Route profile
ATL→MSP
Flight reliability, delays and best times to fly from Atlanta to Minneapolis. · 907 miles
Right now
Current conditions at both ends of this route.
Aviation weather is not currently a factor. FAA operational data — ground stops, ground delay programs and closures — is not currently available to FlyerIntel.
Aviation weather is not currently a factor. FAA operational data — ground stops, ground delay programs and closures — is not currently available to FlyerIntel.
Airport conditions describe the airfield, not any individual flight. An airport operating normally is not a guarantee that a specific flight will depart on time.
Route reliability
July 2023 – June 2026
Better than 83% of comparable major US routes (4,577 compared)
Calculated from 10,857 flights. How this is calculated
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Data covering July 2023 – June 2026
Best time to fly
On-time arrival rate by scheduled local departure time.
ATL → MSP flights departing 5–9 AM arrived on time 90.4% of the time, against 73.4% for 6–9 PM departures — a gap of 17.0 percentage points.
By departure window
By departure hour
Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · July 2023 – June 2026 · Buckets with fewer than 120 flights are not scored.
Airlines on this route
Performance by the carrier that actually operated the flight.
| Carrier | Flights | On time | Cancelled | Median delay | Severe |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delta Air Lines | 9,480 | 82.7% | 0.34% | -6 min | 4.7% |
| Spirit Airlines | 1,038 | 83.2% | 0.58% | -7 min | 5.0% |
| Frontier Airlines | 337 | 58.4% | 2.37% | 5 min | 15.2% |
Spirit Airlines arrived on time 24.9 percentage points more often than Frontier Airlines on this route.
Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · July 2023 – June 2026 · Carriers with fewer than 200 flights on this route are not listed.
Individual flights on this route
The same route is not equally reliable at every hour. These are the flight numbers with enough operating history to judge separately.
| Flight | Scheduled | Operations | On time |
|---|---|---|---|
| DL2901 Delta Air Lines | 12:15 PM | 1,094 | 86.3% |
| DL1310 Delta Air Lines | 10:48 PM | 1,014 | 76.8% |
| DL2654 Delta Air Lines | 5:59 PM | 979 | 78.4% |
| DL2825 Delta Air Lines | 1:48 PM | 953 | 83.0% |
| DL2668 Delta Air Lines | 7:05 AM | 922 | 90.7% |
| DL1280 Delta Air Lines | 7:25 PM | 835 | 71.9% |
| DL2981 Delta Air Lines | 3:40 PM | 826 | 75.2% |
| DL2960 Delta Air Lines | 8:25 AM | 774 | 90.0% |
| F93045 Frontier Airlines | 11:52 AM | 337 | 58.4% |
Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · July 2023 – June 2026 · Flight numbers with fewer than 270 operations on this route, or no longer scheduled, are not listed.
Weekly and seasonal patterns
By day of week
Wednesday is historically the most reliable day and Sunday the least, a gap of 5.7 percentage points.
By month
July is historically the weakest month and September the strongest, a spread of 18.5 percentage points.
Historical trend
On-time arrival rate by month.
Over the most recent 12 months (2025-07 to 2026-06), on-time arrivals averaged 81.2% against 79.0% in the 12 months before — improving by 2.2 percentage points.
Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · July 2023 – June 2026
Data and methodology
All figures on this page are calculated by FlyerIntel from 10,857 ATL → MSP flight records published by the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, covering July 2023 – June 2026. A flight is counted as delayed when it arrives 15 or more minutes after its scheduled arrival time, following BTS methodology. Cancelled and diverted flights have no arrival time and are excluded from on-time rates rather than counted as late.