Route profile
TPA→EWR
Flight reliability, delays and best times to fly from Tampa to Newark, 997 miles.
Right now
Aviation weather is not currently a factor.
Aviation weather is not currently a factor.
Route reliability
July 2023 – July 2026
Better than 12% of comparable major US routes (4,598 compared)
Calculated from 8,579 flights. How this is calculated · What counts as on time
TPA → EWR arrives on time 76.8% of the time; the return trip, EWR → TPA, arrives on time 77.6% of the time.
TPA → EWR spends 27.3 minutes on the ground on a 997-mile trip: 17.8 minutes from pushback to wheels-up at TPA and 9.6 minutes from touchdown to gate at EWR.
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Data covering July 2023 – July 2026
What stands out
This route's worst arrivals run unusually far past its typical one, a bigger gap than 95% of 4,598 comparable routes.
A typical arrival is 9 min early, but the worst tenth run 76 minutes worse than that.
Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · July 2023 – July 2026 · Ranked against every other route with the same kind of figure and at least 4,598 in the comparison.
What sets this route apart
Where TPA to EWR differs most from similar routes by hour, weekday, month and airline, July 2023 – July 2026.
TPA to EWR struggles most at 6 PM: 54.8% of its flights scheduled then arrive on time, 12.7 points behind the 67.5% on routes of similar length at the same hour. Against all other routes the gap is 13.8 points.
TPA to EWR is at its best against routes of similar length for flights scheduled at 10 AM: 86.5% arrive on time, 4.2 points ahead of the 82.3% those routes manage at that hour. Against all other routes the gap is 3.8 points.
In November, TPA to EWR runs 6.9 points below routes of similar length, 76.1% on time to 83.0%. Against all other routes the gap is 7.3 points.
January is kinder to TPA to EWR than to routes of similar length: 83.3% on time against 77.4%, 5.9 points better. Against all other routes the gap is 4.2 points.
JetBlue’s flights on TPA to EWR arrive on time 66.0% of the time, 3.8 points below the 69.8% it manages on its routes of similar length. Against all other routes the gap is 6.2 points.
TPA to EWR against comparable routes
July 2023 – July 2026| Measure | This route | Compared with | Them | Gap | Flights behind it |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hour: 6 PM departures | 54.8% | routes of similar length | 67.5% | −12.7 pts | 635 here, 192,036 there |
| Hour: 10 AM departures | 86.5% | routes of similar length | 82.3% | +4.2 pts | 555 here, 165,806 there |
| Month: November | 76.1% | routes of similar length | 83.0% | −6.9 pts | 762 here, 243,420 there |
| Month: January | 83.3% | routes of similar length | 77.4% | +5.9 pts | 657 here, 232,146 there |
| Airline: JetBlue | 66.0% | routes of similar length | 69.8% | −3.8 pts | 1,318 here, 147,166 there |
Each comparison pools the flights of other routes, with this route’s own left out. Similar length means within 15% of this route’s 997 miles, with at least 5 such routes. A bucket is set against the most comparable group that has enough flights: similar length, then the same origin (at least 3 routes), then all other routes. Hours, weekdays and months appear only where both sides have 120 completed flights, and airlines where both have 600. The gap must be at least 2 points and 2 standard errors, and only the largest gap each way is kept per measure. These are differences in the flights counted, not causes.
Why TPA → EWR flights are cancelled
July 2023 – July 2026
TPA → EWR cancelled 242 of 8,579 scheduled flights — about 1 in every 35. The reason filed most often was the air traffic system, 37.2% of the cancellations coded on this route — about 1 in every 95 scheduled flights.
Share of cancellations
Of 242 cancelled departures carrying a reason code.
What each reason means
Airport capacity, air traffic control flow programs, heavy traffic and ordinary bad weather. A system decision, not the airline’s.
90 cancellations, 37.2% of the total.
Conditions the carrier judged severe enough to stop the flight: a blizzard, a hurricane, a line of thunderstorms.
87 cancellations, 36.0% of the total.
Crew, maintenance, aircraft cleaning, baggage or fueling: what BTS counts as within the carrier’s own control.
65 cancellations, 26.9% of the total.
A terminal evacuation, a security breach, screening equipment failure, or screening queues over 29 minutes.
0 cancellations, 0.0% of the total.
Reason codes are the operating airline’s own filing with US DOT, not an independent finding of fault. With only one or two carriers on the route, the split mostly reflects how they file. Ordinary bad weather is filed under air traffic, so weather’s full share is larger than its bar.
242 coded cancellations were recorded on TPA → EWR; the section appears from 50.
When it goes wrong
July 2023 – July 2026
67 min late
against a median of 9 min early
TPA → EWR has an average that understates its risk: a typical arrival is 9 min early, but the worst tenth are 76 minutes worse than that. If the trip has something unmissable at the end of it, the median is the wrong number to plan against.
Percentiles over 8,579 operations; cancelled and diverted flights are counted separately.
Will your connection be tight enough?
Layovers at EWR after arriving from TPA.
| Connection time | Chance of missing | Reads as |
|---|---|---|
| 30 min | 34% | Likely to miss |
| 45 min | 23% | High risk |
| 60 min | 17% | High risk |
| 90 min | 11% | Some risk |
| 120 min | 7.7% | Some risk |
This is one leg of a connection. Gate changes and the next flight's own schedule matter too. And a connection can fail before delay is even the question — this route cancels 2.82% of the time and diverts 0.34% of the time, which a late arrival never shows up in.
Chance of missing is the share of 8,308 arrivals on this route that landed later than the connection time less 30 minutes to reach the next gate.
The worst tenth of arrivals on this route land at least 67 minutes late (90th-percentile gate arrival delay), over 8,579 operations.
Any other layover length: connection checker.
Best time to fly
TPA → EWR flights departing 5–9 AM arrived on time 90.7% of the time, against 61.3% for 6–9 PM departures, a gap of 29.4 percentage points.
By departure window
By departure hour
- 12 AM to 5 AM: too few flights to score
- 6 AM: 94.0% on time from 562 flights
- 7 AM: 91.5% on time from 800 flights
- 8 AM: 87.6% on time from 839 flights
- 9 AM: 87.5% on time from 700 flights
- 10 AM: 86.5% on time from 569 flights
- 11 AM: 83.4% on time from 466 flights
- 12 PM: 81.4% on time from 414 flights
- 1 PM: 75.8% on time from 196 flights
- 2 PM: 75.7% on time from 604 flights
- 3 PM: 69.8% on time from 339 flights
- 4 PM: 63.9% on time from 878 flights
- 5 PM: 60.8% on time from 509 flights
- 6 PM: 54.8% on time from 667 flights
- 7 PM: 64.1% on time from 526 flights
- 8 PM: 68.3% on time from 408 flights
- 9 PM to 11 PM: too few flights to score
Departure windows with fewer than 120 flights are not scored.
Why TPA → EWR runs late
July 2023 – July 2026
airspace and airport capacity, including weather-driven flow control
the inbound aircraft was late, so this flight started late
crew, maintenance, boarding and fueling, all within the carrier’s control
weather severe enough to stop this flight specifically
Share of the delay minutes US DOT attributed to each cause for TPA → EWR. Only delays of 15 minutes or more are attributed. What the five causes mean
Airlines on this route
Carriers with at least 200 flights, by the airline that operated each one.
| Carrier | Flights | On time | Cancelled | Median delay | Severe |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United Airlines | 7,202 | 78.8% | 2.67% | -10 min | 9.9% |
| JetBlue | 1,377 | 66.0% | 3.63% | -2 min | 16.5% |
United Airlines flew 83.9% of the 8,579 flights listed.
United Airlines arrived on time 12.8 percentage points more often than JetBlue on this route.
Flights on this route
Flight numbers with at least 600 operations here and still on the schedule.
| Flight | Scheduled | Operations | On time |
|---|---|---|---|
| B62274 JetBlue | 7:24 AM | 781 | 72.8% |
Weekly and seasonal patterns
By day of week
Tuesday is historically the most reliable day and Sunday the least, a gap of 8.9 percentage points.
By month
- Jan: 83.3%
- Feb: 84.9%
- Mar: 77.4%
- Apr: 80.7%
- May: 72.6%
- Jun: 72.3%
- Jul: 62.4%
- Aug: 73.9%
- Sep: 81.8%
- Oct: 83.8%
- Nov: 76.1%
- Dec: 77.3%
July is historically the weakest month and February the strongest, a spread of 22.5 percentage points.
Reliability over time
July 2023 – July 2026
- July 2023: 65.8% from 248 flights
- August 2023: 80.8% from 242 flights
- September 2023: 79.7% from 189 flights
- October 2023: 92.0% from 212 flights
- November 2023: 89.9% from 238 flights
- December 2023: 87.5% from 256 flights
- January 2024: 87.1% from 256 flights
- February 2024: 89.8% from 239 flights
- March 2024: 76.1% from 249 flights
- April 2024: 77.5% from 259 flights
- May 2024: 78.8% from 257 flights
- June 2024: 70.0% from 209 flights
- July 2024: 65.8% from 244 flights
- August 2024: 74.5% from 220 flights
- September 2024: 86.1% from 205 flights
- October 2024: 90.8% from 228 flights
- November 2024: 66.3% from 298 flights
- December 2024: 73.0% from 297 flights
- January 2025: 81.3% from 255 flights
- February 2025: 82.6% from 237 flights
- March 2025: 78.7% from 275 flights
- April 2025: 71.0% from 225 flights
- May 2025: 48.8% from 222 flights
- June 2025: 66.0% from 198 flights
- July 2025: 52.9% from 243 flights
- August 2025: 66.8% from 240 flights
- September 2025: 79.1% from 173 flights
- October 2025: 69.3% from 219 flights
- November 2025: 74.3% from 244 flights
- December 2025: 71.6% from 232 flights
- January 2026: 81.5% from 199 flights
- February 2026: 81.3% from 195 flights
- March 2026: 77.1% from 246 flights
- April 2026: 93.2% from 235 flights
- May 2026: 88.3% from 226 flights
- June 2026: 80.5% from 208 flights
- July 2026: 66.2% from 161 flights
Over the most recent 12 months (2025-08 to 2026-07), on-time arrivals averaged 77.6% against 72.6% in the 12 months before — improving by 5.0 percentage points.
Data and methodology
Calculated by FlyerIntel from 8,579 TPA → EWR flight records from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, covering July 2023 – July 2026. Late means 15 or more minutes past scheduled arrival; cancelled and diverted flights are left out of on-time rates.
Full methodology · Data sources · Report a problem
Related research: How Long a Layover Needs to Be · Two Airlines on One Route · Best Time of Day to Fly From Major US Airports
Analysis last recomputed