MCO → BWI Flight Reliability

Right now

Origin · MCONo disruption reported

Aviation weather is not currently a factor.

Updated 08:53 UTC

Orlando airport profile →

Destination · BWINo disruption reported

Aviation weather is not currently a factor.

Updated 08:54 UTC

Baltimore airport profile →

Route reliability

July 2023 – July 2026

Route Reliability Score

58/ 100Fair

Better than 31% of comparable major US routes (4,598 compared)

Calculated from 15,856 flights. How this is calculated

On-time arrivals

75.8%

11,755 of 15,509

Cancellation rate

1.96%

310 cancelled

Median arrival delay

-4 min

Average 8.7 min

Severe delays

8.2%

60+ minutes late

Delay when late

63 min

Average, when 15+ min late

Flights analyzed

15,856

3 carriers

MCO → BWI arrives on time 75.8% of the time; the return trip, BWI → MCO, arrives on time 74.8% of the time.

MCO → BWI spends 24.0 minutes on the ground on a 787-mile trip: 17.4 minutes from pushback to wheels-up at MCO and 6.6 minutes from touchdown to gate at BWI.

Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Data covering July 2023 – July 2026

Why MCO → BWI flights are cancelled

July 2023 – July 2026

MCO → BWI cancelled 310 of 15,856 scheduled flights — about 1 in every 51. The reason filed most often was extreme weather, 59.4% of the cancellations coded on this route — about 1 in every 86 scheduled flights.

Share of cancellations

Weather59.4%

Airline25.8%

Air traffic14.8%

Security0.0%

Of 310 cancelled departures carrying a reason code.

What each reason means

Extreme weather1 in 86

Conditions the carrier judged severe enough to stop the flight: a blizzard, a hurricane, a line of thunderstorms.

184 cancellations, 59.4% of the total.

The airline1 in 198

Crew, maintenance, aircraft cleaning, baggage or fueling: what BTS counts as within the carrier’s own control.

80 cancellations, 25.8% of the total.

The air traffic system1 in 345

Airport capacity, air traffic control flow programs, heavy traffic and ordinary bad weather. A system decision, not the airline’s.

46 cancellations, 14.8% of the total.

Security—

A terminal evacuation, a security breach, screening equipment failure, or screening queues over 29 minutes.

0 cancellations, 0.0% of the total.

Reason codes are the operating airline’s own filing with US DOT, not an independent finding of fault. Ordinary bad weather is filed under air traffic, so weather’s full share is larger than its bar.

310 coded cancellations were recorded on MCO → BWI; the section appears from 50.

When it goes wrong

July 2023 – July 2026

One arrival in ten is worse than

49 min late

against a median of 4 min early

Arrived an hour or more late8.2%

Typical delay when late63 min

Cancelled1.96%

Landed somewhere else0.23%

Percentiles over 15,856 operations; cancelled and diverted flights are counted separately.

Will your connection be tight enough?

Layovers at BWI after arriving from MCO.

Connection buffer and chance of missing by layover length, MCO → BWI arrivals
Connection time	Chance of missing	Reads as
30 min	40%	Likely to miss
45 min	23%	High risk
60 min	15%	High risk
90 min	8.0%	Some risk
120 min	4.9%	Low risk

This is one leg of a connection. Gate changes and the next flight's own schedule matter too. And a connection can fail before delay is even the question — this route cancels 1.96% of the time and diverts 0.23% of the time, which a late arrival never shows up in.

Chance of missing is the share of 15,509 arrivals on this route that landed later than the connection time less 30 minutes to reach the next gate.

The worst tenth of arrivals on this route land at least 49 minutes late (90th-percentile gate arrival delay), over 15,856 operations.

Any other layover length: connection checker.

Best time to fly

MCO → BWI flights departing 5–9 AM arrived on time 92.3% of the time, against 62.2% for 9 PM–5 AM departures, a gap of 30.1 percentage points.

By day and hour

On-time arrival rate for each weekday and scheduled departure hour, in local time at the departure airport (MCO).

Hour of departure matters more than day of the week: hourly averages sit a typical 11.3 points from the route-wide rate, weekday averages 3.8 points.

On-time arrival rate for MCO to BWI by weekday and scheduled departure hour, local time. Each button reads out one slot.
Hour	Monday	Tuesday	Wednesday	Thursday	Friday	Saturday	Sunday
6 AM–7 AM
7 AM–8 AM
8 AM–9 AM
9 AM–10 AM
10 AM–11 AM
11 AM–12 PM
12 PM–1 PM
1 PM–2 PM
2 PM–3 PM
3 PM–4 PM
4 PM–5 PM
5 PM–6 PM
6 PM–7 PM
7 PM–8 PM
8 PM–9 PM
9 PM–10 PM

On-time rate, % · stronger color, fewer on time

40–49
50–59
60–69
70–79
80–89
90–99

Fewer than 120 flights, not scored

Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · July 2023 – July 2026 · On time is arrival within 15 minutes of schedule. Cells round to whole percentages; the table shows one decimal.

No slot is named best or worst: too few reach 500 flights. Departures before 6 AM and after 10 PM (699 flights) are not drawn: no slot in those hours has enough flights to score.

View as tableHide table

On-time arrival rate (%) with flights beneath, by scheduled departure hour and weekday for MCO to BWI. A dash means fewer than 120 flights, which are not scored.
Hour	Monday	Tuesday	Wednesday	Thursday	Friday	Saturday	Sunday
6 AM–7 AM	92.1% on time167 flights	94.7% on time136 flights	95.3% on time151 flights	92.8% on time157 flights	93.8% on time162 flights	96.1% on time131 flights	93.2% on time147 flights
7 AM–8 AM	91.3% on time165 flights	118 flights, too few to score	113 flights, too few to score	94.2% on time160 flights	91.7% on time170 flights	91.7% on time122 flights	90.1% on time144 flights
8 AM–9 AM	89.7% on time157 flights	96.5% on time146 flights	94.0% on time154 flights	88.9% on time166 flights	88.5% on time159 flights	94.7% on time132 flights	86.0% on time150 flights
9 AM–10 AM	83.7% on time142 flights	94.2% on time122 flights	85.8% on time121 flights	85.2% on time143 flights	83.3% on time134 flights	88.8% on time170 flights	80.4% on time156 flights
10 AM–11 AM	85.1% on time151 flights	87.8% on time125 flights	88.6% on time141 flights	85.5% on time139 flights	86.2% on time139 flights	79.7% on time134 flights	111 flights, too few to score
11 AM–12 PM	106 flights, too few to score	94 flights, too few to score	100 flights, too few to score	110 flights, too few to score	97 flights, too few to score	76.2% on time122 flights	98 flights, too few to score
12 PM–1 PM	75.2% on time138 flights	99 flights, too few to score	81.0% on time120 flights	71.9% on time123 flights	70.8% on time148 flights	72.5% on time124 flights	67.8% on time120 flights
1 PM–2 PM	106 flights, too few to score	83.9% on time147 flights	77.9% on time133 flights	114 flights, too few to score	102 flights, too few to score	74.5% on time150 flights	105 flights, too few to score
2 PM–3 PM	109 flights, too few to score	115 flights, too few to score	93 flights, too few to score	77.2% on time128 flights	111 flights, too few to score	65.0% on time166 flights	72.2% on time129 flights
3 PM–4 PM	118 flights, too few to score	80.0% on time183 flights	75.7% on time151 flights	108 flights, too few to score	116 flights, too few to score	107 flights, too few to score	65.5% on time124 flights
4 PM–5 PM	108 flights, too few to score	72.9% on time133 flights	71.9% on time134 flights	77.3% on time121 flights	107 flights, too few to score	58.7% on time186 flights	107 flights, too few to score
5 PM–6 PM	64.8% on time168 flights	70.8% on time139 flights	79.1% on time141 flights	74.8% on time153 flights	64.4% on time182 flights	63.7% on time137 flights	58.7% on time179 flights
6 PM–7 PM	58.5% on time182 flights	66.7% on time150 flights	70.5% on time152 flights	62.5% on time212 flights	63.8% on time190 flights	60.9% on time225 flights	52.5% on time183 flights
7 PM–8 PM	63.1% on time156 flights	69.0% on time128 flights	117 flights, too few to score	63.9% on time135 flights	68.0% on time132 flights	91 flights, too few to score	56.9% on time141 flights
8 PM–9 PM	60.8% on time134 flights	98 flights, too few to score	98 flights, too few to score	61.4% on time120 flights	114 flights, too few to score	58.1% on time122 flights	48.0% on time128 flights
9 PM–10 PM	63.3% on time154 flights	108 flights, too few to score	104 flights, too few to score	116 flights, too few to score	67.9% on time161 flights	54.5% on time126 flights	55.5% on time136 flights

By departure window

5–9 AM92.3%

9 AM–12 PM83.1%

12–3 PM74.5%

3–6 PM69.6%

6–9 PM62.8%

9 PM–5 AM62.2%

By departure hour

12 AM

3 AM

6 AM

9 AM

12 PM

3 PM

6 PM

9 PM

Why MCO → BWI runs late

July 2023 – July 2026

Late-arriving aircraft36.3%

the inbound aircraft was late, so this flight started late

The airline28.8%

crew, maintenance, boarding and fueling, all within the carrier’s control

Air traffic control27.5%

airspace and airport capacity, including weather-driven flow control

Weather6.4%

weather severe enough to stop this flight specifically

Security1.1%

screening or terminal security incidents

Share of the delay minutes US DOT attributed to each cause for MCO → BWI. Only delays of 15 minutes or more are attributed.

Late-arriving aircraft is the largest cause on MCO → BWI, at 36.3%: flights here mostly leave late because the plane came in late, and the day shows it: 5–9 AM departures arrived on time 92.3% of the time and 9 PM–5 AM departures 62.2%.

How this route holds up in bad weather

July 2023 – July 2026

Bad weather raises cancellations by a similar amount at both ends of MCO to BWI: 3.2 times the normal rate at MCO and 4.8 times at BWI. Cancelled in bad weather against normal hours: MCO 4.0% against 1.3%, BWI 4.7% against 1.0%. Flights that did leave MCO in bad weather arrived on time 54.1% of the time, against 76.3% in normal hours.

Bad weather and normal hours at the airports

Scheduled departures, July 2023 – July 2026

Departures from MCO and BWI in hours of bad weather and in normal hours
Departures from	MCO	BWI
Cancelled in bad weather	4.0%	4.7%
Cancelled in normal hours	1.3%	1.0%
Arrived on time, bad weather	54.1%	65.5%
Arrived on time, normal hours	76.3%	77.5%
Departures in bad weather	33,297	30,451

Of the carriers on this route, Southwest Airlines (3.3% cancelled against 4.4% for the other carriers at MCO) cancelled the fewest departures from MCO in bad weather and Spirit Airlines (5.7% cancelled against 3.9% for the other carriers at MCO) the most.

This route’s airlines in bad weather at MCO

All departures from MCO

Cancellation rates in bad weather at MCO for the airlines that fly MCO to BWI, against the other carriers at MCO in the same months
Airline	Bad-weather departures	Cancelled	Other carriers
Southwest Airlines	9,331	3.3%below the others	4.4%
Frontier Airlines	3,840	4.7%above the others	3.9%
Spirit Airlines	4,014	5.7%above the others	3.9%

These are airport figures, not route figures: every scheduled departure from MCO and BWI, to any destination, in hours the weather report called bad. The airline rows count each carrier’s departures from MCO on every route.

Weather source and limits. In full: MCO (airlines), BWI, What Weather Costs Each Airport, Who Cancels More When the Weather Turns, Airports That Change Places When Weather Turns.

Airlines on this route

Carriers with at least 200 flights, by the airline that operated each one.

Airlines on this route
Carrier	Flights	On time	Cancelled	Median delay	Severe
Southwest Airlines	11,377	77.8%	2.02%	-5 min	6.8%
Spirit Airlines	2,605	66.5%	1.73%	0 min	13.2%
Frontier Airlines	1,874	76.3%	1.87%	-7 min	9.1%

Southwest Airlines flew 71.8% of the 15,856 flights listed.

Southwest Airlines arrived on time 11.3 percentage points more often than Spirit Airlines on this route.

Other ways to fly Orlando to Washington

Airport pairs in the same two city markets, as the DOT defines them.

Other ways to fly Orlando to Washington
Route	Flights	On time	Cancelled	Median delay	Score
MCO→BWI this route Orlando to Baltimore	15,856	75.8%	1.96%	-4 min	58
MCO→DCA Orlando to Washington	14,634	72.4%	1.84%	-4 min	46

MCO → BWI is the most reliable pairing for this journey at 75.8% on time, against 72.4% for MCO → DCA.

Flights on this route

Flight numbers with at least 600 operations here and still on the schedule.

Flights on this route
Flight	Scheduled	Operations	On time
F93274 Frontier Airlines	5:05 AM	682	86.9%

Weekly and seasonal patterns

By day of week

Mon74.1%

Tue81.1%

Wed80.7%

Thu76.8%

Fri76.3%

Sat72.7%

Sun69.8%

Tuesday is historically the most reliable day and Sunday the least, a gap of 11.3 percentage points.

By month

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

July is historically the weakest month and November the strongest, a spread of 23.4 percentage points.

Reliability over time

July 2023 – July 2026

24

25

26

Over the most recent 12 months (2025-08 to 2026-07), on-time arrivals averaged 75.6% against 78.7% in the 12 months before — declining by 3.1 percentage points.

Data and methodology

Calculated by FlyerIntel from 15,856 MCO → BWI flight records from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, covering July 2023 – July 2026. Late means 15 or more minutes past scheduled arrival; cancelled and diverted flights are left out of on-time rates.

Full methodology · Data sources · Report a problem

Analysis last recomputed September 26, 2026

MCO airport BWI airport Return direction BWI → MCO

MCO→BWI

Right now

Route reliability

Why MCO → BWI flights are cancelled

Share of cancellations

What each reason means

When it goes wrong

Will your connection be tight enough?

Best time to fly

By day and hour

By departure window

By departure hour

Why MCO → BWI runs late

How this route holds up in bad weather

Bad weather and normal hours at the airports

This route’s airlines in bad weather at MCO

Airlines on this route

Other ways to fly Orlando to Washington

Flights on this route

Weekly and seasonal patterns

By day of week

By month

Reliability over time

Data and methodology