Route profile
TPA→MIA
Flight reliability, delays and best times to fly from Tampa to Miami, 204 miles.
Right now
Aviation weather is not currently a factor.
Aviation weather is not currently a factor.
Route reliability
July 2023 – July 2026
Better than 30% of comparable major US routes (4,598 compared)
Calculated from 8,429 flights. How this is calculated · What counts as on time
TPA → MIA arrives on time 79.1% of the time; the return trip, MIA → TPA, arrives on time 70.2% of the time, an 8.8-point gap between the two directions of the same city pair.
TPA → MIA spends 25.0 minutes on the ground on a 204-mile trip: 15.1 minutes from pushback to wheels-up at TPA and 9.9 minutes from touchdown to gate at MIA.
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Data covering July 2023 – July 2026
What sets this route apart
Where TPA to MIA differs most from similar routes by hour, weekday, month and airline, July 2023 – July 2026.
TPA to MIA struggles most at 1 PM: 63.9% of its flights scheduled then arrive on time, 13 points behind the 76.9% on routes of similar length at the same hour. Against all other routes the gap is 13.2 points.
TPA to MIA holds up on Fridays better than routes of similar length do: 79.3% on time to their 75.5%, a 3.8 points lead. Against all other routes the gap is 3.1 points.
In August, TPA to MIA runs 6.8 points below routes of similar length, 70.4% on time to 77.2%. Against all other routes the gap is 6.1 points.
April is kinder to TPA to MIA than to routes of similar length: 84.0% on time against 79.5%, 4.5 points better. Against all other routes the gap is 4.1 points.
American Airlines does better on TPA to MIA than on its routes of similar length: 79.6% on time here, 72.5% there, 7.1 points apart. Against all other routes the gap is 4.5 points.
TPA to MIA against comparable routes
July 2023 – July 2026| Measure | This route | Compared with | Them | Gap | Flights behind it |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hour: 1 PM departures | 63.9% | routes of similar length | 76.9% | −13.0 pts | 183 here, 29,416 there |
| Weekday: Friday | 79.3% | routes of similar length | 75.5% | +3.8 pts | 1,200 here, 86,562 there |
| Month: August | 70.4% | routes of similar length | 77.2% | −6.8 pts | 534 here, 47,951 there |
| Month: April | 84.0% | routes of similar length | 79.5% | +4.5 pts | 708 here, 47,992 there |
| Airline: American Airlines | 79.6% | routes of similar length | 72.5% | +7.1 pts | 6,837 here, 87,890 there |
Each comparison pools the flights of other routes, with this route’s own left out. Similar length means within 15% of this route’s 204 miles, with at least 5 such routes. A bucket is set against the most comparable group that has enough flights: similar length, then the same origin (at least 3 routes), then all other routes. Hours, weekdays and months appear only where both sides have 120 completed flights, and airlines where both have 600. The gap must be at least 2 points and 2 standard errors, and only the largest gap each way is kept per measure. These are differences in the flights counted, not causes.
Why TPA → MIA flights are cancelled
July 2023 – July 2026
TPA → MIA cancelled 154 of 8,429 scheduled flights — about 1 in every 55. The reason filed most often was extreme weather, 78.6% of the cancellations coded on this route — about 1 in every 70 scheduled flights.
Share of cancellations
Of 154 cancelled departures carrying a reason code.
What each reason means
Conditions the carrier judged severe enough to stop the flight: a blizzard, a hurricane, a line of thunderstorms.
121 cancellations, 78.6% of the total.
Airport capacity, air traffic control flow programs, heavy traffic and ordinary bad weather. A system decision, not the airline’s.
19 cancellations, 12.3% of the total.
Crew, maintenance, aircraft cleaning, baggage or fueling: what BTS counts as within the carrier’s own control.
14 cancellations, 9.1% of the total.
A terminal evacuation, a security breach, screening equipment failure, or screening queues over 29 minutes.
0 cancellations, 0.0% of the total.
Reason codes are the operating airline’s own filing with US DOT, not an independent finding of fault. With only one or two carriers on the route, the split mostly reflects how they file. Ordinary bad weather is filed under air traffic, so weather’s full share is larger than its bar.
154 coded cancellations were recorded on TPA → MIA; the section appears from 50.
When it goes wrong
July 2023 – July 2026
52 min late
against a median of 7 min early
Percentiles over 8,429 operations; cancelled and diverted flights are counted separately.
Will your connection be tight enough?
Layovers at MIA after arriving from TPA.
| Connection time | Chance of missing | Reads as |
|---|---|---|
| 30 min | 35% | Likely to miss |
| 45 min | 20% | High risk |
| 60 min | 14% | Some risk |
| 90 min | 8.6% | Some risk |
| 120 min | 5.8% | Some risk |
This is one leg of a connection. Gate changes and the next flight's own schedule matter too. And a connection can fail before delay is even the question — this route cancels 1.83% of the time and diverts 0.11% of the time, which a late arrival never shows up in.
Chance of missing is the share of 8,266 arrivals on this route that landed later than the connection time less 30 minutes to reach the next gate.
The worst tenth of arrivals on this route land at least 52 minutes late (90th-percentile gate arrival delay), over 8,429 operations.
Any other layover length: connection checker.
Best time to fly
TPA → MIA flights departing 5–9 AM arrived on time 90.2% of the time, against 61.8% for 3–6 PM departures, a gap of 28.4 percentage points.
By departure window
By departure hour
- 12 AM to 5 AM: too few flights to score
- 6 AM: 94.2% on time from 1,156 flights
- 7 AM: 90.9% on time from 973 flights
- 8 AM: 85.7% on time from 1,168 flights
- 9 AM: 83.5% on time from 471 flights
- 10 AM: 80.2% on time from 954 flights
- 11 AM: 82.5% on time from 505 flights
- 12 PM: too few flights to score
- 1 PM: 63.9% on time from 187 flights
- 2 PM: 69.6% on time from 149 flights
- 3 PM: 61.0% on time from 799 flights
- 4 PM: too few flights to score
- 5 PM: 63.3% on time from 317 flights
- 6 PM: 67.4% on time from 137 flights
- 7 PM: 60.7% on time from 509 flights
- 8 PM: 68.8% on time from 847 flights
- 9 PM to 11 PM: too few flights to score
Why TPA → MIA runs late
July 2023 – July 2026
the inbound aircraft was late, so this flight started late
crew, maintenance, boarding and fueling, all within the carrier’s control
airspace and airport capacity, including weather-driven flow control
weather severe enough to stop this flight specifically
screening or terminal security incidents
Share of the delay minutes US DOT attributed to each cause for TPA → MIA. Only delays of 15 minutes or more are attributed. What the five causes mean
Late-arriving aircraft is the largest cause on TPA → MIA, at 49.3%: flights here mostly leave late because the plane came in late, and the day shows it: 5–9 AM departures arrived on time 90.2% of the time and 3–6 PM departures 61.8%.
Airlines on this route
Carriers with at least 200 flights, by the airline that operated each one.
| Carrier | Flights | On time | Cancelled | Median delay | Severe |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| American Airlines | 6,962 | 79.6% | 1.74% | -8 min | 8.9% |
| Envoy Air | 1,415 | 77.0% | 2.33% | -3 min | 8.0% |
American Airlines flew 83.1% of the 8,377 flights listed.
American Airlines arrived on time 2.6 percentage points more often than Envoy Air on this route.
Weekly and seasonal patterns
By day of week
Tuesday is historically the most reliable day and Sunday the least, a gap of 8.8 percentage points.
By month
- Jan: 77.6%
- Feb: 79.8%
- Mar: 77.1%
- Apr: 84.0%
- May: 78.8%
- Jun: 75.6%
- Jul: 72.7%
- Aug: 70.4%
- Sep: 82.6%
- Oct: 85.6%
- Nov: 85.4%
- Dec: 79.9%
August is historically the weakest month and October the strongest, a spread of 15.2 percentage points.
Reliability over time
July 2023 – July 2026
- July 2023: 70.4% from 165 flights
- August 2023: 73.1% from 158 flights
- September 2023: 72.7% from 150 flights
- October 2023: 85.9% from 179 flights
- November 2023: 86.4% from 176 flights
- December 2023: 77.8% from 180 flights
- January 2024: 75.6% from 211 flights
- February 2024: 81.3% from 203 flights
- March 2024: 71.8% from 217 flights
- April 2024: 87.1% from 219 flights
- May 2024: 77.5% from 262 flights
- June 2024: 67.8% from 193 flights
- July 2024: 74.5% from 192 flights
- August 2024: 76.8% from 183 flights
- September 2024: 88.7% from 179 flights
- October 2024: 87.0% from 225 flights
- November 2024: 88.4% from 251 flights
- December 2024: 77.7% from 266 flights
- January 2025: 80.5% from 304 flights
- February 2025: 81.7% from 264 flights
- March 2025: 81.2% from 285 flights
- April 2025: 86.0% from 269 flights
- May 2025: 84.8% from 302 flights
- June 2025: 78.9% from 221 flights
- July 2025: 69.2% from 240 flights
- August 2025: 63.8% from 223 flights
- September 2025: 85.0% from 201 flights
- October 2025: 84.1% from 208 flights
- November 2025: 82.1% from 285 flights
- December 2025: 83.1% from 297 flights
- January 2026: 76.0% from 282 flights
- February 2026: 76.4% from 248 flights
- March 2026: 76.9% from 279 flights
- April 2026: 78.9% from 227 flights
- May 2026: 72.4% from 228 flights
- June 2026: 78.8% from 227 flights
- July 2026: 76.3% from 230 flights
Over the most recent 12 months (2025-08 to 2026-07), on-time arrivals averaged 77.9% against 81.8% in the 12 months before — declining by 3.9 percentage points.
Data and methodology
Calculated by FlyerIntel from 8,429 TPA → MIA flight records from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, covering July 2023 – July 2026. Late means 15 or more minutes past scheduled arrival; cancelled and diverted flights are left out of on-time rates.
Full methodology · Data sources · Report a problem
Related research: How Long a Layover Needs to Be · Two Airlines on One Route · Best Time of Day to Fly From Major US Airports
Analysis last recomputed