MCO → LGA Flight Reliability

Right now

Origin · MCONo disruption reported

Aviation weather is not currently a factor.

Updated 08:53 UTC

Orlando airport profile →

Destination · LGANo disruption reported

Aviation weather is not currently a factor.

Updated 08:51 UTC

New York airport profile →

Route reliability

July 2023 – July 2026

Route Reliability Score

43/ 100Weak

Better than 7% of comparable major US routes (4,598 compared)

Calculated from 15,977 flights. How this is calculated

On-time arrivals

72.7%

11,230 of 15,455

Cancellation rate

2.69%

429 cancelled

Median arrival delay

-5 min

Average 13.0 min

Severe delays

11.9%

60+ minutes late

Delay when late

77 min

Average, when 15+ min late

Flights analyzed

15,977

5 carriers

MCO → LGA arrives on time 72.7% of the time; the return trip, LGA → MCO, arrives on time 73.0% of the time.

MCO → LGA spends 28.1 minutes on the ground on a 950-mile trip: 20.2 minutes from pushback to wheels-up at MCO and 7.8 minutes from touchdown to gate at LGA.

Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Data covering July 2023 – July 2026

What stands out

On-time performance swings unusually widely by time of day here, wider than 95% of 4,023 comparable routes.

91.1% on time for 5–9 AM departures, against 57.9% for 6–9 PM.

Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · July 2023 – July 2026 · Ranked against every other route with the same kind of figure and at least 4,023 in the comparison.

Why MCO → LGA flights are cancelled

July 2023 – July 2026

MCO → LGA cancelled 429 of 15,977 scheduled flights — about 1 in every 37. The reason filed most often was extreme weather, 60.6% of the cancellations coded on this route — about 1 in every 61 scheduled flights.

Share of cancellations

Weather60.6%

Air traffic20.3%

Airline19.1%

Security0.0%

Of 429 cancelled departures carrying a reason code.

What each reason means

Extreme weather1 in 61

Conditions the carrier judged severe enough to stop the flight: a blizzard, a hurricane, a line of thunderstorms.

260 cancellations, 60.6% of the total.

The air traffic system1 in 184

Airport capacity, air traffic control flow programs, heavy traffic and ordinary bad weather. A system decision, not the airline’s.

87 cancellations, 20.3% of the total.

The airline1 in 195

Crew, maintenance, aircraft cleaning, baggage or fueling: what BTS counts as within the carrier’s own control.

82 cancellations, 19.1% of the total.

Security—

A terminal evacuation, a security breach, screening equipment failure, or screening queues over 29 minutes.

0 cancellations, 0.0% of the total.

Reason codes are the operating airline’s own filing with US DOT, not an independent finding of fault. Ordinary bad weather is filed under air traffic, so weather’s full share is larger than its bar.

429 coded cancellations were recorded on MCO → LGA; the section appears from 50.

When it goes wrong

July 2023 – July 2026

One arrival in ten is worse than

70 min late

against a median of 5 min early

Arrived an hour or more late11.9%

Typical delay when late77 min

Cancelled2.69%

Landed somewhere else0.58%

MCO → LGA has an average that understates its risk: a typical arrival is 5 min early, but the worst tenth are 75 minutes worse than that. If the trip has something unmissable at the end of it, the median is the wrong number to plan against.

Percentiles over 15,977 operations; cancelled and diverted flights are counted separately.

Will your connection be tight enough?

Layovers at LGA after arriving from MCO.

Connection buffer and chance of missing by layover length, MCO → LGA arrivals
Connection time	Chance of missing	Reads as
30 min	40%	Likely to miss
45 min	27%	High risk
60 min	19%	High risk
90 min	12%	Some risk
120 min	7.4%	Some risk

This is one leg of a connection. Gate changes and the next flight's own schedule matter too. And a connection can fail before delay is even the question — this route cancels 2.69% of the time and diverts 0.58% of the time, which a late arrival never shows up in.

Chance of missing is the share of 15,455 arrivals on this route that landed later than the connection time less 30 minutes to reach the next gate.

The worst tenth of arrivals on this route land at least 70 minutes late (90th-percentile gate arrival delay), over 15,977 operations.

Any other layover length: connection checker.

Best time to fly

MCO → LGA flights departing 5–9 AM arrived on time 91.1% of the time, against 57.9% for 6–9 PM departures, a gap of 33.2 percentage points.

By day and hour

On-time arrival rate for each weekday and scheduled departure hour, in local time at the departure airport (MCO).

Hour of departure matters more than day of the week: hourly averages sit a typical 12.5 points from the route-wide rate, weekday averages 3.3 points.

On-time arrival rate for MCO to LGA by weekday and scheduled departure hour, local time. Each button reads out one slot.
Hour	Monday	Tuesday	Wednesday	Thursday	Friday	Saturday	Sunday
6 AM–7 AM
7 AM–8 AM
8 AM–9 AM
9 AM–10 AM
10 AM–11 AM
11 AM–12 PM
12 PM–1 PM
1 PM–2 PM
2 PM–3 PM
3 PM–4 PM
4 PM–5 PM
5 PM–6 PM
6 PM–7 PM
7 PM–8 PM
8 PM–9 PM

On-time rate, % · stronger color, fewer on time

40–49
50–59
60–69
70–79
80–89
90–99

Fewer than 120 flights, not scored

Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · July 2023 – July 2026 · On time is arrival within 15 minutes of schedule. Cells round to whole percentages; the table shows one decimal.

No slot is named best or worst: too few reach 500 flights. Departures before 6 AM (594 flights) are not drawn: no slot in those hours has enough flights to score.

View as tableHide table

On-time arrival rate (%) with flights beneath, by scheduled departure hour and weekday for MCO to LGA. A dash means fewer than 120 flights, which are not scored.
Hour	Monday	Tuesday	Wednesday	Thursday	Friday	Saturday	Sunday
6 AM–7 AM	89.8% on time138 flights	90.6% on time129 flights	97.6% on time128 flights	95.4% on time133 flights	90.3% on time135 flights	79 flights, too few to score	95.0% on time122 flights
7 AM–8 AM	91.4% on time229 flights	89.8% on time222 flights	95.6% on time230 flights	91.8% on time225 flights	92.3% on time227 flights	89.7% on time245 flights	90.9% on time226 flights
8 AM–9 AM	82 flights, too few to score	75 flights, too few to score	81 flights, too few to score	73 flights, too few to score	81 flights, too few to score	73 flights, too few to score	81 flights, too few to score
9 AM–10 AM	112 flights, too few to score	101 flights, too few to score	117 flights, too few to score	101 flights, too few to score	108 flights, too few to score	80.7% on time135 flights	103 flights, too few to score
10 AM–11 AM	77.7% on time161 flights	79.7% on time159 flights	82.1% on time154 flights	78.3% on time162 flights	81.0% on time162 flights	84.4% on time131 flights	81.7% on time157 flights
11 AM–12 PM	71.3% on time167 flights	73.9% on time154 flights	80.1% on time169 flights	72.6% on time165 flights	69.0% on time169 flights	70.9% on time179 flights	70.8% on time167 flights
12 PM–1 PM	90 flights, too few to score	88 flights, too few to score	87 flights, too few to score	92 flights, too few to score	90 flights, too few to score	90 flights, too few to score	92 flights, too few to score
1 PM–2 PM	69.4% on time198 flights	73.7% on time191 flights	75.1% on time197 flights	76.8% on time192 flights	70.9% on time202 flights	76.4% on time245 flights	71.4% on time189 flights
2 PM–3 PM	52.9% on time163 flights	67.3% on time162 flights	71.5% on time157 flights	63.0% on time159 flights	67.8% on time158 flights	62.7% on time120 flights	51.6% on time165 flights
3 PM–4 PM	65.5% on time156 flights	73.9% on time166 flights	70.6% on time157 flights	69.5% on time153 flights	71.9% on time157 flights	71.4% on time165 flights	58.5% on time153 flights
4 PM–5 PM	111 flights, too few to score	114 flights, too few to score	114 flights, too few to score	108 flights, too few to score	112 flights, too few to score	108 flights, too few to score	108 flights, too few to score
5 PM–6 PM	60.3% on time150 flights	69.3% on time134 flights	71.1% on time148 flights	52.3% on time152 flights	60.1% on time156 flights	112 flights, too few to score	44.0% on time154 flights
6 PM–7 PM	48.4% on time129 flights	110 flights, too few to score	113 flights, too few to score	54.8% on time127 flights	53.6% on time129 flights	63.5% on time127 flights	43.7% on time135 flights
7 PM–8 PM	60.7% on time228 flights	63.9% on time212 flights	68.8% on time216 flights	55.6% on time236 flights	57.0% on time231 flights	57.9% on time166 flights	51.7% on time228 flights
8 PM–9 PM	53.8% on time143 flights	66.9% on time136 flights	66.4% on time130 flights	57.5% on time143 flights	56.2% on time143 flights	93 flights, too few to score	55.8% on time146 flights

By departure window

5–9 AM91.1%

9 AM–12 PM77.7%

12–3 PM67.5%

3–6 PM66.1%

6–9 PM57.9%

9 PM–5 AM—

By departure hour

12 AM

3 AM

6 AM

9 AM

12 PM

3 PM

6 PM

9 PM

Departure windows with fewer than 120 flights are not scored.

Why MCO → LGA runs late

July 2023 – July 2026

Air traffic control35.2%

airspace and airport capacity, including weather-driven flow control

Late-arriving aircraft33.9%

the inbound aircraft was late, so this flight started late

The airline26.0%

crew, maintenance, boarding and fueling, all within the carrier’s control

Weather4.7%

weather severe enough to stop this flight specifically

Security0.1%

screening or terminal security incidents

Share of the delay minutes US DOT attributed to each cause for MCO → LGA. Only delays of 15 minutes or more are attributed.

How this route holds up in bad weather

July 2023 – July 2026

Bad weather raises cancellations by a similar amount at both ends of MCO to LGA: 3.2 times the normal rate at MCO and 4.1 times at LGA. Cancelled in bad weather against normal hours: MCO 4.0% against 1.3%, LGA 9.0% against 2.2%. Flights that did leave MCO in bad weather arrived on time 54.1% of the time, against 76.3% in normal hours.

Bad weather and normal hours at the airports

Scheduled departures, July 2023 – July 2026

Departures from MCO and LGA in hours of bad weather and in normal hours
Departures from	MCO	LGA
Cancelled in bad weather	4.0%	9.0%
Cancelled in normal hours	1.3%	2.2%
Arrived on time, bad weather	54.1%	63.6%
Arrived on time, normal hours	76.3%	80.9%
Departures in bad weather	33,297	56,339

Of the carriers on this route, Delta Air Lines (3.3% cancelled against 4.3% for the other carriers at MCO) cancelled the fewest departures from MCO in bad weather and Spirit Airlines (5.7% cancelled against 3.9% for the other carriers at MCO) the most.

This route’s airlines in bad weather at MCO

All departures from MCO

Cancellation rates in bad weather at MCO for the airlines that fly MCO to LGA, against the other carriers at MCO in the same months
Airline	Bad-weather departures	Cancelled	Other carriers
Delta Air Lines	4,556	3.3%below the others	4.3%
American Airlines	4,024	4.6%above the others	3.9%
Frontier Airlines	3,840	4.7%above the others	3.9%
JetBlue	3,744	4.6%above the others	3.8%
Spirit Airlines	4,014	5.7%above the others	3.9%

These are airport figures, not route figures: every scheduled departure from MCO and LGA, to any destination, in hours the weather report called bad. The airline rows count each carrier’s departures from MCO on every route.

Weather source and limits. In full: MCO (airlines), LGA, What Weather Costs Each Airport, Who Cancels More When the Weather Turns, Airports That Change Places When Weather Turns.

Airlines on this route

Carriers with at least 200 flights, by the airline that operated each one.

Airlines on this route
Carrier	Flights	On time	Cancelled	Median delay	Severe
Delta Air Lines	6,495	77.5%	2.74%	-9 min	9.0%
JetBlue	4,476	66.5%	2.35%	-1 min	15.9%
Spirit Airlines	2,528	75.8%	3.40%	-6 min	10.0%
American Airlines	1,625	66.8%	2.40%	0 min	15.0%
Frontier Airlines	853	69.8%	2.46%	-4 min	13.0%

Delta Air Lines flew 40.7% of the 15,977 flights listed. Spirit Airlines cancelled 3.40% of its flights here against 2.35% for JetBlue.

Delta Air Lines arrived on time 11.0 percentage points more often than JetBlue on this route.

Other ways to fly Orlando to New York

Airport pairs in the same two city markets, as the DOT defines them.

Other ways to fly Orlando to New York
Route	Flights	On time	Cancelled	Median delay	Score
MCO→EWR Orlando to Newark	20,510	74.1%	2.61%	-7 min	43
MCO→LGA this route Orlando to New York	15,977	72.7%	2.69%	-5 min	43
MCO→JFK Orlando to New York	14,838	73.1%	2.48%	-5 min	42

Flights on this route

Flight numbers with at least 600 operations here and still on the schedule.

Flights on this route
Flight	Scheduled	Operations	On time
B61098 JetBlue	3:59 PM	1,101	61.0%
B6598 JetBlue	6:20 AM	1,038	82.9%
B6698 JetBlue	10:25 AM	703	70.7%
B6998 JetBlue	8:28 PM	631	51.1%

B6598 (6:20 AM) arrived on time 82.9% of the time, 31.8 points more often than B6998 (8:28 PM) at 51.1%.

Weekly and seasonal patterns

By day of week

Mon70.0%

Tue75.5%

Wed77.8%

Thu72.0%

Fri71.7%

Sat74.5%

Sun67.3%

Wednesday is historically the most reliable day and Sunday the least, a gap of 10.5 percentage points.

By month

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

July is historically the weakest month and October the strongest, a spread of 23.2 percentage points.

Reliability over time

July 2023 – July 2026

24

25

26

Over the most recent 12 months (2025-08 to 2026-07), on-time arrivals averaged 67.9% against 76.1% in the 12 months before — declining by 8.2 percentage points.

Data and methodology

Calculated by FlyerIntel from 15,977 MCO → LGA flight records from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, covering July 2023 – July 2026. Late means 15 or more minutes past scheduled arrival; cancelled and diverted flights are left out of on-time rates.

Full methodology · Data sources · Report a problem

Analysis last recomputed September 26, 2026

MCO airport LGA airport Return direction LGA → MCO

MCO→LGA

Right now

Route reliability

What stands out

Why MCO → LGA flights are cancelled

Share of cancellations

What each reason means

When it goes wrong

Will your connection be tight enough?

Best time to fly

By day and hour

By departure window

By departure hour

Why MCO → LGA runs late

How this route holds up in bad weather

Bad weather and normal hours at the airports

This route’s airlines in bad weather at MCO

Airlines on this route

Other ways to fly Orlando to New York

Flights on this route

Weekly and seasonal patterns

By day of week

By month

Reliability over time

Data and methodology