Route profile
PHX→JAX
Flight reliability, delays and best times to fly from Phoenix to Jacksonville, 1,786 miles.
Right now
Aviation weather is not currently a factor.
Aviation weather is not currently a factor.
Route reliability
November 2023 – July 2026
Better than 25% of comparable major US routes (4,598 compared)
Calculated from 916 flights. How this is calculated · What counts as on time
PHX → JAX arrives on time 74.6% of the time; the return trip, JAX → PHX, arrives on time 80.9% of the time, a 6.4-point gap between the two directions of the same city pair.
PHX → JAX spends 23.3 minutes on the ground on a 1,786-mile trip: 15.6 minutes from pushback to wheels-up at PHX and 7.7 minutes from touchdown to gate at JAX.
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Data covering November 2023 – July 2026
When it goes wrong
November 2023 – July 2026
60 min late
against a median of 3 min early
PHX → JAX has an average that understates its risk: a typical arrival is 3 min early, but the worst tenth are 63 minutes worse than that. If the trip has something unmissable at the end of it, the median is the wrong number to plan against.
Percentiles over 916 operations; cancelled and diverted flights are counted separately.
Will your connection be tight enough?
Layovers at JAX after arriving from PHX.
| Connection time | Chance of missing | Reads as |
|---|---|---|
| 30 min | 44% | Likely to miss |
| 45 min | 25% | High risk |
| 60 min | 18% | High risk |
| 90 min | 9.8% | Some risk |
| 120 min | 6.5% | Some risk |
This is one leg of a connection. Gate changes and the next flight's own schedule matter too. And a connection can fail before delay is even the question — this route cancels 0.66% of the time and diverts 0.55% of the time, which a late arrival never shows up in.
Chance of missing is the share of 905 arrivals on this route that landed later than the connection time less 30 minutes to reach the next gate.
The worst tenth of arrivals on this route land at least 60 minutes late (90th-percentile gate arrival delay), over 916 operations.
Any other layover length: connection checker.
Why PHX → JAX runs late
November 2023 – July 2026
the inbound aircraft was late, so this flight started late
crew, maintenance, boarding and fueling, all within the carrier’s control
airspace and airport capacity, including weather-driven flow control
screening or terminal security incidents
Share of the delay minutes US DOT attributed to each cause for PHX → JAX. Only delays of 15 minutes or more are attributed. What the five causes mean
Late-arriving aircraft is the largest cause on PHX → JAX, at 61.6%: flights here mostly leave late because the plane came in late.
Airlines on this route
Carriers with at least 200 flights, by the airline that operated each one.
| Carrier | Flights | On time | Cancelled | Median delay | Severe |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| American Airlines | 916 | 74.6% | 0.66% | -3 min | 10.2% |
Flights on this route
Flight numbers with at least 600 operations here and still on the schedule.
| Flight | Scheduled | Operations | On time |
|---|---|---|---|
| AA2844 American Airlines | 3:45 PM | 768 | 72.2% |
Weekly and seasonal patterns
By day of week
Monday is historically the most reliable day and Thursday the least, a gap of 6.6 percentage points.
Reliability over time
November 2023 – July 2026
Over the most recent 12 months (2025-08 to 2026-07), on-time arrivals averaged 73.5% against 75.1% in the 12 months before — declining by 1.6 percentage points.
Data and methodology
Calculated by FlyerIntel from 916 PHX → JAX flight records from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, covering November 2023 – July 2026. Late means 15 or more minutes past scheduled arrival; cancelled and diverted flights are left out of on-time rates.
Full methodology · Data sources · Report a problem
Related research: How Long a Layover Needs to Be · Two Airlines on One Route · Best Time of Day to Fly From Major US Airports
Analysis last recomputed