Route profile
MIA→TPA
Flight reliability, delays and best times to fly from Miami to Tampa, 204 miles.
Right now
Aviation weather is not currently a factor.
Aviation weather is not currently a factor.
Route reliability
July 2023 – July 2026
Better than 8% of comparable major US routes (4,598 compared)
Calculated from 8,434 flights. How this is calculated · What counts as on time
MIA → TPA arrives on time 70.2% of the time; the return trip, TPA → MIA, arrives on time 79.1% of the time, an 8.8-point gap between the two directions of the same city pair.
MIA → TPA spends 26.0 minutes on the ground on a 204-mile trip: 19.8 minutes from pushback to wheels-up at MIA and 6.3 minutes from touchdown to gate at TPA.
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Data covering July 2023 – July 2026
What stands out
This route's worst arrivals run unusually far past its typical one, a bigger gap than 93% of 4,598 comparable routes.
A typical arrival is 2 min early, but the worst tenth run 74 minutes worse than that.
Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · July 2023 – July 2026 · Ranked against every other route with the same kind of figure and at least 4,598 in the comparison.
What sets this route apart
Where MIA to TPA differs most from similar routes by hour, weekday, month and airline, July 2023 – July 2026.
MIA to TPA struggles most at 11 PM: 62.0% of its flights scheduled then arrive on time, 11.9 points behind the 73.9% on routes of similar length at the same hour. Against all other routes the gap is 17.1 points.
MIA to TPA is at its best against routes of similar length for flights scheduled at 7 AM: 93.7% arrive on time, 6.1 points ahead of the 87.6% those routes manage at that hour. Against all other routes the gap is 5.9 points.
Saturday is the day MIA to TPA slips furthest against routes of similar length, 67.9% on time where they average 80.5%, 12.6 points lower. Against all other routes the gap is 11.2 points.
In August, MIA to TPA runs 15.6 points below routes of similar length, 61.7% on time to 77.3%. Against all other routes the gap is 14.8 points.
American Airlines’ flights on MIA to TPA arrive on time 67.9% of the time, 5.5 points below the 73.4% it manages on its routes of similar length. Against all other routes the gap is 7.2 points.
MIA to TPA against comparable routes
July 2023 – July 2026| Measure | This route | Compared with | Them | Gap | Flights behind it |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hour: 11 PM departures | 62.0% | routes of similar length | 73.9% | −11.9 pts | 187 here, 876 there |
| Hour: 7 AM departures | 93.7% | routes of similar length | 87.6% | +6.1 pts | 317 here, 39,273 there |
| Weekday: Saturday | 67.9% | routes of similar length | 80.5% | −12.6 pts | 1,225 here, 67,613 there |
| Month: August | 61.7% | routes of similar length | 77.3% | −15.6 pts | 538 here, 47,947 there |
| Airline: American Airlines | 67.9% | routes of similar length | 73.4% | −5.5 pts | 6,855 here, 87,872 there |
Each comparison pools the flights of other routes, with this route’s own left out. Similar length means within 15% of this route’s 204 miles, with at least 5 such routes. A bucket is set against the most comparable group that has enough flights: similar length, then the same origin (at least 3 routes), then all other routes. Hours, weekdays and months appear only where both sides have 120 completed flights, and airlines where both have 600. The gap must be at least 2 points and 2 standard errors, and only the largest gap each way is kept per measure. These are differences in the flights counted, not causes.
Why MIA → TPA flights are cancelled
July 2023 – July 2026
MIA → TPA cancelled 141 of 8,434 scheduled flights — about 1 in every 60. The reason filed most often was extreme weather, 81.6% of the cancellations coded on this route — about 1 in every 73 scheduled flights.
Share of cancellations
Of 141 cancelled departures carrying a reason code.
What each reason means
Conditions the carrier judged severe enough to stop the flight: a blizzard, a hurricane, a line of thunderstorms.
115 cancellations, 81.6% of the total.
Airport capacity, air traffic control flow programs, heavy traffic and ordinary bad weather. A system decision, not the airline’s.
19 cancellations, 13.5% of the total.
Crew, maintenance, aircraft cleaning, baggage or fueling: what BTS counts as within the carrier’s own control.
7 cancellations, 5.0% of the total.
A terminal evacuation, a security breach, screening equipment failure, or screening queues over 29 minutes.
0 cancellations, 0.0% of the total.
Reason codes are the operating airline’s own filing with US DOT, not an independent finding of fault. With only one or two carriers on the route, the split mostly reflects how they file. Ordinary bad weather is filed under air traffic, so weather’s full share is larger than its bar.
141 coded cancellations were recorded on MIA → TPA; the section appears from 50.
When it goes wrong
July 2023 – July 2026
72 min late
against a median of 2 min early
MIA → TPA has an average that understates its risk: a typical arrival is 2 min early, but the worst tenth are 74 minutes worse than that. If the trip has something unmissable at the end of it, the median is the wrong number to plan against.
Percentiles over 8,434 operations; cancelled and diverted flights are counted separately.
Will your connection be tight enough?
Layovers at TPA after arriving from MIA.
| Connection time | Chance of missing | Reads as |
|---|---|---|
| 30 min | 46% | Likely to miss |
| 45 min | 29% | High risk |
| 60 min | 21% | High risk |
| 90 min | 12% | Some risk |
| 120 min | 7.4% | Some risk |
This is one leg of a connection. Gate changes and the next flight's own schedule matter too. And a connection can fail before delay is even the question — this route cancels 1.67% of the time and diverts 0.06% of the time, which a late arrival never shows up in.
Chance of missing is the share of 8,288 arrivals on this route that landed later than the connection time less 30 minutes to reach the next gate.
The worst tenth of arrivals on this route land at least 72 minutes late (90th-percentile gate arrival delay), over 8,434 operations.
Any other layover length: connection checker.
Best time to fly
MIA → TPA flights departing 5–9 AM arrived on time 88.2% of the time, against 60.8% for 6–9 PM departures, a gap of 27.4 percentage points.
By departure window
By departure hour
- 12 AM to 6 AM: too few flights to score
- 7 AM: 93.7% on time from 320 flights
- 8 AM: 85.2% on time from 741 flights
- 9 AM: 80.9% on time from 344 flights
- 10 AM to 11 AM: too few flights to score
- 12 PM: 74.3% on time from 479 flights
- 1 PM: 71.1% on time from 709 flights
- 2 PM: 81.4% on time from 384 flights
- 3 PM: 73.0% on time from 236 flights
- 4 PM: 65.8% on time from 643 flights
- 5 PM: 61.7% on time from 823 flights
- 6 PM: 66.1% on time from 678 flights
- 7 PM: 58.1% on time from 703 flights
- 8 PM: 58.7% on time from 731 flights
- 9 PM: 71.2% on time from 381 flights
- 10 PM: 68.3% on time from 896 flights
- 11 PM: 62.0% on time from 188 flights
Why MIA → TPA runs late
July 2023 – July 2026
the inbound aircraft was late, so this flight started late
crew, maintenance, boarding and fueling, all within the carrier’s control
airspace and airport capacity, including weather-driven flow control
weather severe enough to stop this flight specifically
screening or terminal security incidents
Share of the delay minutes US DOT attributed to each cause for MIA → TPA. Only delays of 15 minutes or more are attributed. What the five causes mean
Late-arriving aircraft is the largest cause on MIA → TPA, at 47.2%: flights here mostly leave late because the plane came in late, and the day shows it: 5–9 AM departures arrived on time 88.2% of the time and 6–9 PM departures 60.8%.
Airlines on this route
Carriers with at least 200 flights, by the airline that operated each one.
| Carrier | Flights | On time | Cancelled | Median delay | Severe |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| American Airlines | 6,968 | 67.9% | 1.56% | -1 min | 13.9% |
| Envoy Air | 1,415 | 81.6% | 2.26% | -5 min | 5.5% |
American Airlines flew 83.1% of the 8,383 flights listed.
Envoy Air arrived on time 13.7 percentage points more often than American Airlines on this route.
Flights on this route
Flight numbers with at least 600 operations here and still on the schedule.
| Flight | Scheduled | Operations | On time |
|---|---|---|---|
| AA1921 American Airlines | 8:53 PM | 720 | 60.6% |
Weekly and seasonal patterns
By day of week
Tuesday is historically the most reliable day and Sunday the least, a gap of 14.2 percentage points.
By month
- Jan: 72.2%
- Feb: 72.7%
- Mar: 67.8%
- Apr: 74.3%
- May: 65.8%
- Jun: 62.9%
- Jul: 60.1%
- Aug: 61.7%
- Sep: 73.9%
- Oct: 79.6%
- Nov: 80.3%
- Dec: 73.0%
July is historically the weakest month and November the strongest, a spread of 20.2 percentage points.
Reliability over time
July 2023 – July 2026
- July 2023: 61.7% from 165 flights
- August 2023: 69.1% from 159 flights
- September 2023: 62.4% from 150 flights
- October 2023: 76.4% from 179 flights
- November 2023: 78.0% from 177 flights
- December 2023: 71.1% from 180 flights
- January 2024: 61.2% from 211 flights
- February 2024: 71.9% from 203 flights
- March 2024: 57.1% from 217 flights
- April 2024: 78.7% from 218 flights
- May 2024: 64.1% from 262 flights
- June 2024: 50.0% from 194 flights
- July 2024: 59.4% from 191 flights
- August 2024: 57.1% from 183 flights
- September 2024: 76.6% from 180 flights
- October 2024: 84.7% from 225 flights
- November 2024: 83.7% from 251 flights
- December 2024: 71.5% from 267 flights
- January 2025: 77.2% from 304 flights
- February 2025: 76.0% from 264 flights
- March 2025: 77.8% from 285 flights
- April 2025: 74.0% from 268 flights
- May 2025: 68.6% from 302 flights
- June 2025: 64.4% from 221 flights
- July 2025: 57.2% from 241 flights
- August 2025: 60.2% from 222 flights
- September 2025: 80.1% from 202 flights
- October 2025: 77.4% from 208 flights
- November 2025: 78.6% from 287 flights
- December 2025: 75.4% from 298 flights
- January 2026: 75.1% from 281 flights
- February 2026: 69.9% from 249 flights
- March 2026: 65.8% from 279 flights
- April 2026: 70.5% from 227 flights
- May 2026: 64.2% from 227 flights
- June 2026: 72.0% from 226 flights
- July 2026: 62.4% from 231 flights
Over the most recent 12 months (2025-08 to 2026-07), on-time arrivals averaged 71.1% against 72.8% in the 12 months before — declining by 1.7 percentage points.
Data and methodology
Calculated by FlyerIntel from 8,434 MIA → TPA flight records from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, covering July 2023 – July 2026. Late means 15 or more minutes past scheduled arrival; cancelled and diverted flights are left out of on-time rates.
Full methodology · Data sources · Report a problem
Related research: How Long a Layover Needs to Be · Two Airlines on One Route · Best Time of Day to Fly From Major US Airports
Analysis last recomputed