Route profile
LAS→MCO
Flight reliability, delays and best times to fly from Las Vegas to Orlando, 2,039 miles.
Right now
Aviation weather is not currently a factor.
Aviation weather is not currently a factor.
Route reliability
July 2023 – July 2026
Better than 39% of comparable major US routes (4,598 compared)
Calculated from 4,811 flights. How this is calculated · What counts as on time
LAS → MCO arrives on time 73.9% of the time; the return trip, MCO → LAS, arrives on time 76.1% of the time, a 2.2-point gap between the two directions of the same city pair.
LAS → MCO spends 27.7 minutes on the ground on a 2,039-mile trip: 17.4 minutes from pushback to wheels-up at LAS and 10.3 minutes from touchdown to gate at MCO.
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Data covering July 2023 – July 2026
What stands out
Reliability here swings unusually widely by season, a wider month-to-month spread than 99% of 3,357 comparable routes.
87.2% on time in a typical November, against 57.1% in July.
Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · July 2023 – July 2026 · Ranked against every other route with the same kind of figure and at least 3,357 in the comparison.
What sets this route apart
Where LAS to MCO differs most from similar routes by hour, weekday, month and airline, July 2023 – July 2026.
LAS to MCO struggles most at 12 PM: 57.4% of its flights scheduled then arrive on time, 20.8 points behind the 78.2% on routes of similar length at the same hour. Against all other routes the gap is 22 points.
Thursday is the day LAS to MCO slips furthest against routes of similar length, 68.8% on time where they average 77.6%, 8.8 points lower. Against all other routes the gap is 8 points.
In June, LAS to MCO runs 13.7 points below routes of similar length, 60.0% on time to 73.7%. Against all other routes the gap is 12.7 points.
Spirit Airlines’ flights on LAS to MCO arrive on time 73.1% of the time, 3.9 points below the 77.0% it manages on its routes of similar length.
Frontier Airlines does better on LAS to MCO than on its routes of similar length: 71.6% on time here, 68.9% there, 2.7 points apart.
LAS to MCO against comparable routes
July 2023 – July 2026| Measure | This route | Compared with | Them | Gap | Flights behind it |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hour: 12 PM departures | 57.4% | routes of similar length | 78.2% | −20.8 pts | 256 here, 56,878 there |
| Weekday: Thursday | 68.8% | routes of similar length | 77.6% | −8.8 pts | 673 here, 159,617 there |
| Month: June | 60.0% | routes of similar length | 73.7% | −13.7 pts | 403 here, 97,239 there |
| Airline: Spirit Airlines | 73.1% | routes of similar length | 77.0% | −3.9 pts | 848 here, 53,090 there |
| Airline: Frontier Airlines | 71.6% | routes of similar length | 68.9% | +2.7 pts | 1,438 here, 24,487 there |
Each comparison pools the flights of other routes, with this route’s own left out. Similar length means within 15% of this route’s 2,039 miles, with at least 5 such routes. A bucket is set against the most comparable group that has enough flights: similar length, then the same origin (at least 3 routes), then all other routes. Hours, weekdays and months appear only where both sides have 120 completed flights, and airlines where both have 600. The gap must be at least 2 points and 2 standard errors, and only the largest gap each way is kept per measure. These are differences in the flights counted, not causes.
When it goes wrong
July 2023 – July 2026
50 min late
against a median of 3 min early
Percentiles over 4,811 operations; cancelled and diverted flights are counted separately.
Will your connection be tight enough?
Layovers at MCO after arriving from LAS.
| Connection time | Chance of missing | Reads as |
|---|---|---|
| 30 min | 43% | Likely to miss |
| 45 min | 25% | High risk |
| 60 min | 16% | High risk |
| 90 min | 8.0% | Some risk |
| 120 min | 4.3% | Low risk |
This is one leg of a connection. Gate changes and the next flight's own schedule matter too. And a connection can fail before delay is even the question — this route cancels 0.73% of the time and diverts 0.27% of the time, which a late arrival never shows up in.
Chance of missing is the share of 4,763 arrivals on this route that landed later than the connection time less 30 minutes to reach the next gate.
The worst tenth of arrivals on this route land at least 50 minutes late (90th-percentile gate arrival delay), over 4,811 operations.
Any other layover length: connection checker.
Best time to fly
LAS → MCO flights departing 5–9 AM arrived on time 83.1% of the time, against 62.2% for 3–6 PM departures, a gap of 20.9 percentage points.
By departure window
By departure hour
- 12 AM to 5 AM: too few flights to score
- 6 AM: 89.8% on time from 150 flights
- 7 AM: 78.3% on time from 321 flights
- 8 AM: 83.1% on time from 258 flights
- 9 AM: too few flights to score
- 10 AM: 66.9% on time from 127 flights
- 11 AM: 72.3% on time from 223 flights
- 12 PM: 57.4% on time from 258 flights
- 1 PM: 69.3% on time from 262 flights
- 2 PM: 64.8% on time from 380 flights
- 3 PM: 57.8% on time from 221 flights
- 4 PM: 67.3% on time from 212 flights
- 5 PM to 8 PM: too few flights to score
- 9 PM: 70.3% on time from 332 flights
- 10 PM: 80.8% on time from 707 flights
- 11 PM: 79.8% on time from 965 flights
Departure windows with fewer than 120 flights are not scored.
Why LAS → MCO runs late
July 2023 – July 2026
crew, maintenance, boarding and fueling, all within the carrier’s control
the inbound aircraft was late, so this flight started late
airspace and airport capacity, including weather-driven flow control
weather severe enough to stop this flight specifically
screening or terminal security incidents
Share of the delay minutes US DOT attributed to each cause for LAS → MCO. Only delays of 15 minutes or more are attributed. What the five causes mean
Airlines on this route
Carriers with at least 200 flights, by the airline that operated each one.
| Carrier | Flights | On time | Cancelled | Median delay | Severe |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwest Airlines | 2,049 | 73.3% | 0.59% | 0 min | 6.3% |
| Frontier Airlines | 1,460 | 71.6% | 1.23% | -4 min | 11.3% |
| Spirit Airlines | 853 | 73.1% | 0.47% | -3 min | 8.6% |
| JetBlue | 439 | 86.0% | 0.23% | -16 min | 5.9% |
Southwest Airlines flew 42.7% of the 4,801 flights listed. Frontier Airlines cancelled 1.23% of its flights here against 0.23% for JetBlue.
JetBlue arrived on time 14.4 percentage points more often than Frontier Airlines on this route.
Flights on this route
Flight numbers with at least 600 operations here and still on the schedule.
| Flight | Scheduled | Operations | On time |
|---|---|---|---|
| F91876 Frontier Airlines | 11:03 PM | 841 | 74.5% |
Weekly and seasonal patterns
By day of week
Tuesday is historically the most reliable day and Sunday the least, a gap of 12.6 percentage points.
By month
- Jan: 82.4%
- Feb: 83.4%
- Mar: 69.2%
- Apr: 79.2%
- May: 73.1%
- Jun: 60.0%
- Jul: 57.1%
- Aug: 64.9%
- Sep: 79.7%
- Oct: 75.5%
- Nov: 87.2%
- Dec: 81.5%
July is historically the weakest month and November the strongest, a spread of 30.1 percentage points.
Reliability over time
July 2023 – July 2026
- July 2023: too few flights to score (106)
- August 2023: too few flights to score (101)
- September 2023: too few flights to score (115)
- October 2023: 73.7% from 152 flights
- November 2023: 83.1% from 124 flights
- December 2023: too few flights to score (97)
- January 2024: too few flights to score (104)
- February 2024: too few flights to score (95)
- March 2024: too few flights to score (99)
- April 2024: too few flights to score (94)
- May 2024: too few flights to score (98)
- June 2024: too few flights to score (91)
- July 2024: too few flights to score (92)
- August 2024: too few flights to score (105)
- September 2024: too few flights to score (102)
- October 2024: 81.1% from 145 flights
- November 2024: 88.9% from 144 flights
- December 2024: too few flights to score (113)
- January 2025: too few flights to score (106)
- February 2025: too few flights to score (106)
- March 2025: 82.5% from 126 flights
- April 2025: 79.4% from 126 flights
- May 2025: 72.0% from 133 flights
- June 2025: 57.6% from 134 flights
- July 2025: 66.0% from 144 flights
- August 2025: 62.5% from 138 flights
- September 2025: too few flights to score (119)
- October 2025: 72.0% from 132 flights
- November 2025: 88.8% from 178 flights
- December 2025: 85.2% from 171 flights
- January 2026: 85.2% from 156 flights
- February 2026: 85.3% from 150 flights
- March 2026: 67.8% from 210 flights
- April 2026: 78.9% from 161 flights
- May 2026: 71.3% from 164 flights
- June 2026: 63.0% from 183 flights
- July 2026: 57.2% from 197 flights
Over the most recent 12 months (2025-08 to 2026-07), on-time arrivals averaged 74.3% against 77.7% in the 12 months before — declining by 3.4 percentage points.
Data and methodology
Calculated by FlyerIntel from 4,811 LAS → MCO flight records from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, covering July 2023 – July 2026. Late means 15 or more minutes past scheduled arrival; cancelled and diverted flights are left out of on-time rates.
Full methodology · Data sources · Report a problem
Related research: How Long a Layover Needs to Be · Two Airlines on One Route · Best Time of Day to Fly From Major US Airports
Analysis last recomputed