Flight profile · Republic Airways
YX3510
Milwaukee (MKE) to Newark (EWR) · scheduled 6:40 PM – 9:59 PM
How YX3510 performs
763 operations, October 2023 – July 2026.
YX3510 arrived on time 76.8% of the time, against 82.0% for all MKE → EWR flights, so this departure is 5.2 percentage points worse than the route as a whole. Against Republic Airways’ own flights on this route it is 5.0 points worse.
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · 763 operations, October 2023 – July 2026 · If YX3510 is cancelled or significantly changed, DOT’s automatic refund rule may entitle you to your money back. The refund checker walks through eligibility.
Where YX3510 is right now
A live reading, only if you ask for it. It is not part of the reliability record above.
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Against the rest of the route
| Flight or route | On time | Cancelled | Median delay | Severe | Flights |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YX3510 | 76.8% | 7.21% | -15 min | 9.3% | 763 |
| Republic Airways on MKE → EWR | 81.8% | 5.13% | -15 min | 7.4% | 2,477 |
| All MKE → EWR flights | 82.0% | 4.95% | -15 min | 7.4% | 2,585 |
YX3510 has cancelled 7.21% of its scheduled departures (55 of 763), against 4.95% for all MKE → EWR flights — this specific departure cancels 2.3 percentage points more often than the route as a whole. Different flight numbers on the same route can carry different aircraft, crews and schedules, so this is a fact about YX3510 specifically, not about the route it flies.
Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · October 2023 – July 2026
Why YX3510 runs late
Where US DOT attributed the delay minutes on this flight.
airspace and airport capacity, including weather-driven flow control
the inbound aircraft was late, so this flight started late
weather severe enough to stop this flight specifically
crew, maintenance, boarding and fueling, all within the carrier’s control
Share of the delay minutes US DOT attributed to each cause for YX3510 on MKE → EWR. Only delays of 15 minutes or more are attributed.
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Data covering October 2023 – July 2026
Does a late aircraft delay this flight?
How often the plane that flies YX3510 comes in late, and what that does to the departure.
The aircraft flying YX3510 came in 15 or more minutes late on 15% of the departures where its previous flight is known. There are not enough departures in both groups to say how the flight left after a late one and after an on-time one.
Each departure is matched to the flight the same aircraft flew into MKE just before it, using the tail number in the DOT file, 702 of 708 departures in all. A departure is left out when that flight is unknown, was cancelled or diverted, or the aircraft had sat for more than 12 hours. A flight the airline cancelled never left and is not in the count, and one flown by a substitute aircraft is matched to the aircraft that flew it, not to the one first planned.
Against the network at the same turn length
| Share of departures | Inbound landed 15+ late |
|---|---|
| YX3510 | 15% |
| Network, same turn | 18% |
The schedule leaves little slack between the inbound landing and this departure, so a late arrival has almost nowhere to go but into the departure.
The network row is every flight with a scheduled turn of 30 to 44 minutes. How often YX3510’s aircraft landed 15 or more minutes late is lower than the network’s. There are not enough departures in both groups to compare how it left.
More: Which Flight Numbers Pay for a Late Aircraft lists the flight numbers that pass a late aircraft on.
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Data covering October 2023 – July 2026
From pushback to gate
When it leaves MKE late, does that still matter by the time it reaches EWR?
YX3510 pushes back an average of 13.4 minutes late and reaches the gate at EWR an average of 4.0 minutes late. The 9.4 minutes between those two figures are slack the published schedule already carries, which is why a late pushback on this flight does not reliably become a late arrival. It spends 17.3 minutes on the taxiways at MKE, 3.1 minutes longer than a typical MKE departure in the same hour.
On arrival at EWR, YX3510 spends 11.9 min taxiing from touchdown to the gate — ground time a connecting passenger sits through before they can even leave the aircraft, on top of however late the flight itself ran. That is 1.8 minutes longer than a typical EWR arrival (10.1 min).
Departure delay is averaged over every pushback and arrival delay over every completed arrival, so the two counts differ by the flights that never reached EWR. Taxi-out is gate to wheels up and sits inside the scheduled block rather than on top of it; the comparison is 5,892 departures from MKE scheduled in the clock hour YX3510 most often leaves in. Taxi-in is landing to gate, compared against every arrival FlyerIntel has on file at EWR (387,854 flights), not just YX3510’s own. More on taxi time.
Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · October 2023 – July 2026
The hour it leaves MKE
Part of any flight’s record belongs to the clock rather than to the flight. YX3510 has one departure time, so this is what that time is worth.
On-time arrival rate. 5,892 departures from MKE are scheduled in the 6 PM–7 PM hour over the period, against 87,869 across the whole day.
YX3510 is scheduled out of MKE at 6:40 PM, in the 6 PM–7 PM bank. Departures from MKE in that hour arrive on time 70.8% of the time against 80.7% across the airport’s whole day — the slot alone is worth 10.0 points worse before anything about this particular flight is considered.
The two airport figures cover every departure from MKE to every destination, so they describe the slot rather than this journey — the like-for-like comparison against the route is above. Hours are scheduled local, and a number whose schedule moved between banks inside the period has no single hour and is not described here at all. Why the hour matters.
Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · October 2023 – July 2026 · Hours below 120 departures are not scored.
Other routes YX3510 has flown
A flight number is a slot in a schedule, and carriers reassign it. These are the other city pairs this number served in the analysis period.
| Route | Operated | Flights | On time |
|---|---|---|---|
| EWR→CHS Newark to Charleston | June 27, 2026 – July 25, 2026 | 5 | — |
| RIC→ORD Richmond to Chicago | June 13–20, 2026 | 2 | — |
| EWR→BNA Newark to Nashville | March 7–28, 2026 | 4 | — |
| MCI→ORD Kansas City to Chicago | February 13, 2026 – March 4, 2026 | 20 | — |
| SAV→ORD Savannah to Chicago | February 12, 2026 | 1 | — |
| CHA→ORD Chattanooga to Chicago | January 6, 2026 – February 11, 2026 | 32 | — |
| ORD→IND Chicago to Indianapolis | February 7, 2026 | 1 | — |
| EWR→MSY Newark to New Orleans | June 14, 2025 – October 25, 2025 | 7 | — |
| CVG→ORD Cincinnati / Covington to Chicago | June 1–17, 2025 | 5 | — |
| ORD→GRB Chicago to Green Bay | May 22–30, 2025 | 6 | — |
| IAD→MSP Washington to Minneapolis | May 25, 2025 | 1 | — |
| EWR→SYR Newark to Syracuse | August 12–14, 2024 | 3 | — |
| ROC→IAD Rochester to Washington | July 2, 2024 – August 1, 2024 | 31 | — |
| LEX→ORD Lexington to Chicago | June 28, 2024 – July 1, 2024 | 4 | — |
| PIT→ORD Pittsburgh to Chicago | June 27, 2024 | 1 | — |
| ORD→DTW Chicago to Detroit | January 8, 2024 | 1 | — |
| RDU→EWR Raleigh–Durham to Newark | December 21, 2023 | 1 | — |
| MDT→EWR Harrisburg to Newark | September 29, 2023 – October 27, 2023 | 26 | — |
| EWR→PIT Newark to Pittsburgh | September 17–28, 2023 | 10 | — |
| EWR→CLT Newark to Charlotte | September 9–23, 2023 | 2 | — |
| EWR→DCA Newark to Washington | September 8–22, 2023 | 2 | — |
| PWM→EWR Portland to Newark | July 1, 2023 – September 4, 2023 | 66 | — |
Because the same number has served different journeys, the statistics above describe only the route YX3510 currently operates. Blending them would produce an average of two different flights.
When it goes wrong
The average describes a usual day. This is the day that ruins a connection.
57 min late
against a median of 15 min early
YX3510 has an average that understates its risk: a typical arrival is 15 min early, but the worst tenth are 72 minutes worse than that. If the trip has something unmissable at the end of it, the median is the wrong number to plan against.
Percentiles over 763 operations; cancelled and diverted flights are counted separately.
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Data covering October 2023 – July 2026
Data and methodology
Calculated by FlyerIntel from 763 records of YX3510 operating MKE → EWR, published by the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics. A flight counts as delayed when it arrives 15 or more minutes after schedule. Cancelled and diverted flights are excluded from the on-time rate and reported separately. Flight numbers are resolved as carrier plus number plus route, because the same number serves different routes over time.
Full methodology · Data sources · Report a problem
Related research: Most and Least Reliable Flight Numbers · The Delay You Inherit · Making Up Time in the Air
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