Route profile
MCO→LAS
Flight reliability, delays and best times to fly from Orlando to Las Vegas, 2,039 miles.
Right now
Aviation weather is not currently a factor.
Aviation weather is not currently a factor.
Route reliability
July 2023 – July 2026
Better than 51% of comparable major US routes (4,598 compared)
Calculated from 4,772 flights. How this is calculated · What counts as on time
MCO → LAS arrives on time 76.1% of the time; the return trip, LAS → MCO, arrives on time 73.9% of the time, a 2.2-point gap between the two directions of the same city pair.
MCO → LAS spends 26.9 minutes on the ground on a 2,039-mile trip: 18.2 minutes from pushback to wheels-up at MCO and 8.7 minutes from touchdown to gate at LAS.
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Data covering July 2023 – July 2026
What stands out
The airline matters unusually much on this route, a wider carrier-to-carrier gap than 95% of 2,692 comparable routes.
JetBlue arrived on time 89.7% of the time, against 68.6% for Spirit Airlines, flying the exact same route.
Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · July 2023 – July 2026 · Ranked against every other route with the same kind of figure and at least 2,692 in the comparison.
What sets this route apart
Where MCO to LAS differs most from similar routes by hour, weekday, month and airline, July 2023 – July 2026.
MCO to LAS struggles most at 10 PM: 67.8% of its flights scheduled then arrive on time, 12.2 points behind the 80.0% on routes of similar length at the same hour.
MCO to LAS is at its best against routes of similar length for flights scheduled at 8 AM: 91.2% arrive on time, 7.4 points ahead of the 83.8% those routes manage at that hour. Against all other routes the gap is 5.3 points.
In August, MCO to LAS runs 10 points below routes of similar length, 67.0% on time to 77.0%. Against all other routes the gap is 9.5 points.
Frontier Airlines does better on MCO to LAS than on its routes of similar length: 77.3% on time here, 68.5% there, 8.8 points apart. Against all other routes the gap is 6.1 points.
Spirit Airlines’ flights on MCO to LAS arrive on time 68.6% of the time, 8.5 points below the 77.1% it manages on its routes of similar length. Against all other routes the gap is 6.7 points.
MCO to LAS against comparable routes
July 2023 – July 2026| Measure | This route | Compared with | Them | Gap | Flights behind it |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hour: 10 PM departures | 67.8% | routes of similar length | 80.0% | −12.2 pts | 270 here, 55,968 there |
| Hour: 8 AM departures | 91.2% | routes of similar length | 83.8% | +7.4 pts | 454 here, 85,840 there |
| Month: August | 67.0% | routes of similar length | 77.0% | −10.0 pts | 339 here, 93,933 there |
| Airline: Frontier Airlines | 77.3% | routes of similar length | 68.5% | +8.8 pts | 1,440 here, 24,485 there |
| Airline: Spirit Airlines | 68.6% | routes of similar length | 77.1% | −8.5 pts | 847 here, 53,091 there |
Each comparison pools the flights of other routes, with this route’s own left out. Similar length means within 15% of this route’s 2,039 miles, with at least 5 such routes. A bucket is set against the most comparable group that has enough flights: similar length, then the same origin (at least 3 routes), then all other routes. Hours, weekdays and months appear only where both sides have 120 completed flights, and airlines where both have 600. The gap must be at least 2 points and 2 standard errors, and only the largest gap each way is kept per measure. These are differences in the flights counted, not causes.
When it goes wrong
July 2023 – July 2026
46 min late
against a median of 5 min early
Percentiles over 4,772 operations; cancelled and diverted flights are counted separately.
Will your connection be tight enough?
Layovers at LAS after arriving from MCO.
| Connection time | Chance of missing | Reads as |
|---|---|---|
| 30 min | 40% | Likely to miss |
| 45 min | 23% | High risk |
| 60 min | 15% | Some risk |
| 90 min | 7.7% | Some risk |
| 120 min | 4.5% | Low risk |
This is one leg of a connection. Gate changes and the next flight's own schedule matter too. And a connection can fail before delay is even the question — this route cancels 0.69% of the time and diverts 0.19% of the time, which a late arrival never shows up in.
Chance of missing is the share of 4,730 arrivals on this route that landed later than the connection time less 30 minutes to reach the next gate.
The worst tenth of arrivals on this route land at least 46 minutes late (90th-percentile gate arrival delay), over 4,772 operations.
Any other layover length: connection checker.
Best time to fly
MCO → LAS flights departing 5–9 AM arrived on time 90.6% of the time, against 67.1% for 6–9 PM departures, a gap of 23.5 percentage points.
By departure window
By departure hour
- 12 AM to 5 AM: too few flights to score
- 6 AM: 92.6% on time from 285 flights
- 7 AM: 89.4% on time from 691 flights
- 8 AM: 91.2% on time from 461 flights
- 9 AM: 80.1% on time from 304 flights
- 10 AM: 77.2% on time from 232 flights
- 11 AM: 75.7% on time from 136 flights
- 12 PM to 2 PM: too few flights to score
- 3 PM: 71.5% on time from 158 flights
- 4 PM: 71.4% on time from 170 flights
- 5 PM: 63.8% on time from 143 flights
- 6 PM: 66.1% on time from 418 flights
- 7 PM: 62.8% on time from 358 flights
- 8 PM: 70.5% on time from 580 flights
- 9 PM: 70.2% on time from 258 flights
- 10 PM: 67.8% on time from 272 flights
- 11 PM: too few flights to score
Why MCO → LAS runs late
July 2023 – July 2026
the inbound aircraft was late, so this flight started late
crew, maintenance, boarding and fueling, all within the carrier’s control
airspace and airport capacity, including weather-driven flow control
weather severe enough to stop this flight specifically
screening or terminal security incidents
Share of the delay minutes US DOT attributed to each cause for MCO → LAS. Only delays of 15 minutes or more are attributed. What the five causes mean
Late-arriving aircraft is the largest cause on MCO → LAS, at 36.1%: flights here mostly leave late because the plane came in late, and the day shows it: 5–9 AM departures arrived on time 90.6% of the time and 6–9 PM departures 67.1%.
Airlines on this route
Carriers with at least 200 flights, by the airline that operated each one.
| Carrier | Flights | On time | Cancelled | Median delay | Severe |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwest Airlines | 2,005 | 75.4% | 0.45% | -3 min | 6.2% |
| Frontier Airlines | 1,461 | 77.3% | 1.23% | -9 min | 9.7% |
| Spirit Airlines | 854 | 68.6% | 0.70% | 1 min | 10.6% |
| JetBlue | 439 | 89.7% | 0.00% | -19 min | 4.6% |
Southwest Airlines flew 42.1% of the 4,759 flights listed. Frontier Airlines cancelled 1.23% of its flights here against 0.00% for JetBlue.
JetBlue arrived on time 21.1 percentage points more often than Spirit Airlines on this route.
Flights on this route
Flight numbers with at least 600 operations here and still on the schedule.
| Flight | Scheduled | Operations | On time |
|---|---|---|---|
| F91875 Frontier Airlines | 8:15 AM | 763 | 85.2% |
Weekly and seasonal patterns
By day of week
Wednesday is historically the most reliable day and Sunday the least, a gap of 9.4 percentage points.
By month
- Jan: 73.2%
- Feb: 77.3%
- Mar: 74.5%
- Apr: 79.5%
- May: 69.2%
- Jun: 75.3%
- Jul: 70.2%
- Aug: 67.0%
- Sep: 76.6%
- Oct: 80.5%
- Nov: 86.7%
- Dec: 82.4%
August is historically the weakest month and November the strongest, a spread of 19.7 percentage points.
Reliability over time
July 2023 – July 2026
- July 2023: too few flights to score (105)
- August 2023: too few flights to score (101)
- September 2023: too few flights to score (115)
- October 2023: 78.2% from 156 flights
- November 2023: 73.6% from 125 flights
- December 2023: too few flights to score (97)
- January 2024: too few flights to score (104)
- February 2024: too few flights to score (95)
- March 2024: too few flights to score (99)
- April 2024: too few flights to score (94)
- May 2024: too few flights to score (97)
- June 2024: too few flights to score (91)
- July 2024: too few flights to score (92)
- August 2024: too few flights to score (107)
- September 2024: too few flights to score (102)
- October 2024: 89.5% from 145 flights
- November 2024: 92.3% from 143 flights
- December 2024: too few flights to score (112)
- January 2025: too few flights to score (109)
- February 2025: too few flights to score (106)
- March 2025: 74.4% from 120 flights
- April 2025: 86.0% from 121 flights
- May 2025: 63.6% from 129 flights
- June 2025: 71.8% from 134 flights
- July 2025: 71.7% from 146 flights
- August 2025: 62.8% from 137 flights
- September 2025: 86.0% from 121 flights
- October 2025: 74.2% from 133 flights
- November 2025: 91.5% from 177 flights
- December 2025: 89.5% from 172 flights
- January 2026: 80.9% from 158 flights
- February 2026: 81.9% from 150 flights
- March 2026: 79.9% from 209 flights
- April 2026: 77.0% from 161 flights
- May 2026: 77.3% from 164 flights
- June 2026: 77.9% from 172 flights
- July 2026: 80.8% from 173 flights
Over the most recent 12 months (2025-08 to 2026-07), on-time arrivals averaged 80.3% against 79.8% in the 12 months before — broadly unchanged.
Data and methodology
Calculated by FlyerIntel from 4,772 MCO → LAS flight records from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, covering July 2023 – July 2026. Late means 15 or more minutes past scheduled arrival; cancelled and diverted flights are left out of on-time rates.
Full methodology · Data sources · Report a problem
Related research: How Long a Layover Needs to Be · Two Airlines on One Route · Best Time of Day to Fly From Major US Airports
Analysis last recomputed