Flight profile · Republic Airways

YX3510

Milwaukee (MKE) to Newark (EWR) · scheduled 6:40 PM – 9:59 PM

This page describes how YX3510 has historically performed, which is a different and more useful question when you are deciding what to book. The live position below is a reading from receivers on the ground, not flight status. For today’s status, check with Republic Airways.

How YX3510 performs

763 operations, October 2023 – July 2026.

On-time arrivals
76.8%
543 of 707 completed
Cancellation rate
7.21%
55 cancelled
Median arrival delay
-15 min
Average 4.0 min
Severe delays
9.3%
Arrived 60+ minutes late
Delay when late
79 min
Average, when 15+ min late
Departure punctuality
77.3%
Left the gate on time

YX3510 arrived on time 76.8% of the time, against 82.0% for all MKE → EWR flights, so this departure is 5.2 percentage points worse than the route as a whole. Against Republic Airways’ own flights on this route it is 5.0 points worse.

Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · 763 operations, October 2023 – July 2026 · If YX3510 is cancelled or significantly changed, DOT’s automatic refund rule may entitle you to your money back. The refund checker walks through eligibility.

Where YX3510 is right now

A live reading, only if you ask for it. It is not part of the reliability record above.

Ask for the position of YX3510 right now, if receivers on the ground are hearing it. Nothing is requested until you press the button.

Against the rest of the route

Against the rest of the route
Flight or routeOn timeCancelledMedian delaySevereFlights
YX351076.8%7.21%-15 min9.3%763
Republic Airways on MKE → EWR81.8%5.13%-15 min7.4%2,477
All MKE → EWR flights82.0%4.95%-15 min7.4%2,585

YX3510 has cancelled 7.21% of its scheduled departures (55 of 763), against 4.95% for all MKE → EWR flights — this specific departure cancels 2.3 percentage points more often than the route as a whole. Different flight numbers on the same route can carry different aircraft, crews and schedules, so this is a fact about YX3510 specifically, not about the route it flies.

Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · October 2023 – July 2026

Why YX3510 runs late

Where US DOT attributed the delay minutes on this flight.

Share of the delay minutes US DOT attributed to each cause for YX3510 on MKE → EWR. Only delays of 15 minutes or more are attributed.

Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Data covering October 2023 – July 2026

Does a late aircraft delay this flight?

How often the plane that flies YX3510 comes in late, and what that does to the departure.

Inbound aircraft late
15%
102 of 702 departures came in 15+ minutes late
Scheduled time on the ground
42 minutes
Median at MKE between the inbound and this departure

The aircraft flying YX3510 came in 15 or more minutes late on 15% of the departures where its previous flight is known. There are not enough departures in both groups to say how the flight left after a late one and after an on-time one.

Each departure is matched to the flight the same aircraft flew into MKE just before it, using the tail number in the DOT file, 702 of 708 departures in all. A departure is left out when that flight is unknown, was cancelled or diverted, or the aircraft had sat for more than 12 hours. A flight the airline cancelled never left and is not in the count, and one flown by a substitute aircraft is matched to the aircraft that flew it, not to the one first planned.

Against the network at the same turn length

YX3510 against all flights with a scheduled turn of 30 to 44 minutes
Share of departuresInbound landed 15+ late
YX351015%
Network, same turn18%

The schedule leaves little slack between the inbound landing and this departure, so a late arrival has almost nowhere to go but into the departure.

The network row is every flight with a scheduled turn of 30 to 44 minutes. How often YX3510’s aircraft landed 15 or more minutes late is lower than the network’s. There are not enough departures in both groups to compare how it left.

More: Which Flight Numbers Pay for a Late Aircraft lists the flight numbers that pass a late aircraft on.

Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Data covering October 2023 – July 2026

From pushback to gate

When it leaves MKE late, does that still matter by the time it reaches EWR?

Leaves the gate
13.4 minutes late
Average over 708 pushbacks
Taxi out at MKE
17.3 min
14.2 min for the airport in this hour
Taxi in at EWR
11.9 min
10.1 min for a typical EWR arrival
Reaches the gate at EWR
4.0 minutes late
Average over 707 arrivals

YX3510 pushes back an average of 13.4 minutes late and reaches the gate at EWR an average of 4.0 minutes late. The 9.4 minutes between those two figures are slack the published schedule already carries, which is why a late pushback on this flight does not reliably become a late arrival. It spends 17.3 minutes on the taxiways at MKE, 3.1 minutes longer than a typical MKE departure in the same hour.

On arrival at EWR, YX3510 spends 11.9 min taxiing from touchdown to the gate — ground time a connecting passenger sits through before they can even leave the aircraft, on top of however late the flight itself ran. That is 1.8 minutes longer than a typical EWR arrival (10.1 min).

Departure delay is averaged over every pushback and arrival delay over every completed arrival, so the two counts differ by the flights that never reached EWR. Taxi-out is gate to wheels up and sits inside the scheduled block rather than on top of it; the comparison is 5,892 departures from MKE scheduled in the clock hour YX3510 most often leaves in. Taxi-in is landing to gate, compared against every arrival FlyerIntel has on file at EWR (387,854 flights), not just YX3510’s own. More on taxi time.

Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · October 2023 – July 2026

The hour it leaves MKE

Part of any flight’s record belongs to the clock rather than to the flight. YX3510 has one departure time, so this is what that time is worth.

YX351076.8%
All MKE departures, 6 PM–7 PM70.8%
All MKE departures, whole day80.7%

On-time arrival rate. 5,892 departures from MKE are scheduled in the 6 PM–7 PM hour over the period, against 87,869 across the whole day.

YX3510 is scheduled out of MKE at 6:40 PM, in the 6 PM–7 PM bank. Departures from MKE in that hour arrive on time 70.8% of the time against 80.7% across the airport’s whole day — the slot alone is worth 10.0 points worse before anything about this particular flight is considered.

The two airport figures cover every departure from MKE to every destination, so they describe the slot rather than this journey — the like-for-like comparison against the route is above. Hours are scheduled local, and a number whose schedule moved between banks inside the period has no single hour and is not described here at all. Why the hour matters.

Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · October 2023 – July 2026 · Hours below 120 departures are not scored.

Other routes YX3510 has flown

A flight number is a slot in a schedule, and carriers reassign it. These are the other city pairs this number served in the analysis period.

Other routes YX3510 has flown
RouteOperatedFlightsOn time
EWR→CHS Newark to CharlestonJune 27, 2026 – July 25, 20265—
RIC→ORD Richmond to ChicagoJune 13–20, 20262—
EWR→BNA Newark to NashvilleMarch 7–28, 20264—
MCI→ORD Kansas City to ChicagoFebruary 13, 2026 – March 4, 202620—
SAV→ORD Savannah to ChicagoFebruary 12, 20261—
CHA→ORD Chattanooga to ChicagoJanuary 6, 2026 – February 11, 202632—
ORD→IND Chicago to IndianapolisFebruary 7, 20261—
EWR→MSY Newark to New OrleansJune 14, 2025 – October 25, 20257—
CVG→ORD Cincinnati / Covington to ChicagoJune 1–17, 20255—
ORD→GRB Chicago to Green BayMay 22–30, 20256—
IAD→MSP Washington to MinneapolisMay 25, 20251—
EWR→SYR Newark to SyracuseAugust 12–14, 20243—
ROC→IAD Rochester to WashingtonJuly 2, 2024 – August 1, 202431—
LEX→ORD Lexington to ChicagoJune 28, 2024 – July 1, 20244—
PIT→ORD Pittsburgh to ChicagoJune 27, 20241—
ORD→DTW Chicago to DetroitJanuary 8, 20241—
RDU→EWR Raleigh–Durham to NewarkDecember 21, 20231—
MDT→EWR Harrisburg to NewarkSeptember 29, 2023 – October 27, 202326—
EWR→PIT Newark to PittsburghSeptember 17–28, 202310—
EWR→CLT Newark to CharlotteSeptember 9–23, 20232—
EWR→DCA Newark to WashingtonSeptember 8–22, 20232—
PWM→EWR Portland to NewarkJuly 1, 2023 – September 4, 202366—

Because the same number has served different journeys, the statistics above describe only the route YX3510 currently operates. Blending them would produce an average of two different flights.

When it goes wrong

The average describes a usual day. This is the day that ruins a connection.

One arrival in ten is worse than

57 min late

against a median of 15 min early

Arrived an hour or more late9.3%
Typical delay when late79 min
Cancelled7.21%
Landed somewhere else0.13%

YX3510 has an average that understates its risk: a typical arrival is 15 min early, but the worst tenth are 72 minutes worse than that. If the trip has something unmissable at the end of it, the median is the wrong number to plan against.

Percentiles over 763 operations; cancelled and diverted flights are counted separately.

Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Data covering October 2023 – July 2026

Data and methodology

Calculated by FlyerIntel from 763 records of YX3510 operating MKE → EWR, published by the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics. A flight counts as delayed when it arrives 15 or more minutes after schedule. Cancelled and diverted flights are excluded from the on-time rate and reported separately. Flight numbers are resolved as carrier plus number plus route, because the same number serves different routes over time.

Full methodology · Data sources · Report a problem

Related research: Most and Least Reliable Flight Numbers · The Delay You Inherit · Making Up Time in the Air

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