Route profile
PHX→EWR
Flight reliability, delays and best times to fly from Phoenix to Newark, 2,133 miles.
Right now
Aviation weather is not currently a factor.
Aviation weather is not currently a factor.
Route reliability
July 2023 – July 2026
Better than 37% of comparable major US routes (4,598 compared)
Calculated from 8,040 flights. How this is calculated
PHX → EWR arrives on time 77.3% of the time; the return trip, EWR → PHX, arrives on time 80.0% of the time, a 2.7-point gap between the two directions of the same city pair.
PHX → EWR spends 29.5 minutes on the ground on a 2,133-mile trip: 18.2 minutes from pushback to wheels-up at PHX and 11.2 minutes from touchdown to gate at EWR.
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Data covering July 2023 – July 2026
What sets this route apart
Where PHX to EWR differs most from similar routes by hour, weekday, month and airline, July 2023 – July 2026.
PHX to EWR struggles most at 3 PM: 64.2% of its flights scheduled then arrive on time, 10.6 points behind the 74.8% on routes of similar length at the same hour. Against all other routes the gap is 8.5 points.
PHX to EWR is at its best against routes of similar length for flights scheduled at 7 AM: 94.0% arrive on time, 7.7 points ahead of the 86.3% those routes manage at that hour. Against all other routes the gap is 6.2 points.
Thursday is the day PHX to EWR slips furthest against routes of similar length, 73.9% on time where they average 77.9%, 4 points lower. Against all other routes the gap is 2.9 points.
In September, PHX to EWR runs 5.9 points below routes of similar length, 77.5% on time to 83.4%. Against all other routes the gap is 4.9 points.
American Airlines’ flights on PHX to EWR arrive on time 71.3% of the time, 6.9 points below the 78.2% it manages on its routes of similar length. Against all other routes the gap is 3.8 points.
PHX to EWR against comparable routes
July 2023 – July 2026| Measure | This route | Compared with | Them | Gap | Flights behind it |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hour: 3 PM departures | 64.2% | routes of similar length | 74.8% | −10.6 pts | 550 here, 39,311 there |
| Hour: 7 AM departures | 94.0% | routes of similar length | 86.3% | +7.7 pts | 316 here, 100,970 there |
| Weekday: Thursday | 73.9% | routes of similar length | 77.9% | −4.0 pts | 1,149 here, 151,629 there |
| Month: September | 77.5% | routes of similar length | 83.4% | −5.9 pts | 608 here, 82,736 there |
| Airline: American Airlines | 71.3% | routes of similar length | 78.2% | −6.9 pts | 3,122 here, 224,197 there |
Each comparison pools the flights of other routes, with this route’s own left out. Similar length means within 15% of this route’s 2,133 miles, with at least 5 such routes. A bucket is set against the most comparable group that has enough flights: similar length, then the same origin (at least 3 routes), then all other routes. Hours, weekdays and months appear only where both sides have 120 completed flights, and airlines where both have 600. The gap must be at least 2 points and 2 standard errors, and only the largest gap each way is kept per measure. These are differences in the flights counted, not causes.
Why PHX → EWR flights are cancelled
July 2023 – July 2026
PHX → EWR cancelled 132 of 8,040 scheduled flights — about 1 in every 61. The reason filed most often was extreme weather, 62.1% of the cancellations coded on this route — about 1 in every 98 scheduled flights.
Share of cancellations
Of 132 cancelled departures carrying a reason code.
What each reason means
Conditions the carrier judged severe enough to stop the flight: a blizzard, a hurricane, a line of thunderstorms.
82 cancellations, 62.1% of the total.
Crew, maintenance, aircraft cleaning, baggage or fueling: what BTS counts as within the carrier’s own control.
34 cancellations, 25.8% of the total.
Airport capacity, air traffic control flow programs, heavy traffic and ordinary bad weather. A system decision, not the airline’s.
15 cancellations, 11.4% of the total.
A terminal evacuation, a security breach, screening equipment failure, or screening queues over 29 minutes.
1 cancellation, 0.8% of the total.
Reason codes are the operating airline’s own filing with US DOT, not an independent finding of fault. Ordinary bad weather is filed under air traffic, so weather’s full share is larger than its bar.
132 coded cancellations were recorded on PHX → EWR; the section appears from 50.
When it goes wrong
July 2023 – July 2026
48 min late
against a median of 7 min early
Percentiles over 8,040 operations; cancelled and diverted flights are counted separately.
Will your connection be tight enough?
Layovers at EWR after arriving from PHX.
| Connection time | Chance of missing | Reads as |
|---|---|---|
| 30 min | 38% | Likely to miss |
| 45 min | 22% | High risk |
| 60 min | 15% | Some risk |
| 90 min | 7.9% | Some risk |
| 120 min | 5.0% | Low risk |
This is one leg of a connection. Gate changes and the next flight's own schedule matter too. And a connection can fail before delay is even the question — this route cancels 1.64% of the time and diverts 0.71% of the time, which a late arrival never shows up in.
Chance of missing is the share of 7,851 arrivals on this route that landed later than the connection time less 30 minutes to reach the next gate.
The worst tenth of arrivals on this route land at least 48 minutes late (90th-percentile gate arrival delay), over 8,040 operations.
Any other layover length: connection checker.
Best time to fly
PHX → EWR flights departing 5–9 AM arrived on time 85.0% of the time, against 70.9% for 3–6 PM departures, a gap of 14.1 percentage points.
By departure window
By departure hour
- 12 AM: 85.6% on time from 166 flights
- 1 AM to 5 AM: too few flights to score
- 6 AM: 91.8% on time from 315 flights
- 7 AM: 94.0% on time from 323 flights
- 8 AM: 79.7% on time from 955 flights
- 9 AM: 77.1% on time from 694 flights
- 10 AM: 75.7% on time from 445 flights
- 11 AM: 77.0% on time from 699 flights
- 12 PM: 68.5% on time from 286 flights
- 1 PM: 78.8% on time from 194 flights
- 2 PM: 79.4% on time from 147 flights
- 3 PM: 64.2% on time from 554 flights
- 4 PM: 73.3% on time from 890 flights
- 5 PM: 78.5% on time from 207 flights
- 6 PM to 8 PM: too few flights to score
- 9 PM: 69.4% on time from 198 flights
- 10 PM: 76.3% on time from 767 flights
- 11 PM: 79.5% on time from 1,200 flights
Why PHX → EWR runs late
July 2023 – July 2026
airspace and airport capacity, including weather-driven flow control
the inbound aircraft was late, so this flight started late
crew, maintenance, boarding and fueling, all within the carrier’s control
weather severe enough to stop this flight specifically
screening or terminal security incidents
Share of the delay minutes US DOT attributed to each cause for PHX → EWR. Only delays of 15 minutes or more are attributed.
Airlines on this route
Carriers with at least 200 flights, by the airline that operated each one.
| Carrier | Flights | On time | Cancelled | Median delay | Severe |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United Airlines | 4,508 | 81.9% | 1.73% | -9 min | 7.7% |
| American Airlines | 3,181 | 71.3% | 1.26% | -1 min | 8.5% |
| Spirit Airlines | 351 | 73.6% | 3.99% | -7 min | 8.3% |
United Airlines flew 56.1% of the 8,040 flights listed. Spirit Airlines cancelled 3.99% of its flights here against 1.26% for American Airlines.
United Airlines arrived on time 10.6 percentage points more often than American Airlines on this route.
Flights on this route
Flight numbers with at least 600 operations here and still on the schedule.
| Flight | Scheduled | Operations | On time |
|---|---|---|---|
| AA1967 American Airlines | 3:15 PM | 776 | 68.9% |
Weekly and seasonal patterns
By day of week
Tuesday is historically the most reliable day and Sunday the least, a gap of 8.8 percentage points.
By month
- Jan: 82.2%
- Feb: 81.1%
- Mar: 75.9%
- Apr: 84.0%
- May: 74.2%
- Jun: 73.2%
- Jul: 66.3%
- Aug: 72.1%
- Sep: 77.5%
- Oct: 79.6%
- Nov: 81.9%
- Dec: 81.1%
July is historically the weakest month and April the strongest, a spread of 17.7 percentage points.
Reliability over time
July 2023 – July 2026
- July 2023: 65.9% from 185 flights
- August 2023: 82.2% from 201 flights
- September 2023: 71.9% from 236 flights
- October 2023: 88.5% from 246 flights
- November 2023: 89.0% from 254 flights
- December 2023: 84.8% from 277 flights
- January 2024: 75.9% from 257 flights
- February 2024: 81.7% from 232 flights
- March 2024: 74.1% from 247 flights
- April 2024: 85.0% from 228 flights
- May 2024: 74.4% from 229 flights
- June 2024: 62.3% from 222 flights
- July 2024: 59.7% from 225 flights
- August 2024: 67.0% from 203 flights
- September 2024: 82.7% from 200 flights
- October 2024: 76.3% from 216 flights
- November 2024: 78.9% from 229 flights
- December 2024: 74.5% from 220 flights
- January 2025: 86.8% from 219 flights
- February 2025: 79.4% from 196 flights
- March 2025: 72.9% from 216 flights
- April 2025: 75.8% from 210 flights
- May 2025: 58.3% from 200 flights
- June 2025: 79.5% from 196 flights
- July 2025: 69.8% from 216 flights
- August 2025: 67.0% from 201 flights
- September 2025: 78.7% from 188 flights
- October 2025: 72.5% from 207 flights
- November 2025: 76.7% from 223 flights
- December 2025: 82.8% from 236 flights
- January 2026: 84.9% from 205 flights
- February 2026: 82.2% from 182 flights
- March 2026: 81.0% from 215 flights
- April 2026: 91.3% from 206 flights
- May 2026: 88.5% from 210 flights
- June 2026: 79.0% from 200 flights
- July 2026: 70.4% from 207 flights
Over the most recent 12 months (2025-08 to 2026-07), on-time arrivals averaged 79.6% against 75.2% in the 12 months before — improving by 4.4 percentage points.
Data and methodology
Calculated by FlyerIntel from 8,040 PHX → EWR flight records from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, covering July 2023 – July 2026. Late means 15 or more minutes past scheduled arrival; cancelled and diverted flights are left out of on-time rates.
Full methodology · Data sources · Report a problem
Related research: How Long a Layover Needs to Be · Two Airlines on One Route · Best Time of Day to Fly From Major US Airports
Analysis last recomputed