Route profile

MSPEWR

Flight reliability, delays and best times to fly from Minneapolis to Newark. · 1,008 miles

Right now

Current conditions at both ends of this route.

Origin · MSPNo disruption reported

Aviation weather is not currently a factor.

Minneapolis airport profile →

Destination · EWRNo disruption reported

Aviation weather is not currently a factor.

Newark airport profile →

Airport conditions describe the airfield, not any individual flight. An airport operating normally is not a guarantee that a specific flight will depart on time.

Route reliability

July 2023 – June 2026

Route Reliability Score
53/ 100Fair

Better than 19% of comparable major US routes (4,577 compared)

Calculated from 6,667 flights. How this is calculated

On-time arrivals
77.6%
5,037 of 6,488
Cancellation rate
2.32%
155 cancelled
Median arrival delay
-9 min
Average 8.7 min
Severe delays
10.1%
60+ minutes late
Delay when late
85 min
Average, when 15+ min late
Flights analysed
6,667
3 carriers

Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Data covering July 2023 – June 2026

Best time to fly

On-time arrival rate by scheduled local departure time.

MSPEWR flights departing 5–9 AM arrived on time 86.8% of the time, against 68.6% for 3–6 PM departures — a gap of 18.2 percentage points.

By departure window

5–9 AM86.8%
9 AM–12 PM79.6%
12–3 PM71.8%
3–6 PM68.6%
6–9 PM72.8%

By departure hour

Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · July 2023 – June 2026 · Buckets with fewer than 120 flights are not scored.

Airlines on this route

Performance by the carrier that actually operated the flight.

CarrierFlightsOn timeCancelledMedian delaySevere
Delta Air Lines3,75875.3%1.94%-7 min11.0%
United Airlines1,70278.3%1.94%-10 min11.1%
Republic Airways1,18684.3%4.13%-16 min5.7%

Republic Airways arrived on time 9.0 percentage points more often than Delta Air Lines on this route.

Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · July 2023 – June 2026 · Carriers with fewer than 200 flights on this route are not listed.

Other ways to fly Minneapolis to New York

Airport pairs serving the same journey, grouped by the DOT's own city-market definition. They do not perform the same way.

RouteFlightsOn timeCancelledMedian delayScore
MSPEWR this route Minneapolis to Newark6,66777.6%2.32%-9 min53
MSPLGA Minneapolis to New York6,59881.7%1.80%-10 min69
MSPJFK Minneapolis to New York2,76481.2%1.16%-12 min71

MSPJFK is the most reliable pairing for this journey at 81.2% on time, against 77.6% for MSPEWR.

Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · July 2023 – June 2026 · Grouped by DOT city market, which places Newark with the New York airports and Baltimore with the Washington ones.

Individual flights on this route

The same route is not equally reliable at every hour. These are the flight numbers with enough operating history to judge separately.

FlightScheduledOperationsOn time
DL2846 Delta Air Lines8:00 PM74168.1%
DL2864 Delta Air Lines7:59 AM70483.6%
DL2866 Delta Air Lines2:13 PM48664.7%
DL2895 Delta Air Lines10:49 AM37976.5%

Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · July 2023 – June 2026 · Flight numbers with fewer than 270 operations on this route, or no longer scheduled, are not listed.

Weekly and seasonal patterns

By day of week

Mon77.1%
Tue81.2%
Wed80.7%
Thu74.6%
Fri74.4%
Sat79.5%
Sun76.1%

Tuesday is historically the most reliable day and Friday the least, a gap of 6.8 percentage points.

By month

July is historically the weakest month and February the strongest, a spread of 18.6 percentage points.

Historical trend

On-time arrival rate by month.

Over the most recent 12 months (2025-07 to 2026-06), on-time arrivals averaged 76.9% against 73.0% in the 12 months before — improving by 3.9 percentage points.

Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · July 2023 – June 2026

Data and methodology

All figures on this page are calculated by FlyerIntel from 6,667 MSPEWR flight records published by the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, covering July 2023 – June 2026. A flight is counted as delayed when it arrives 15 or more minutes after its scheduled arrival time, following BTS methodology. Cancelled and diverted flights have no arrival time and are excluded from on-time rates rather than counted as late.

Full methodology · Data sources · Report a problem