FlyerIntel Research
Which Months Cancel the Most Flights
January has the highest cancellation rate of the year at 3.78%, October the lowest at 0.62%.
Published October 17, 2026 · Source period July 2023 – July 2026
Summary
1.48% of scheduled departures at covered airports were cancelled. January was the worst calendar month at 3.78% and October the best at 0.62%. January, July and August held 48.6% of cancellations on 27.4% of flights. January is also the worst month at 52 of 63 airports.
Key findings
- January had the highest cancellation rate, 3.78%; October the lowest, 0.62%.
- January, July and August together had 48.6% of cancelled flights and 27.4% of scheduled flights.
- Without 2026, the worst year for January, its rate is 3.35%.
- The single worst month was January 2026, at 4.64%.
- January is the worst month at 52 of 63 airports; DCA had the highest single-month rate, 8.18% in January.
The calendar months compared
Across 64 covered airports, 1.48% of scheduled departures were cancelled. January had the highest rate, 3.78% (50,743 of 1,343,722 flights, 3 years pooled), and October the lowest, 0.62%, which makes the worst month 6.1 times the best. The three months with the highest rates, January, July and August, held 27.4% of scheduled flights and 48.6% of cancellations.
Cancellation rate by calendar month
Every calendar month
| Month | Years in the data | Scheduled flights | Cancelled | Cancellation rate | Share of flights | Share of cancellations |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 3 | 1,343,722 | 50,743 | 3.78% | 7.5% | 19.1% |
| February | 3 | 1,266,574 | 17,410 | 1.37% | 7.1% | 6.6% |
| March | 3 | 1,484,847 | 23,459 | 1.58% | 8.3% | 8.8% |
| April | 3 | 1,455,724 | 11,084 | 0.76% | 8.1% | 4.2% |
| May | 3 | 1,508,124 | 16,179 | 1.07% | 8.4% | 6.1% |
| June | 3 | 1,499,598 | 22,277 | 1.49% | 8.4% | 8.4% |
| July | 4 | 2,050,076 | 54,623 | 2.66% | 11.5% | 20.6% |
| August | 3 | 1,502,242 | 23,755 | 1.58% | 8.4% | 8.9% |
| September | 3 | 1,416,475 | 11,117 | 0.78% | 7.9% | 4.2% |
| October | 3 | 1,504,385 | 9,304 | 0.62% | 8.4% | 3.5% |
| November | 3 | 1,414,742 | 13,780 | 0.97% | 7.9% | 5.2% |
| December | 3 | 1,438,080 | 11,776 | 0.82% | 8.0% | 4.4% |
All covered airports and every year in the data for the month together, so a month that appears in more years has more flights. The rate is cancelled flights over scheduled flights, counted at the departure airport. Share of cancellations is the month’s part of all cancelled flights in the data.
One bad year or every year
January pools 3 years. With 2026, its worst, taken out, the rate is 3.35%, against 3.78% with it. That is still above October, the lowest month, at 0.62%.
The individual months with the highest rates
| Month | Scheduled flights | Cancelled | Cancellation rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| January 2026 | 446,474 | 20,722 | 4.64% |
| January 2024 | 452,157 | 16,864 | 3.73% |
| July 2024 | 521,188 | 15,419 | 2.96% |
| January 2025 | 445,091 | 13,157 | 2.96% |
| March 2026 | 502,022 | 14,228 | 2.83% |
| July 2026 | 515,597 | 13,928 | 2.70% |
| July 2025 | 516,393 | 12,951 | 2.51% |
| July 2023 | 496,898 | 12,325 | 2.48% |
| November 2025 | 470,259 | 11,261 | 2.39% |
| February 2026 | 422,540 | 9,652 | 2.28% |
Each year and month on its own, all covered airports together. The lowest was November 2023, at 0.13%.
The airports with the highest rate in a single month
| Airport | City | Scheduled flights | Cancellation rate, all months | Worst month | Rate in the worst month | Best month | Rate in the best month |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DCA | Washington | 435,076 | 2.95% | January | 8.18% | October | 0.46% |
| BUF | Buffalo | 65,592 | 2.34% | January | 8.11% | October | 0.58% |
| LGA | New York | 456,467 | 3.30% | July | 8.05% | April | 1.02% |
| EWR | Newark | 387,621 | 2.85% | July | 7.68% | October | 0.76% |
| ILM | Wilmington | 23,754 | 2.74% | January | 7.23% | October | 0.56% |
| JFK | New York | 351,635 | 2.51% | July | 7.19% | April | 0.53% |
| CHS | Charleston | 77,398 | 2.10% | January | 6.37% | October | 0.29% |
| DFW | Dallas–Fort Worth | 961,718 | 2.27% | January | 6.35% | September | 0.93% |
| BNA | Nashville | 319,645 | 1.36% | January | 6.11% | October | 0.49% |
| MEM | Memphis | 72,794 | 1.73% | January | 5.93% | October | 0.42% |
Covered airports with at least 5,000 scheduled departures and at least 1,000 in every calendar month, ordered by the rate in their worst month. 1 airport is left out for want of flights. Every year in the data pooled.
Which month is the worst, airport by airport
| Month | Airports where it is the worst month | Share of airports listed |
|---|---|---|
| January | 52 | 82.5% |
| July | 7 | 11.1% |
| February | 2 | 3.2% |
| March | 1 | 1.6% |
| August | 1 | 1.6% |
Airports with the highest-rate month tied are placed in the earlier month of the year.
What this does not show
A cancellation rate describes flights the airline scheduled and did not operate. It does not say whether the passenger was rebooked, or whether the cancellation was announced the day before or at the gate. The data runs from July 2023 to July 2026. The months pool its years, so a month that falls in more of them has more flights and one bad year weighs less in it. A month with the highest rate is a month in which more scheduled flights were cancelled; the data does not say why, and one year’s pattern is not a forecast for the next. The three worst months hold more of the cancellations than their share of the flights. The report on why airlines cancel splits the coded causes.
Pages for what this report covers
Methodology
Calculated by FlyerIntel from 21,708,321 individual flight records in the US Department of Transportation Bureau of Transportation Statistics Reporting Carrier On-Time Performance dataset, covering July 2023 through July 2026. Following BTS methodology, a flight counts as delayed when it arrives 15 or more minutes after its scheduled arrival time. Cancelled and diverted flights have no arrival time and are excluded from on-time rates rather than counted as late; cancellation rates are reported separately. Full definitions are published at /methodology/. Cancellations are counted from the monthly departure rows of each covered airport: cancelled flights over scheduled flights, so a flight is counted once, at its departure airport. Calendar months pool every year in the data. Airports need 5,000 scheduled departures in total and 1,000 in each calendar month to be listed. The rate of the worst month without its worst year is the other years of that month pooled.
Limitations
The source dataset covers scheduled domestic flights operated by carriers above the DOT reporting threshold; smaller carriers and international flights are not included. Flights sold under a mainline brand but flown by a regional carrier are attributed to the operating carrier, which is how the DOT records them. Past performance describes what has happened and is not a prediction about any individual flight. Cancellation rates here count every cancelled flight whatever the reason, and a cancellation is attributed to the airport the flight was to leave from.
Sources
- FlyerIntel analysis — FlyerIntel · source
- Reporting Carrier On-Time Performance — US Department of Transportation, Bureau of Transportation Statistics · source
Full FlyerIntel methodology · Report a problem with this analysis