Flight profile · United Airlines
UA2651
Denver (DEN) to Seattle (SEA) · scheduled 8:55 PM – 10:59 PM
How UA2651 performs
806 operations, July 2023 – July 2026.
UA2651 arrived on time 69.8% of the time, against 74.7% for all DEN → SEA flights, so this departure is 4.9 percentage points worse than the route as a whole. Against United Airlines’ own flights on this route it is 9.9 points worse.
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · 806 operations, July 2023 – July 2026 · If UA2651 is cancelled or significantly changed, DOT’s automatic refund rule may entitle you to your money back. The refund checker walks through eligibility.
Where UA2651 is right now
A live reading, only if you ask for it. It is not part of the reliability record above.
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Against the rest of the route
| Flight or route | On time | Cancelled | Median delay | Severe | Flights |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UA2651 | 69.8% | 1.12% | 1 min | 10.8% | 806 |
| United Airlines on DEN → SEA | 79.7% | 0.64% | -6 min | 6.7% | 6,063 |
| All DEN → SEA flights | 74.7% | 0.67% | -3 min | 7.4% | 20,290 |
Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · July 2023 – July 2026
Why UA2651 runs late
Where US DOT attributed the delay minutes on this flight.
the inbound aircraft was late, so this flight started late
crew, maintenance, boarding and fueling, all within the carrier’s control
airspace and airport capacity, including weather-driven flow control
weather severe enough to stop this flight specifically
Share of the delay minutes US DOT attributed to each cause for UA2651 on DEN → SEA. Only delays of 15 minutes or more are attributed.
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Data covering July 2023 – July 2026
Does a late aircraft delay this flight?
How often the plane that flies UA2651 comes in late, and what that does to the departure.
When the aircraft came in 15 or more minutes late, UA2651 pushed back an average of 43 minutes late; when it came in on time or early, an average of 2 minutes late.
Each departure is matched to the flight the same aircraft flew into DEN just before it, using the tail number in the DOT file, 706 of 798 departures in all. A departure is left out when that flight is unknown, was cancelled or diverted, or the aircraft had sat for more than 12 hours. A flight the airline cancelled never left and is not in the count, and one flown by a substitute aircraft is matched to the aircraft that flew it, not to the one first planned.
Against the network at the same turn length
| Share of departures | Inbound landed 15+ late | Left 15+ late after a late inbound | Left 15+ late after an on-time inbound |
|---|---|---|---|
| UA2651 | 27% | 58% | 10% |
| Network, same turn | 17% | 68% | 9% |
The schedule leaves a normal turn: enough time to clean and board if the aircraft is on time, little to spare if it is not.
The network row is every flight with a scheduled turn of 60 to 89 minutes. How often UA2651’s aircraft landed 15 or more minutes late is higher than the network’s and, once the aircraft was late, how often UA2651 left 15 or more minutes late is lower than the network’s.
More: Which Flight Numbers Pay for a Late Aircraft lists the flight numbers that pass a late aircraft on.
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Data covering July 2023 – July 2026
From pushback to gate
When it leaves DEN late, does that still matter by the time it reaches SEA?
UA2651 pushes back an average of 17.9 minutes late and reaches the gate at SEA an average of 13.7 minutes late. The 4.2 minutes between those two figures are slack the published schedule already carries, which is why a late pushback on this flight does not reliably become a late arrival. Its 18.4 minutes on the taxiways at DEN is about what any departure from the airport in that hour spends.
On arrival at SEA, UA2651 spends 14.7 min taxiing from touchdown to the gate — ground time a connecting passenger sits through before they can even leave the aircraft, on top of however late the flight itself ran. That is 2.8 minutes longer than a typical SEA arrival (11.9 min).
Departure delay is averaged over every pushback and arrival delay over every completed arrival, so the two counts differ by the flights that never reached SEA. Taxi-out is gate to wheels up and sits inside the scheduled block rather than on top of it; the comparison is 56,780 departures from DEN scheduled in the clock hour UA2651 most often leaves in. Taxi-in is landing to gate, compared against every arrival FlyerIntel has on file at SEA (510,187 flights), not just UA2651’s own. More on taxi time.
Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · July 2023 – July 2026
The hour it leaves DEN
Part of any flight’s record belongs to the clock rather than to the flight. UA2651 has one departure time, so this is what that time is worth.
On-time arrival rate. 56,780 departures from DEN are scheduled in the 8 PM–9 PM hour over the period, against 963,099 across the whole day.
UA2651 is scheduled out of DEN at 8:55 PM, in the 8 PM–9 PM bank. Departures from DEN in that hour arrive on time 68.2% of the time against 76.0% across the airport’s whole day — the slot alone is worth 7.8 points worse before anything about this particular flight is considered.
The two airport figures cover every departure from DEN to every destination, so they describe the slot rather than this journey — the like-for-like comparison against the route is above. Hours are scheduled local, and a number whose schedule moved between banks inside the period has no single hour and is not described here at all. Why the hour matters.
Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · July 2023 – July 2026 · Hours below 120 departures are not scored.
By day of week
Does UA2651 run worse on particular days?
Friday is historically the most reliable day and Wednesday the least, a gap of 5.8 percentage points.
Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · July 2023 – July 2026 · Days with fewer than 120 operations are not scored.
Other routes UA2651 has flown
A flight number is a slot in a schedule, and carriers reassign it. These are the other city pairs this number served in the analysis period.
| Route | Operated | Flights | On time |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSP→DEN Palm Springs to Denver | May 1–20, 2026 | 20 | — |
| SEA→ORD Seattle to Chicago | December 21, 2023 – May 17, 2026 | 79 | — |
| SEA→EWR Seattle to Newark | February 12, 2026 – March 4, 2026 | 21 | — |
| MCO→IAD Orlando to Washington | January 6, 2026 – February 11, 2026 | 32 | — |
| LAX→SFO Los Angeles to San Francisco | December 2–17, 2025 | 16 | — |
| MSN→DEN Madison to Denver | January 9, 2024 – August 30, 2025 | 94 | 74.7% |
| LGA→DEN New York to Denver | June 26, 2025 – July 31, 2025 | 36 | — |
| IND→DEN Indianapolis to Denver | October 27, 2024 – May 21, 2025 | 35 | — |
| EYW→ORD Key West to Chicago | March 6–29, 2025 | 24 | — |
| ORD→LAS Chicago to Las Vegas | March 6–29, 2025 | 18 | — |
| AUS→DEN Austin to Denver | December 19, 2024 – January 6, 2025 | 13 | — |
| ORD→IAH Chicago to Houston | December 3–18, 2024 | 16 | — |
| TYS→DEN Knoxville/Maryville to Denver | October 1–26, 2024 | 26 | — |
| PIT→DEN Pittsburgh to Denver | August 19–31, 2024 | 13 | — |
| PHL→DEN Philadelphia to Denver | May 23, 2024 – June 26, 2024 | 35 | — |
| RDU→DEN Raleigh–Durham to Denver | May 2–22, 2024 | 21 | — |
| OMA→DEN Omaha to Denver | March 31, 2024 – May 1, 2024 | 32 | — |
| IAD→EWR Washington to Newark | March 6, 2024 | 1 | — |
| SAV→DEN Savannah to Denver | February 15, 2024 – March 4, 2024 | 15 | — |
| LAS→IAH Las Vegas to Houston | September 28, 2023 | 1 | — |
| ABQ→DEN Albuquerque to Denver | July 5–31, 2023 | 27 | — |
Because the same number has served different journeys, the statistics above describe only the route UA2651 currently operates. Blending them would produce an average of two different flights.
When it goes wrong
The average describes a usual day. This is the day that ruins a connection.
64 min late
against a median of 1 min late
UA2651 has an average that understates its risk: a typical arrival is 1 min late, but the worst tenth are 63 minutes worse than that. If the trip has something unmissable at the end of it, the median is the wrong number to plan against.
Percentiles over 806 operations; cancelled and diverted flights are counted separately.
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Data covering July 2023 – July 2026
Other flights on this route
Same airports, same journey, different odds of arriving on time.
| Flight | Airline | On time | Median arrival | Operations |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DL1731 | Delta Air Lines | 90.1% | 14 min early | 1,064 |
| AS643 | Alaska Airlines | 88.2% | 10 min early | 990 |
| UA690 | United Airlines | 79.9% | 5 min early | 621 |
| UA2651 this flight | United Airlines | 69.8% | 1 min late | 806 |
Every departure listed carries at least 600 operations, so the comparison is between figures that mean something. UA2651 is placed in the same ordering rather than left out of it; the rows around it are the most punctual departures on the route, not all of them, so this is a comparison and not a rank. Schedules change; confirm the departure still operates before booking around this.
Data and methodology
Calculated by FlyerIntel from 806 records of UA2651 operating DEN → SEA, published by the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics. A flight counts as delayed when it arrives 15 or more minutes after schedule. Cancelled and diverted flights are excluded from the on-time rate and reported separately. Flight numbers are resolved as carrier plus number plus route, because the same number serves different routes over time.
Full methodology · Data sources · Report a problem
Related research: Most and Least Reliable Flight Numbers · The Delay You Inherit · Making Up Time in the Air
Analysis last recomputed