Flight profile · Envoy Air
MQ3945
Chicago (ORD) to Memphis (MEM) · scheduled 8:31 PM – 10:36 PM
How MQ3945 performs
668 operations, July 2023 – July 2026.
MQ3945 arrived on time 67.9% of the time, against 74.2% for all ORD → MEM flights — this specific departure is 6.3 percentage points worse than the route as a whole. Against Envoy Air’s own flights on this route it is 9.1 points worse.
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · 668 operations, July 2023 – July 2026 · If MQ3945 is cancelled or significantly changed, DOT’s automatic refund rule may entitle you to your money back — the refund checker walks through eligibility.
Against the rest of the route
| Flight or route | On time | Cancelled | Median delay | Severe | Flights |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MQ3945 | 67.9% | 1.65% | 1 min | 11.1% | 668 |
| Envoy Air on ORD → MEM | 77.0% | 1.87% | -5 min | 7.0% | 2,243 |
| All ORD → MEM flights | 74.2% | 1.97% | -3 min | 9.2% | 6,135 |
Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · July 2023 – July 2026
Why MQ3945 runs late
Where US DOT attributed the delay minutes on this flight.
the inbound aircraft was late, so this flight started late
airspace and airport capacity, including weather-driven flow control
crew, maintenance, boarding, fueling — within the carrier’s control
weather severe enough to stop this flight specifically
Share of the delay minutes US DOT attributed to each cause for MQ3945 on ORD → MEM. A single late flight can carry more than one cause, and only delays of fifteen minutes or more are attributed at all.
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Data covering July 2023 – July 2026
From pushback to gate
When it leaves ORD late, does that still matter by the time it reaches MEM?
MQ3945 pushes back an average of 18.3 minutes late and reaches the gate at MEM an average of 14.1 minutes late. The 4.2 minutes between those two figures are slack the published schedule already carries, which is why a late pushback on this flight does not reliably become a late arrival. It spends 25.5 minutes on the taxiways at ORD, 1.2 minutes shorter than a typical ORD departure in the same hour.
On arrival at MEM, MQ3945 spends 6.7 min taxiing from touchdown to the gate — ground time a connecting passenger sits through before they can even leave the aircraft, on top of however late the flight itself ran. That is about what any arrival at MEM spends on the ground before reaching the gate.
Departure delay is averaged over every pushback and arrival delay over every completed arrival, so the two counts differ by the flights that never reached MEM. Taxi-out is gate to wheels up and sits inside the scheduled block rather than on top of it; the comparison is 66,182 departures from ORD scheduled in the clock hour MQ3945 most often leaves in. Taxi-in is landing to gate, compared against every arrival FlyerIntel has on file at MEM (72,783 flights), not just MQ3945’s own. More on taxi time.
Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · July 2023 – July 2026
The hour it leaves ORD
Part of any flight’s record belongs to the clock rather than to the flight. MQ3945 has one departure time, so this is what that time is worth.
On-time arrival rate. 66,182 departures from ORD are scheduled in the 8 PM–9 PM hour over the period, against 952,802 across the whole day.
MQ3945 is scheduled out of ORD at 8:31 PM, in the 8 PM–9 PM bank. Departures from ORD in that hour arrive on time 64.7% of the time against 74.5% across the airport’s whole day — the slot alone is worth 9.8 points worse before anything about this particular flight is considered.
The two airport figures cover every departure from ORD to every destination, so they describe the slot rather than this journey — the like-for-like comparison against the route is above. Hours are scheduled local, and a number whose schedule moved between banks inside the period has no single hour and is not described here at all. Why the hour matters.
Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · July 2023 – July 2026 · Hours below 120 departures are not scored.
Other routes MQ3945 has flown
A flight number is a slot in a schedule, and carriers reassign it. These are the other city pairs this number served in the analysis period.
| Route | Operated | Flights | On time |
|---|---|---|---|
| DSM→PHX Des Moines to Phoenix | May 7–20, 2026 | 12 | — |
| PHX→DSM Phoenix to Des Moines | May 7–20, 2026 | 12 | — |
| CLT→SGF Charlotte to Springfield | December 18, 2025 – January 5, 2026 | 19 | — |
| GGG→DFW Longview to Dallas–Fort Worth | December 3–17, 2025 | 15 | — |
| ORD→RST Chicago to Rochester | September 3, 2024 | 1 | — |
| ORD→COU Chicago to Columbia | August 15, 2023 – September 5, 2023 | 22 | — |
Because the same number has served different journeys, the statistics above describe only the route MQ3945 currently operates. Blending them would produce an average of two different flights.
When it goes wrong
The average describes a usual day. This is the day that ruins a connection.
66 min late
against a median of 1 min late
MQ3945 has an average that understates its risk: a typical arrival is 1 min late, but the worst tenth are 65 minutes worse than that. If the trip has something unmissable at the end of it, the median is the wrong number to plan against.
Percentiles over 668 operations. Cancelled and diverted flights have no arrival time and are counted separately rather than as very late arrivals.
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Data covering July 2023 – July 2026
Other flights on this route
Same airports, same journey — and not the same odds of arriving on time.
| Flight | Airline | On time | Median arrival | Operations |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UA1612 | United Airlines | 68.6% | 1 min late | 600 |
| MQ3945 this flight | Envoy Air | 67.9% | 1 min late | 668 |
Every departure listed carries at least 600 operations, so the comparison is between figures that mean something. MQ3945 is placed in the same ordering rather than left out of it; the rows around it are the most punctual departures on the route, not all of them, so this is a comparison and not a rank. Schedules change; confirm the departure still operates before booking around this.
Data and methodology
Calculated by FlyerIntel from 668 records of MQ3945 operating ORD → MEM, published by the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics. A flight counts as delayed when it arrives 15 or more minutes after schedule. Cancelled and diverted flights are excluded from the on-time rate and reported separately. Flight numbers are resolved as carrier plus number plus route, because the same number serves different routes over time.
Full methodology · Data sources · Report a problem
Analysis last recomputed