carries at least 600 operations, so the comparison is between figures that mean something. UA1616 is placed in the same ordering rather than left out of it; the rows around it are the most punctual departures on the route, not all of them, so this is a comparison and not a rank. Schedules change; confirm the departure still operates before booking around this.

Data and methodology

Calculated by FlyerIntel from 689 records of UA1616 operating BNA → ORD, published by the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics. A flight counts as delayed when it arrives 15 or more minutes after schedule. Cancelled and diverted flights are excluded from the on-time rate and reported separately. Flight numbers are resolved as carrier plus number plus route, because the same number serves different routes over time.

Full methodology · Data sources · Report a problem

Related research: Most and Least Reliable Flight Numbers · The Delay You Inherit · Making Up Time in the Air

Analysis last recomputed