Route profile

SJCMDW

Flight reliability, delays and best times to fly from San Jose to Chicago. · 1,838 miles

Right now

Current conditions at both ends of this route.

Origin · SJCNo disruption reportedLimited data

Aviation weather is not currently a factor. FAA operational data — ground stops, ground delay programs and closures — is not currently available to FlyerIntel.

San Jose airport profile →

Destination · MDWNo disruption reportedLimited data

Aviation weather is not currently a factor. FAA operational data — ground stops, ground delay programs and closures — is not currently available to FlyerIntel.

Chicago airport profile →

Airport conditions describe the airfield, not any individual flight. An airport operating normally is not a guarantee that a specific flight will depart on time.

Route reliability

July 2023 – June 2026

Route Reliability Score
91/ 100Strong

Better than 99% of comparable major US routes (4,577 compared)

Calculated from 1,642 flights. How this is calculated

On-time arrivals
86.0%
1,399 of 1,627
Cancellation rate
0.18%
3 cancelled
Median arrival delay
-6 min
Average -1.4 min
Severe delays
2.2%
60+ minutes late
Delay when late
39 min
Average, when 15+ min late
Flights analysed
1,642
1 carrier

Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Data covering July 2023 – June 2026

Best time to fly

On-time arrival rate by scheduled local departure time.

SJCMDW flights departing 5–9 AM arrived on time 93.7% of the time, against 78.4% for 12–3 PM departures — a gap of 15.3 percentage points.

By departure window

5–9 AM93.7%
9 AM–12 PM78.8%
12–3 PM78.4%
3–6 PM
6–9 PM
9 PM–5 AM

By departure hour

Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · July 2023 – June 2026 · Buckets with fewer than 120 flights are not scored.

Airlines on this route

Performance by the carrier that actually operated the flight.

CarrierFlightsOn timeCancelledMedian delaySevere
Southwest Airlines1,64286.0%0.18%-6 min2.2%

Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · July 2023 – June 2026 · Carriers with fewer than 200 flights on this route are not listed.

Other ways to fly San Francisco to Chicago

Airport pairs serving the same journey, grouped by the DOT's own city-market definition. They do not perform the same way.

RouteFlightsOn timeCancelledMedian delayScore
SFOORD San Francisco to Chicago15,59779.1%1.09%-8 min67
OAKMDW Oakland to Chicago1,71883.1%0.41%-5 min84
SJCMDW this route San Jose to Chicago1,64286.0%0.18%-6 min91
SFOMDW San Francisco to Chicago1,18675.4%0.67%-2 min68
SJCORD San Jose to Chicago99092.3%0.81%-11 min88

SJCMDW is the most reliable pairing for this journey at 86.0% on time, against 79.1% for SFOORD.

Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · July 2023 – June 2026 · Grouped by DOT city market, which places Newark with the New York airports and Baltimore with the Washington ones.

Weekly and seasonal patterns

By day of week

Mon80.4%
Tue85.3%
Wed87.5%
Thu85.5%
Fri83.9%
Sat93.2%
Sun89.2%

Saturday is historically the most reliable day and Monday the least, a gap of 12.8 percentage points.

Historical trend

On-time arrival rate by month.

Over the most recent 12 months (2025-07 to 2026-06), on-time arrivals averaged 83.3% against 88.1% in the 12 months before — declining by 4.7 percentage points.

Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · July 2023 – June 2026

Data and methodology

All figures on this page are calculated by FlyerIntel from 1,642 SJCMDW flight records published by the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, covering July 2023 – June 2026. A flight is counted as delayed when it arrives 15 or more minutes after its scheduled arrival time, following BTS methodology. Cancelled and diverted flights have no arrival time and are excluded from on-time rates rather than counted as late.

Full methodology · Data sources · Report a problem