Route profile
LAS→MSP
Flight reliability, delays and best times to fly from Las Vegas to Minneapolis, 1,299 miles.
Right now
Aviation weather is not currently a factor.
Aviation weather is not currently a factor.
Route reliability
July 2023 – July 2026
Better than 89% of comparable major US routes (4,598 compared)
Calculated from 7,780 flights. How this is calculated
LAS → MSP arrives on time 84.9% of the time; the return trip, MSP → LAS, arrives on time 83.3% of the time.
LAS → MSP spends 24.0 minutes on the ground on a 1,299-mile trip: 17.3 minutes from pushback to wheels-up at LAS and 6.7 minutes from touchdown to gate at MSP.
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Data covering July 2023 – July 2026
What sets this route apart
Where LAS to MSP differs most from similar routes by hour, weekday, month and airline, July 2023 – July 2026.
LAS to MSP is at its best against routes of similar length for flights scheduled at 12 PM: 88.1% arrive on time, 9.7 points ahead of the 78.4% those routes manage at that hour. Against all other routes the gap is 8.7 points.
LAS to MSP holds up on Saturdays better than routes of similar length do: 88.8% on time to their 78.0%, a 10.8 points lead. Against all other routes the gap is 9.7 points.
June is kinder to LAS to MSP than to routes of similar length: 83.9% on time against 71.7%, 12.2 points better. Against all other routes the gap is 11.2 points.
Delta Air Lines does better on LAS to MSP than on its routes of similar length: 87.2% on time here, 82.0% there, 5.2 points apart. Against all other routes the gap is 5.7 points.
Southwest Airlines’ flights on LAS to MSP arrive on time 72.3% of the time, 3.4 points below the 75.7% it manages on its routes of similar length. Against all other routes the gap is 5.1 points.
LAS to MSP against comparable routes
July 2023 – July 2026| Measure | This route | Compared with | Them | Gap | Flights behind it |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hour: 12 PM departures | 88.1% | routes of similar length | 78.4% | +9.7 pts | 530 here, 117,365 there |
| Weekday: Saturday | 88.8% | routes of similar length | 78.0% | +10.8 pts | 1,076 here, 229,849 there |
| Month: June | 83.9% | routes of similar length | 71.7% | +12.2 pts | 598 here, 143,184 there |
| Airline: Delta Air Lines | 87.2% | routes of similar length | 82.0% | +5.2 pts | 6,577 here, 300,731 there |
| Airline: Southwest Airlines | 72.3% | routes of similar length | 75.7% | −3.4 pts | 752 here, 401,867 there |
Each comparison pools the flights of other routes, with this route’s own left out. Similar length means within 15% of this route’s 1,299 miles, with at least 5 such routes. A bucket is set against the most comparable group that has enough flights: similar length, then the same origin (at least 3 routes), then all other routes. Hours, weekdays and months appear only where both sides have 120 completed flights, and airlines where both have 600. The gap must be at least 2 points and 2 standard errors, and only the largest gap each way is kept per measure. These are differences in the flights counted, not causes.
Why LAS → MSP flights are cancelled
July 2023 – July 2026
LAS → MSP cancelled 55 of 7,780 scheduled flights — about 1 in every 141. The reason filed most often was the airline, 70.9% of the cancellations coded on this route — about 1 in every 199 scheduled flights.
Share of cancellations
Of 55 cancelled departures carrying a reason code.
What each reason means
Crew, maintenance, aircraft cleaning, baggage or fueling: what BTS counts as within the carrier’s own control.
39 cancellations, 70.9% of the total.
Conditions the carrier judged severe enough to stop the flight: a blizzard, a hurricane, a line of thunderstorms.
16 cancellations, 29.1% of the total.
Airport capacity, air traffic control flow programs, heavy traffic and ordinary bad weather. A system decision, not the airline’s.
0 cancellations, 0.0% of the total.
A terminal evacuation, a security breach, screening equipment failure, or screening queues over 29 minutes.
0 cancellations, 0.0% of the total.
Reason codes are the operating airline’s own filing with US DOT, not an independent finding of fault. Ordinary bad weather is filed under air traffic, so weather’s full share is larger than its bar.
55 coded cancellations were recorded on LAS → MSP; the section appears from 50.
When it goes wrong
July 2023 – July 2026
27 min late
against a median of 10 min early
Percentiles over 7,780 operations; cancelled and diverted flights are counted separately.
Will your connection be tight enough?
Layovers at MSP after arriving from LAS.
| Connection time | Chance of missing | Reads as |
|---|---|---|
| 30 min | 29% | High risk |
| 45 min | 15% | Some risk |
| 60 min | 9.0% | Some risk |
| 90 min | 4.3% | Low risk |
| 120 min | 2.6% | Low risk |
This is one leg of a connection. Gate changes and the next flight's own schedule matter too. And a connection can fail before delay is even the question — this route cancels 0.71% of the time and diverts 0.27% of the time, which a late arrival never shows up in.
Chance of missing is the share of 7,704 arrivals on this route that landed later than the connection time less 30 minutes to reach the next gate.
The worst tenth of arrivals on this route land at least 27 minutes late (90th-percentile gate arrival delay), over 7,780 operations.
Any other layover length: connection checker.
Best time to fly
LAS → MSP flights departing 5–9 AM arrived on time 94.5% of the time, against 75.8% for 3–6 PM departures, a gap of 18.7 percentage points.
By departure window
By departure hour
- 12 AM: 90.1% on time from 768 flights
- 1 AM to 5 AM: too few flights to score
- 6 AM: 94.7% on time from 1,071 flights
- 7 AM to 8 AM: too few flights to score
- 9 AM: 89.8% on time from 1,087 flights
- 10 AM: 85.1% on time from 176 flights
- 11 AM: 86.2% on time from 723 flights
- 12 PM: 88.1% on time from 534 flights
- 1 PM: 79.6% on time from 732 flights
- 2 PM: 81.5% on time from 522 flights
- 3 PM: too few flights to score
- 4 PM: 73.5% on time from 541 flights
- 5 PM: 76.4% on time from 662 flights
- 6 PM: 77.5% on time from 695 flights
- 7 PM to 11 PM: too few flights to score
Why LAS → MSP runs late
July 2023 – July 2026
the inbound aircraft was late, so this flight started late
crew, maintenance, boarding and fueling, all within the carrier’s control
airspace and airport capacity, including weather-driven flow control
weather severe enough to stop this flight specifically
screening or terminal security incidents
Share of the delay minutes US DOT attributed to each cause for LAS → MSP. Only delays of 15 minutes or more are attributed.
Late-arriving aircraft is the largest cause on LAS → MSP, at 41.1%: flights here mostly leave late because the plane came in late, and the day shows it: 5–9 AM departures arrived on time 94.5% of the time and 3–6 PM departures 75.8%.
Airlines on this route
Carriers with at least 200 flights, by the airline that operated each one.
| Carrier | Flights | On time | Cancelled | Median delay | Severe |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delta Air Lines | 6,642 | 87.2% | 0.69% | -11 min | 3.8% |
| Southwest Airlines | 755 | 72.3% | 0.26% | -2 min | 7.4% |
| Spirit Airlines | 369 | 70.6% | 1.90% | 1 min | 10.0% |
Delta Air Lines flew 85.5% of the 7,766 flights listed. Spirit Airlines cancelled 1.90% of its flights here against 0.26% for Southwest Airlines.
Delta Air Lines arrived on time 16.6 percentage points more often than Spirit Airlines on this route.
Flights on this route
Flight numbers with at least 600 operations here and still on the schedule.
Weekly and seasonal patterns
By day of week
Tuesday is historically the most reliable day and Sunday the least, a gap of 9.5 percentage points.
By month
- Jan: 85.2%
- Feb: 87.3%
- Mar: 80.6%
- Apr: 88.1%
- May: 83.1%
- Jun: 83.9%
- Jul: 77.0%
- Aug: 84.6%
- Sep: 88.7%
- Oct: 88.2%
- Nov: 88.6%
- Dec: 85.9%
July is historically the weakest month and September the strongest, a spread of 11.7 percentage points.
Reliability over time
July 2023 – July 2026
- July 2023: 78.1% from 228 flights
- August 2023: 82.3% from 224 flights
- September 2023: 86.8% from 222 flights
- October 2023: 83.5% from 274 flights
- November 2023: 88.0% from 225 flights
- December 2023: 87.7% from 220 flights
- January 2024: 87.2% from 228 flights
- February 2024: 88.9% from 217 flights
- March 2024: 76.7% from 256 flights
- April 2024: 86.9% from 244 flights
- May 2024: 85.1% from 251 flights
- June 2024: 80.2% from 251 flights
- July 2024: 70.6% from 254 flights
- August 2024: 86.7% from 244 flights
- September 2024: 91.9% from 209 flights
- October 2024: 94.2% from 225 flights
- November 2024: 91.0% from 200 flights
- December 2024: 85.6% from 208 flights
- January 2025: 86.8% from 190 flights
- February 2025: 86.5% from 171 flights
- March 2025: 77.9% from 226 flights
- April 2025: 87.2% from 227 flights
- May 2025: 80.2% from 233 flights
- June 2025: 86.7% from 214 flights
- July 2025: 85.2% from 205 flights
- August 2025: 84.7% from 192 flights
- September 2025: 87.4% from 184 flights
- October 2025: 88.0% from 192 flights
- November 2025: 86.4% from 163 flights
- December 2025: 83.7% from 169 flights
- January 2026: 81.1% from 180 flights
- February 2026: 86.0% from 174 flights
- March 2026: 88.4% from 215 flights
- April 2026: 90.5% from 201 flights
- May 2026: 84.1% from 179 flights
- June 2026: 86.3% from 139 flights
- July 2026: 74.3% from 146 flights
Over the most recent 12 months (2025-08 to 2026-07), on-time arrivals averaged 85.4% against 86.6% in the 12 months before — broadly unchanged.
Data and methodology
Calculated by FlyerIntel from 7,780 LAS → MSP flight records from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, covering July 2023 – July 2026. Late means 15 or more minutes past scheduled arrival; cancelled and diverted flights are left out of on-time rates.
Full methodology · Data sources · Report a problem
Related research: How Long a Layover Needs to Be · Two Airlines on One Route · Best Time of Day to Fly From Major US Airports
Analysis last recomputed