Route profile
HNL→MSP
Flight reliability, delays and best times to fly from Honolulu to Minneapolis, 3,972 miles.
Right now
Aviation weather is not currently a factor.
Aviation weather is not currently a factor.
Route reliability
July 2023 – July 2026
Better than 89% of comparable major US routes (4,598 compared)
Calculated from 1,125 flights. How this is calculated
HNL → MSP arrives on time 86.9% of the time; the return trip, MSP → HNL, arrives on time 83.4% of the time, a 3.5-point gap between the two directions of the same city pair.
HNL → MSP spends 24.8 minutes on the ground on a 3,972-mile trip: 19.4 minutes from pushback to wheels-up at HNL and 5.4 minutes from touchdown to gate at MSP.
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Data covering July 2023 – July 2026
What sets this route apart
Where HNL to MSP differs most from similar routes by hour, weekday, month and airline, July 2023 – July 2026.
HNL to MSP is at its best against routes of similar length for flights scheduled at 4 PM: 89.3% arrive on time, 8.6 points ahead of the 80.7% those routes manage at that hour. Against all other routes the gap is 18.6 points.
HNL to MSP struggles most at 5 PM: 83.5% of its flights scheduled then arrive on time, 5.8 points behind the 89.3% on routes of similar length at the same hour.
HNL to MSP holds up on Fridays better than routes of similar length do: 89.2% on time to their 77.5%, a 11.7 points lead. Against all other routes the gap is 13 points.
July is kinder to HNL to MSP than to routes of similar length: 91.7% on time against 76.1%, 15.6 points better. Against all other routes the gap is 22 points.
Delta Air Lines does better on HNL to MSP than on its routes of similar length: 86.9% on time here, 78.2% there, 8.7 points apart. Against all other routes the gap is 5.4 points.
HNL to MSP against comparable routes
July 2023 – July 2026| Measure | This route | Compared with | Them | Gap | Flights behind it |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hour: 4 PM departures | 89.3% | routes of similar length | 80.7% | +8.6 pts | 523 here, 705 there |
| Hour: 5 PM departures | 83.5% | routes of similar length | 89.3% | −5.8 pts | 321 here, 1,612 there |
| Weekday: Friday | 89.2% | routes of similar length | 77.5% | +11.7 pts | 158 here, 2,247 there |
| Month: July | 91.7% | routes of similar length | 76.1% | +15.6 pts | 120 here, 2,006 there |
| Airline: Delta Air Lines | 86.9% | routes of similar length | 78.2% | +8.7 pts | 1,110 here, 6,100 there |
Each comparison pools the flights of other routes, with this route’s own left out. Similar length means within 15% of this route’s 3,972 miles, with at least 5 such routes. A bucket is set against the most comparable group that has enough flights: similar length, then the same origin (at least 3 routes), then all other routes. Hours, weekdays and months appear only where both sides have 120 completed flights, and airlines where both have 600. The gap must be at least 2 points and 2 standard errors, and only the largest gap each way is kept per measure. These are differences in the flights counted, not causes.
When it goes wrong
July 2023 – July 2026
20 min late
against a median of 12 min early
Percentiles over 1,125 operations; cancelled and diverted flights are counted separately.
Will your connection be tight enough?
Layovers at MSP after arriving from HNL.
| Connection time | Chance of missing | Reads as |
|---|---|---|
| 30 min | 25% | High risk |
| 45 min | 13% | Some risk |
| 60 min | 7.3% | Some risk |
| 90 min | 5.0% | Some risk |
| 120 min | 3.7% | Low risk |
This is one leg of a connection. Gate changes and the next flight's own schedule matter too. And a connection can fail before delay is even the question — this route cancels 0.98% of the time and diverts 0.36% of the time, which a late arrival never shows up in.
Chance of missing is the share of 1,110 arrivals on this route that landed later than the connection time less 30 minutes to reach the next gate.
The worst tenth of arrivals on this route land at least 20 minutes late (90th-percentile gate arrival delay), over 1,125 operations.
Any other layover length: connection checker.
Why HNL → MSP runs late
July 2023 – July 2026
the inbound aircraft was late, so this flight started late
crew, maintenance, boarding and fueling, all within the carrier’s control
airspace and airport capacity, including weather-driven flow control
screening or terminal security incidents
weather severe enough to stop this flight specifically
Share of the delay minutes US DOT attributed to each cause for HNL → MSP. Only delays of 15 minutes or more are attributed.
Late-arriving aircraft is the largest cause on HNL → MSP, at 56.0%: flights here mostly leave late because the plane came in late.
Airlines on this route
Carriers with at least 200 flights, by the airline that operated each one.
| Carrier | Flights | On time | Cancelled | Median delay | Severe |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delta Air Lines | 1,125 | 86.9% | 0.98% | -12 min | 5.0% |
Flights on this route
Flight numbers with at least 600 operations here and still on the schedule.
| Flight | Scheduled | Operations | On time |
|---|---|---|---|
| DL313 Delta Air Lines | 4:10 PM | 691 | 85.5% |
Weekly and seasonal patterns
By day of week
Wednesday is historically the most reliable day and Saturday the least, a gap of 8.7 percentage points.
Reliability over time
July 2023 – July 2026
Over the most recent 12 months (2025-08 to 2026-07), on-time arrivals averaged 85.0% against 86.4% in the 12 months before — broadly unchanged.
Data and methodology
Calculated by FlyerIntel from 1,125 HNL → MSP flight records from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, covering July 2023 – July 2026. Late means 15 or more minutes past scheduled arrival; cancelled and diverted flights are left out of on-time rates.
Full methodology · Data sources · Report a problem
Related research: How Long a Layover Needs to Be · Two Airlines on One Route · Best Time of Day to Fly From Major US Airports
Analysis last recomputed