Route profile
PHX→JFK
Flight reliability, delays and best times to fly from Phoenix to New York, 2,153 miles.
Right now
Aviation weather is not currently a factor.
Aviation weather is not currently a factor.
Route reliability
July 2023 – July 2026
Better than 36% of comparable major US routes (4,598 compared)
Calculated from 8,587 flights. How this is calculated
PHX → JFK arrives on time 78.8% of the time; the return trip, JFK → PHX, arrives on time 79.9% of the time.
PHX → JFK spends 27.7 minutes on the ground on a 2,153-mile trip: 16.6 minutes from pushback to wheels-up at PHX and 11.2 minutes from touchdown to gate at JFK.
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Data covering July 2023 – July 2026
What stands out
This route has stayed remarkably steady year over year, a smaller swing than 98% of 5,368 comparable routes.
79.9% on time over the most recent 12 months (2025-08 to 2026-07), against 79.8% in the 12 months before (2024-08 to 2025-07), virtually unchanged.
Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · July 2023 – July 2026 · Ranked against every other route with the same kind of figure and at least 5,368 in the comparison.
What sets this route apart
Where PHX to JFK differs most from similar routes by hour, weekday, month and airline, July 2023 – July 2026.
PHX to JFK struggles most at 2 PM: 64.7% of its flights scheduled then arrive on time, 10.4 points behind the 75.1% on routes of similar length at the same hour. Against all other routes the gap is 9.9 points.
PHX to JFK is at its best against routes of similar length for flights scheduled at 7 AM: 90.4% arrive on time, 4.1 points ahead of the 86.3% those routes manage at that hour.
In March, PHX to JFK runs 4.1 points below routes of similar length, 75.2% on time to 79.3%.
JetBlue’s flights on PHX to JFK arrive on time 69.5% of the time, 5.8 points below the 75.3% it manages on its routes of similar length. Against all other routes the gap is 2.7 points.
Delta Air Lines does better on PHX to JFK than on its routes of similar length: 85.7% on time here, 81.3% there, 4.4 points apart. Against all other routes the gap is 4.2 points.
PHX to JFK against comparable routes
July 2023 – July 2026| Measure | This route | Compared with | Them | Gap | Flights behind it |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hour: 2 PM departures | 64.7% | routes of similar length | 75.1% | −10.4 pts | 190 here, 37,570 there |
| Hour: 7 AM departures | 90.4% | routes of similar length | 86.3% | +4.1 pts | 354 here, 107,261 there |
| Month: March | 75.2% | routes of similar length | 79.3% | −4.1 pts | 769 here, 89,023 there |
| Airline: JetBlue | 69.5% | routes of similar length | 75.3% | −5.8 pts | 1,456 here, 77,836 there |
| Airline: Delta Air Lines | 85.7% | routes of similar length | 81.3% | +4.4 pts | 2,742 here, 277,273 there |
Each comparison pools the flights of other routes, with this route’s own left out. Similar length means within 15% of this route’s 2,153 miles, with at least 5 such routes. A bucket is set against the most comparable group that has enough flights: similar length, then the same origin (at least 3 routes), then all other routes. Hours, weekdays and months appear only where both sides have 120 completed flights, and airlines where both have 600. The gap must be at least 2 points and 2 standard errors, and only the largest gap each way is kept per measure. These are differences in the flights counted, not causes.
Why PHX → JFK flights are cancelled
July 2023 – July 2026
PHX → JFK cancelled 152 of 8,587 scheduled flights — about 1 in every 56. The reason filed most often was extreme weather, 62.5% of the cancellations coded on this route — about 1 in every 90 scheduled flights.
Share of cancellations
Of 152 cancelled departures carrying a reason code.
What each reason means
Conditions the carrier judged severe enough to stop the flight: a blizzard, a hurricane, a line of thunderstorms.
95 cancellations, 62.5% of the total.
Crew, maintenance, aircraft cleaning, baggage or fueling: what BTS counts as within the carrier’s own control.
41 cancellations, 27.0% of the total.
Airport capacity, air traffic control flow programs, heavy traffic and ordinary bad weather. A system decision, not the airline’s.
16 cancellations, 10.5% of the total.
A terminal evacuation, a security breach, screening equipment failure, or screening queues over 29 minutes.
0 cancellations, 0.0% of the total.
Reason codes are the operating airline’s own filing with US DOT, not an independent finding of fault. Ordinary bad weather is filed under air traffic, so weather’s full share is larger than its bar.
152 coded cancellations were recorded on PHX → JFK; the section appears from 50.
When it goes wrong
July 2023 – July 2026
45 min late
against a median of 9 min early
Percentiles over 8,587 operations; cancelled and diverted flights are counted separately.
Will your connection be tight enough?
Layovers at JFK after arriving from PHX.
| Connection time | Chance of missing | Reads as |
|---|---|---|
| 30 min | 35% | Likely to miss |
| 45 min | 21% | High risk |
| 60 min | 13% | Some risk |
| 90 min | 7.8% | Some risk |
| 120 min | 5.1% | Some risk |
This is one leg of a connection. Gate changes and the next flight's own schedule matter too. And a connection can fail before delay is even the question — this route cancels 1.77% of the time and diverts 0.59% of the time, which a late arrival never shows up in.
Chance of missing is the share of 8,384 arrivals on this route that landed later than the connection time less 30 minutes to reach the next gate.
The worst tenth of arrivals on this route land at least 45 minutes late (90th-percentile gate arrival delay), over 8,587 operations.
Any other layover length: connection checker.
Best time to fly
PHX → JFK flights departing 5–9 AM arrived on time 88.2% of the time, against 68.6% for 3–6 PM departures, a gap of 19.6 percentage points.
By departure window
By departure hour
- 12 AM to 5 AM: too few flights to score
- 6 AM: 91.7% on time from 831 flights
- 7 AM: 90.4% on time from 365 flights
- 8 AM: 81.5% on time from 594 flights
- 9 AM: 81.8% on time from 454 flights
- 10 AM: 69.4% on time from 125 flights
- 11 AM: 77.6% on time from 497 flights
- 12 PM: 73.2% on time from 1,010 flights
- 1 PM: 77.0% on time from 485 flights
- 2 PM: 64.7% on time from 191 flights
- 3 PM: 67.6% on time from 792 flights
- 4 PM: 70.3% on time from 359 flights
- 5 PM to 8 PM: too few flights to score
- 9 PM: 79.0% on time from 440 flights
- 10 PM: 82.9% on time from 836 flights
- 11 PM: 78.9% on time from 1,508 flights
Why PHX → JFK runs late
July 2023 – July 2026
crew, maintenance, boarding and fueling, all within the carrier’s control
the inbound aircraft was late, so this flight started late
airspace and airport capacity, including weather-driven flow control
weather severe enough to stop this flight specifically
screening or terminal security incidents
Share of the delay minutes US DOT attributed to each cause for PHX → JFK. Only delays of 15 minutes or more are attributed.
Airlines on this route
Carriers with at least 200 flights, by the airline that operated each one.
| Carrier | Flights | On time | Cancelled | Median delay | Severe |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| American Airlines | 4,280 | 77.4% | 1.50% | -7 min | 7.8% |
| Delta Air Lines | 2,811 | 85.7% | 1.81% | -14 min | 5.1% |
| JetBlue | 1,496 | 69.5% | 2.47% | -3 min | 13.5% |
American Airlines flew 49.8% of the 8,587 flights listed.
Delta Air Lines arrived on time 16.2 percentage points more often than JetBlue on this route.
Flights on this route
Flight numbers with at least 600 operations here and still on the schedule.
DL546 (6:00 AM) arrived on time 91.5% of the time, 29.6 points more often than B6136 (10:40 PM) at 61.9%.
Weekly and seasonal patterns
By day of week
Friday is historically the most reliable day and Sunday the least, a gap of 5.2 percentage points.
By month
- Jan: 82.0%
- Feb: 80.0%
- Mar: 75.2%
- Apr: 84.3%
- May: 79.7%
- Jun: 74.3%
- Jul: 69.5%
- Aug: 77.7%
- Sep: 84.0%
- Oct: 81.6%
- Nov: 81.2%
- Dec: 77.4%
July is historically the weakest month and April the strongest, a spread of 14.8 percentage points.
Reliability over time
July 2023 – July 2026
- July 2023: 66.1% from 184 flights
- August 2023: 74.9% from 186 flights
- September 2023: 78.0% from 180 flights
- October 2023: 86.0% from 259 flights
- November 2023: 80.6% from 249 flights
- December 2023: 76.2% from 231 flights
- January 2024: 77.6% from 225 flights
- February 2024: 81.4% from 218 flights
- March 2024: 75.7% from 237 flights
- April 2024: 85.0% from 227 flights
- May 2024: 73.3% from 235 flights
- June 2024: 68.2% from 200 flights
- July 2024: 64.6% from 203 flights
- August 2024: 72.1% from 193 flights
- September 2024: 88.1% from 194 flights
- October 2024: 79.8% from 233 flights
- November 2024: 84.2% from 253 flights
- December 2024: 80.4% from 245 flights
- January 2025: 92.0% from 239 flights
- February 2025: 80.1% from 220 flights
- March 2025: 78.2% from 257 flights
- April 2025: 77.6% from 242 flights
- May 2025: 78.5% from 238 flights
- June 2025: 74.4% from 204 flights
- July 2025: 70.3% from 202 flights
- August 2025: 85.4% from 203 flights
- September 2025: 85.6% from 197 flights
- October 2025: 78.4% from 235 flights
- November 2025: 78.6% from 247 flights
- December 2025: 75.6% from 270 flights
- January 2026: 76.7% from 276 flights
- February 2026: 78.7% from 247 flights
- March 2026: 72.0% from 289 flights
- April 2026: 89.6% from 279 flights
- May 2026: 86.4% from 268 flights
- June 2026: 78.9% from 257 flights
- July 2026: 75.3% from 265 flights
Over the most recent 12 months (2025-08 to 2026-07), on-time arrivals averaged 79.9% against 79.8% in the 12 months before — broadly unchanged.
Data and methodology
Calculated by FlyerIntel from 8,587 PHX → JFK flight records from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, covering July 2023 – July 2026. Late means 15 or more minutes past scheduled arrival; cancelled and diverted flights are left out of on-time rates.
Full methodology · Data sources · Report a problem
Related research: How Long a Layover Needs to Be · Two Airlines on One Route · Best Time of Day to Fly From Major US Airports
Analysis last recomputed