BWI → MCO Flight Reliability

Right now

Origin · BWINo disruption reported

Aviation weather is not currently a factor.

Updated 08:54 UTC

Baltimore airport profile →

Destination · MCONo disruption reported

Aviation weather is not currently a factor.

Updated 08:53 UTC

Orlando airport profile →

Route reliability

July 2023 – July 2026

Route Reliability Score

54/ 100Fair

Better than 22% of comparable major US routes (4,598 compared)

Calculated from 15,894 flights. How this is calculated

On-time arrivals

74.8%

11,615 of 15,532

Cancellation rate

1.98%

314 cancelled

Median arrival delay

-4 min

Average 10.6 min

Severe delays

9.1%

60+ minutes late

Delay when late

71 min

Average, when 15+ min late

Flights analyzed

15,894

3 carriers

BWI → MCO arrives on time 74.8% of the time; the return trip, MCO → BWI, arrives on time 75.8% of the time.

BWI → MCO spends 25.8 minutes on the ground on a 787-mile trip: 15.4 minutes from pushback to wheels-up at BWI and 10.4 minutes from touchdown to gate at MCO.

Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Data covering July 2023 – July 2026

Why BWI → MCO flights are cancelled

July 2023 – July 2026

BWI → MCO cancelled 314 of 15,894 scheduled flights — about 1 in every 51. The reason filed most often was extreme weather, 59.6% of the cancellations coded on this route — about 1 in every 85 scheduled flights.

Share of cancellations

Weather59.6%

Airline27.4%

Air traffic13.1%

Security0.0%

Of 314 cancelled departures carrying a reason code.

What each reason means

Extreme weather1 in 85

Conditions the carrier judged severe enough to stop the flight: a blizzard, a hurricane, a line of thunderstorms.

187 cancellations, 59.6% of the total.

The airline1 in 185

Crew, maintenance, aircraft cleaning, baggage or fueling: what BTS counts as within the carrier’s own control.

86 cancellations, 27.4% of the total.

The air traffic system1 in 388

Airport capacity, air traffic control flow programs, heavy traffic and ordinary bad weather. A system decision, not the airline’s.

41 cancellations, 13.1% of the total.

Security—

A terminal evacuation, a security breach, screening equipment failure, or screening queues over 29 minutes.

0 cancellations, 0.0% of the total.

Reason codes are the operating airline’s own filing with US DOT, not an independent finding of fault. Ordinary bad weather is filed under air traffic, so weather’s full share is larger than its bar.

314 coded cancellations were recorded on BWI → MCO; the section appears from 50.

When it goes wrong

July 2023 – July 2026

One arrival in ten is worse than

55 min late

against a median of 4 min early

Arrived an hour or more late9.1%

Typical delay when late71 min

Cancelled1.98%

Landed somewhere else0.30%

Percentiles over 15,894 operations; cancelled and diverted flights are counted separately.

Will your connection be tight enough?

Layovers at MCO after arriving from BWI.

Connection buffer and chance of missing by layover length, BWI → MCO arrivals
Connection time	Chance of missing	Reads as
30 min	41%	Likely to miss
45 min	24%	High risk
60 min	16%	High risk
90 min	9.0%	Some risk
120 min	5.8%	Some risk

This is one leg of a connection. Gate changes and the next flight's own schedule matter too. And a connection can fail before delay is even the question — this route cancels 1.98% of the time and diverts 0.30% of the time, which a late arrival never shows up in.

Chance of missing is the share of 15,532 arrivals on this route that landed later than the connection time less 30 minutes to reach the next gate.

The worst tenth of arrivals on this route land at least 55 minutes late (90th-percentile gate arrival delay), over 15,894 operations.

Any other layover length: connection checker.

Best time to fly

BWI → MCO flights departing 5–9 AM arrived on time 88.0% of the time, against 63.4% for 6–9 PM departures, a gap of 24.6 percentage points.

By day and hour

On-time arrival rate for each weekday and scheduled departure hour, in local time at the departure airport (BWI).

Hour of departure matters more than day of the week: hourly averages sit a typical 9.7 points from the route-wide rate, weekday averages 3.5 points.

On-time arrival rate for BWI to MCO by weekday and scheduled departure hour, local time. Each button reads out one slot.
Hour	Monday	Tuesday	Wednesday	Thursday	Friday	Saturday	Sunday
6 AM–7 AM
7 AM–8 AM
8 AM–9 AM
9 AM–10 AM
10 AM–11 AM
11 AM–12 PM
12 PM–1 PM
1 PM–2 PM
2 PM–3 PM
3 PM–4 PM
4 PM–5 PM
5 PM–6 PM
6 PM–7 PM
7 PM–8 PM
8 PM–9 PM
9 PM–10 PM

On-time rate, % · stronger color, fewer on time

50–59
60–69
70–79
80–89
90–99

Fewer than 120 flights, not scored

Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · July 2023 – July 2026 · On time is arrival within 15 minutes of schedule. Cells round to whole percentages; the table shows one decimal.

No slot is named best or worst: too few reach 500 flights. Departures before 6 AM and after 10 PM (279 flights) are not drawn: no slot in those hours has enough flights to score.

View as tableHide table

On-time arrival rate (%) with flights beneath, by scheduled departure hour and weekday for BWI to MCO. A dash means fewer than 120 flights, which are not scored.
Hour	Monday	Tuesday	Wednesday	Thursday	Friday	Saturday	Sunday
6 AM–7 AM	88.0% on time193 flights	95.2% on time192 flights	93.4% on time185 flights	91.0% on time202 flights	85.6% on time197 flights	90.6% on time183 flights	90.4% on time204 flights
7 AM–8 AM	114 flights, too few to score	106 flights, too few to score	119 flights, too few to score	102 flights, too few to score	118 flights, too few to score	84.2% on time165 flights	93.3% on time121 flights
8 AM–9 AM	81.1% on time220 flights	90.1% on time193 flights	84.2% on time205 flights	81.8% on time229 flights	85.3% on time233 flights	76.7% on time184 flights	86.2% on time191 flights
9 AM–10 AM	74.8% on time162 flights	85.0% on time135 flights	85.5% on time141 flights	84.2% on time148 flights	80.4% on time145 flights	77.3% on time156 flights	77.1% on time172 flights
10 AM–11 AM	81.5% on time178 flights	86.0% on time189 flights	86.7% on time167 flights	82.3% on time190 flights	76.2% on time173 flights	79.5% on time148 flights	74.6% on time182 flights
11 AM–12 PM	75.6% on time127 flights	116 flights, too few to score	82.7% on time136 flights	118 flights, too few to score	75.2% on time135 flights	78.9% on time124 flights	89 flights, too few to score
12 PM–1 PM	77.1% on time148 flights	103 flights, too few to score	81 flights, too few to score	79.6% on time145 flights	70.2% on time152 flights	71.2% on time127 flights	70.3% on time153 flights
1 PM–2 PM	71 flights, too few to score	76 flights, too few to score	83 flights, too few to score	61 flights, too few to score	71 flights, too few to score	119 flights, too few to score	108 flights, too few to score
2 PM–3 PM	116 flights, too few to score	105 flights, too few to score	101 flights, too few to score	65.4% on time127 flights	100 flights, too few to score	112 flights, too few to score	97 flights, too few to score
3 PM–4 PM	68.9% on time125 flights	68.6% on time158 flights	66.7% on time140 flights	64.4% on time122 flights	68.2% on time129 flights	65.5% on time201 flights	65.8% on time121 flights
4 PM–5 PM	68.8% on time163 flights	78.2% on time139 flights	70.8% on time145 flights	69.9% on time154 flights	68.8% on time157 flights	74.5% on time167 flights	57.5% on time125 flights
5 PM–6 PM	64.2% on time170 flights	65.4% on time136 flights	117 flights, too few to score	62.7% on time145 flights	70.1% on time166 flights	58.5% on time134 flights	61.2% on time120 flights
6 PM–7 PM	66.5% on time185 flights	71.8% on time164 flights	63.3% on time172 flights	60.0% on time182 flights	64.2% on time194 flights	58.0% on time160 flights	51.6% on time195 flights
7 PM–8 PM	86 flights, too few to score	58 flights, too few to score	56 flights, too few to score	106 flights, too few to score	100 flights, too few to score	59.2% on time150 flights	119 flights, too few to score
8 PM–9 PM	64.5% on time154 flights	76.0% on time124 flights	110 flights, too few to score	58.0% on time153 flights	63.8% on time143 flights	88 flights, too few to score	61.4% on time156 flights
9 PM–10 PM	105 flights, too few to score	63 flights, too few to score	77 flights, too few to score	66.4% on time120 flights	108 flights, too few to score	97 flights, too few to score	113 flights, too few to score

By departure window

5–9 AM88.0%

9 AM–12 PM80.1%

12–3 PM72.6%

3–6 PM67.3%

6–9 PM63.4%

9 PM–5 AM64.0%

By departure hour

12 AM

3 AM

6 AM

9 AM

12 PM

3 PM

6 PM

9 PM

Why BWI → MCO runs late

July 2023 – July 2026

Late-arriving aircraft33.1%

the inbound aircraft was late, so this flight started late

Air traffic control32.5%

airspace and airport capacity, including weather-driven flow control

The airline30.5%

crew, maintenance, boarding and fueling, all within the carrier’s control

Weather3.6%

weather severe enough to stop this flight specifically

Security0.3%

screening or terminal security incidents

Share of the delay minutes US DOT attributed to each cause for BWI → MCO. Only delays of 15 minutes or more are attributed.

Late-arriving aircraft is the largest cause on BWI → MCO, at 33.1%: flights here mostly leave late because the plane came in late, and the day shows it: 5–9 AM departures arrived on time 88.0% of the time and 6–9 PM departures 63.4%.

How this route holds up in bad weather

July 2023 – July 2026

Bad weather raises cancellations by a similar amount at both ends of BWI to MCO: 4.8 times the normal rate at BWI and 3.2 times at MCO. Cancelled in bad weather against normal hours: BWI 4.7% against 1.0%, MCO 4.0% against 1.3%. Flights that did leave MCO in bad weather arrived on time 54.1% of the time, against 76.3% in normal hours.

Bad weather and normal hours at the airports

Scheduled departures, July 2023 – July 2026

Departures from BWI and MCO in hours of bad weather and in normal hours
Departures from	BWI	MCO
Cancelled in bad weather	4.7%	4.0%
Cancelled in normal hours	1.0%	1.3%
Arrived on time, bad weather	65.5%	54.1%
Arrived on time, normal hours	77.5%	76.3%
Departures in bad weather	30,451	33,297

Frontier Airlines (6.8% cancelled against 5.2% for the other carriers at BWI) cancelled more departures from BWI in bad weather than the other carriers there did in the same months. None of the route’s other carriers was clearly better.

This route’s airlines in bad weather at BWI

All departures from BWI

Cancellation rates in bad weather at BWI for the airlines that fly BWI to MCO, against the other carriers at BWI in the same months
Airline	Bad-weather departures	Cancelled	Other carriers
Southwest Airlines	22,658	5.1%about level	4.9%
Spirit Airlines	1,603	4.6%about level	4.1%
Frontier Airlines	946	6.8%above the others	5.2%

These are airport figures, not route figures: every scheduled departure from BWI and MCO, to any destination, in hours the weather report called bad. The airline rows count each carrier’s departures from BWI on every route.

Weather source and limits. In full: BWI (airlines), MCO, What Weather Costs Each Airport, Who Cancels More When the Weather Turns, Airports That Change Places When Weather Turns.

Airlines on this route

Carriers with at least 200 flights, by the airline that operated each one.

Airlines on this route
Carrier	Flights	On time	Cancelled	Median delay	Severe
Southwest Airlines	11,408	75.2%	1.92%	-4 min	8.2%
Spirit Airlines	2,608	74.1%	1.69%	-7 min	10.7%
Frontier Airlines	1,878	73.1%	2.72%	-8 min	12.2%

Southwest Airlines flew 71.8% of the 15,894 flights listed. Frontier Airlines cancelled 2.72% of its flights here against 1.69% for Spirit Airlines.

Southwest Airlines arrived on time 2.1 percentage points more often than Frontier Airlines on this route.

Other ways to fly Washington to Orlando

Airport pairs in the same two city markets, as the DOT defines them.

Other ways to fly Washington to Orlando
Route	Flights	On time	Cancelled	Median delay	Score
BWI→MCO this route Baltimore to Orlando	15,894	74.8%	1.98%	-4 min	54
DCA→MCO Washington to Orlando	14,633	77.1%	1.97%	-7 min	54

Flying to MCO from the Washington area? Compare BWI, DCA, IAD for MCO, with the same test for what counts as a real difference.

Weekly and seasonal patterns

By day of week

Mon74.3%

Tue81.3%

Wed78.5%

Thu74.7%

Fri74.4%

Sat71.8%

Sun69.7%

Tuesday is historically the most reliable day and Sunday the least, a gap of 11.6 percentage points.

By month

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

July is historically the weakest month and November the strongest, a spread of 23.9 percentage points.

Reliability over time

July 2023 – July 2026

24

25

26

Over the most recent 12 months (2025-08 to 2026-07), on-time arrivals averaged 75.5% against 77.9% in the 12 months before — declining by 2.4 percentage points.

Data and methodology

Calculated by FlyerIntel from 15,894 BWI → MCO flight records from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, covering July 2023 – July 2026. Late means 15 or more minutes past scheduled arrival; cancelled and diverted flights are left out of on-time rates.

Full methodology · Data sources · Report a problem

Analysis last recomputed September 26, 2026

BWI airport MCO airport Return direction MCO → BWI

BWI→MCO

Right now

Route reliability

Why BWI → MCO flights are cancelled

Share of cancellations

What each reason means

When it goes wrong

Will your connection be tight enough?

Best time to fly

By day and hour

By departure window

By departure hour

Why BWI → MCO runs late

How this route holds up in bad weather

Bad weather and normal hours at the airports

This route’s airlines in bad weather at BWI

Airlines on this route

Other ways to fly Washington to Orlando

Weekly and seasonal patterns

By day of week

By month

Reliability over time

Data and methodology