Route profile

MDWMIA

Flight reliability, delays and best times to fly from Chicago to Miami. · 1,182 miles

Right now

Current conditions at both ends of this route.

Origin · MDWNo disruption reportedLimited data

Aviation weather is not currently a factor. FAA operational data — ground stops, ground delay programs and closures — is not currently available to FlyerIntel.

Chicago airport profile →

Destination · MIANo disruption reportedLimited data

Aviation weather is not currently a factor. FAA operational data — ground stops, ground delay programs and closures — is not currently available to FlyerIntel.

Miami airport profile →

Airport conditions describe the airfield, not any individual flight. An airport operating normally is not a guarantee that a specific flight will depart on time.

Route reliability

July 2023 – June 2026

Route Reliability Score
53/ 100Fair

Better than 18% of comparable major US routes (4,577 compared)

Calculated from 2,204 flights. How this is calculated

On-time arrivals
73.9%
1,594 of 2,157
Cancellation rate
1.81%
40 cancelled
Median arrival delay
-2 min
Average 12.7 min
Severe delays
9.3%
60+ minutes late
Delay when late
72 min
Average, when 15+ min late
Flights analysed
2,204
2 carriers

Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Data covering July 2023 – June 2026

Best time to fly

On-time arrival rate by scheduled local departure time.

MDWMIA flights departing 9 AM–12 PM arrived on time 82.7% of the time, against 62.4% for 3–6 PM departures — a gap of 20.3 percentage points.

By departure window

5–9 AM78.4%
9 AM–12 PM82.7%
12–3 PM71.6%
3–6 PM62.4%
6–9 PM69.6%
9 PM–5 AM

By departure hour

Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · July 2023 – June 2026 · Buckets with fewer than 120 flights are not scored.

Airlines on this route

Performance by the carrier that actually operated the flight.

CarrierFlightsOn timeCancelledMedian delaySevere
Southwest Airlines1,62575.4%1.23%-1 min7.3%
Frontier Airlines57969.6%3.45%-4 min15.0%

Southwest Airlines arrived on time 5.8 percentage points more often than Frontier Airlines on this route.

Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · July 2023 – June 2026 · Carriers with fewer than 200 flights on this route are not listed.

Other ways to fly Chicago to Miami

Airport pairs serving the same journey, grouped by the DOT's own city-market definition. They do not perform the same way.

RouteFlightsOn timeCancelledMedian delayScore
ORDMIA Chicago to Miami13,30676.3%1.32%-6 min61
ORDFLL Chicago to Fort Lauderdale9,31874.9%1.51%-5 min56
MDWFLL Chicago to Fort Lauderdale3,45276.4%1.13%-3 min64
MDWMIA this route Chicago to Miami2,20473.9%1.81%-2 min53

MDWFLL is the most reliable pairing for this journey at 76.4% on time, against 73.9% for MDWMIA.

Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · July 2023 – June 2026 · Grouped by DOT city market, which places Newark with the New York airports and Baltimore with the Washington ones.

Weekly and seasonal patterns

By day of week

Mon77.1%
Tue83.8%
Wed75.3%
Thu71.5%
Fri71.5%
Sat72.0%
Sun69.8%

Tuesday is historically the most reliable day and Sunday the least, a gap of 14.0 percentage points.

By month

January is historically the weakest month and October the strongest, a spread of 22.1 percentage points.

Historical trend

On-time arrival rate by month.

Over the most recent 12 months (2025-07 to 2026-06), on-time arrivals averaged 73.5% against 75.4% in the 12 months before — declining by 1.9 percentage points.

Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · July 2023 – June 2026

Data and methodology

All figures on this page are calculated by FlyerIntel from 2,204 MDWMIA flight records published by the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, covering July 2023 – June 2026. A flight is counted as delayed when it arrives 15 or more minutes after its scheduled arrival time, following BTS methodology. Cancelled and diverted flights have no arrival time and are excluded from on-time rates rather than counted as late.

Full methodology · Data sources · Report a problem