Route profile
OMA→MSP
Flight reliability, delays and best times to fly from Omaha to Minneapolis, 282 miles.
Right now
Aviation weather is not currently a factor.
Aviation weather is not currently a factor.
Route reliability
July 2023 – July 2026
Better than 68% of comparable major US routes (4,598 compared)
Calculated from 4,296 flights. How this is calculated · What counts as on time
OMA → MSP arrives on time 82.8% of the time; the return trip, MSP → OMA, arrives on time 79.8% of the time, a 3.0-point gap between the two directions of the same city pair.
OMA → MSP spends 26.6 minutes on the ground on a 282-mile trip: 18.2 minutes from pushback to wheels-up at OMA and 8.4 minutes from touchdown to gate at MSP.
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Data covering July 2023 – July 2026
What stands out
Every day of the week performs about the same on this route, steadier than 97% of 4,467 comparable routes.
84.4% on time on the best day (Saturday) against 80.6% on the worst (Friday).
Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · July 2023 – July 2026 · Ranked against every other route with the same kind of figure and at least 4,467 in the comparison.
What sets this route apart
Where OMA to MSP differs most from similar routes by hour, weekday, month and airline, July 2023 – July 2026.
OMA to MSP struggles most at 9 AM: 77.0% of its flights scheduled then arrive on time, 10.2 points behind the 87.2% on routes of similar length at the same hour. Against all other routes the gap is 7.3 points.
OMA to MSP is at its best against routes of similar length for flights scheduled at 5 PM: 77.2% arrive on time, 6.2 points ahead of the 71.0% those routes manage at that hour. Against all other routes the gap is 7.4 points.
OMA to MSP holds up on Sundays better than routes of similar length do: 84.3% on time to their 75.9%, a 8.4 points lead. Against all other routes the gap is 9.5 points.
October is kinder to OMA to MSP than to routes of similar length: 90.9% on time against 82.7%, 8.2 points better. Against all other routes the gap is 7.9 points.
In January, OMA to MSP runs 4.4 points below routes of similar length, 76.8% on time to 81.2%.
OMA to MSP against comparable routes
July 2023 – July 2026| Measure | This route | Compared with | Them | Gap | Flights behind it |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hour: 9 AM departures | 77.0% | routes of similar length | 87.2% | −10.2 pts | 178 here, 36,148 there |
| Hour: 5 PM departures | 77.2% | routes of similar length | 71.0% | +6.2 pts | 882 here, 43,611 there |
| Weekday: Sunday | 84.3% | routes of similar length | 75.9% | +8.4 pts | 610 here, 97,942 there |
| Month: October | 90.9% | routes of similar length | 82.7% | +8.2 pts | 372 here, 60,494 there |
| Month: January | 76.8% | routes of similar length | 81.2% | −4.4 pts | 345 here, 48,202 there |
Each comparison pools the flights of other routes, with this route’s own left out. Similar length means within 15% of this route’s 282 miles, with at least 5 such routes. A bucket is set against the most comparable group that has enough flights: similar length, then the same origin (at least 3 routes), then all other routes. Hours, weekdays and months appear only where both sides have 120 completed flights, and airlines where both have 600. The gap must be at least 2 points and 2 standard errors, and only the largest gap each way is kept per measure. These are differences in the flights counted, not causes.
When it goes wrong
July 2023 – July 2026
40 min late
against a median of 9 min early
Percentiles over 4,296 operations; cancelled and diverted flights are counted separately.
Will your connection be tight enough?
Layovers at MSP after arriving from OMA.
| Connection time | Chance of missing | Reads as |
|---|---|---|
| 30 min | 29% | High risk |
| 45 min | 17% | High risk |
| 60 min | 12% | Some risk |
| 90 min | 6.9% | Some risk |
| 120 min | 4.7% | Low risk |
This is one leg of a connection. Gate changes and the next flight's own schedule matter too. And a connection can fail before delay is even the question — this route cancels 0.63% of the time and diverts 0.05% of the time, which a late arrival never shows up in.
Chance of missing is the share of 4,267 arrivals on this route that landed later than the connection time less 30 minutes to reach the next gate.
The worst tenth of arrivals on this route land at least 40 minutes late (90th-percentile gate arrival delay), over 4,296 operations.
Any other layover length: connection checker.
Best time to fly
OMA → MSP flights departing 5–9 AM arrived on time 87.0% of the time, against 77.9% for 3–6 PM departures, a gap of 9.1 percentage points.
By departure window
By departure hour
- 12 AM to 5 AM: too few flights to score
- 6 AM: 87.6% on time from 1,055 flights
- 7 AM: too few flights to score
- 8 AM: 85.6% on time from 229 flights
- 9 AM: 77.0% on time from 181 flights
- 10 AM: 87.7% on time from 635 flights
- 11 AM: 88.9% on time from 226 flights
- 12 PM: 77.2% on time from 235 flights
- 1 PM: 78.4% on time from 672 flights
- 2 PM to 4 PM: too few flights to score
- 5 PM: 77.2% on time from 889 flights
- 6 PM to 11 PM: too few flights to score
Why OMA → MSP runs late
July 2023 – July 2026
crew, maintenance, boarding and fueling, all within the carrier’s control
weather severe enough to stop this flight specifically
airspace and airport capacity, including weather-driven flow control
the inbound aircraft was late, so this flight started late
screening or terminal security incidents
Share of the delay minutes US DOT attributed to each cause for OMA → MSP. Only delays of 15 minutes or more are attributed. What the five causes mean
Airlines on this route
Carriers with at least 200 flights, by the airline that operated each one.
| Carrier | Flights | On time | Cancelled | Median delay | Severe |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SkyWest Airlines | 3,687 | 82.1% | 0.52% | -9 min | 7.6% |
| Delta Air Lines | 339 | 86.5% | 1.47% | -12 min | 4.2% |
| Endeavor Air | 270 | 88.0% | 1.11% | -10 min | 2.6% |
SkyWest Airlines flew 85.8% of the 4,296 flights listed.
Endeavor Air arrived on time 5.9 percentage points more often than SkyWest Airlines on this route.
Weekly and seasonal patterns
By day of week
Saturday is historically the most reliable day and Friday the least, a gap of 3.8 percentage points.
By month
- Jan: 76.8%
- Feb: 87.8%
- Mar: 84.0%
- Apr: 86.6%
- May: 84.5%
- Jun: 74.5%
- Jul: 79.9%
- Aug: 77.1%
- Sep: 87.6%
- Oct: 90.9%
- Nov: 88.9%
- Dec: 77.2%
June is historically the weakest month and October the strongest, a spread of 16.4 percentage points.
Reliability over time
July 2023 – July 2026
- July 2023: too few flights to score (117)
- August 2023: 89.2% from 120 flights
- September 2023: too few flights to score (110)
- October 2023: too few flights to score (117)
- November 2023: too few flights to score (103)
- December 2023: too few flights to score (113)
- January 2024: 72.9% from 120 flights
- February 2024: too few flights to score (107)
- March 2024: too few flights to score (119)
- April 2024: too few flights to score (116)
- May 2024: too few flights to score (119)
- June 2024: too few flights to score (117)
- July 2024: too few flights to score (119)
- August 2024: too few flights to score (117)
- September 2024: too few flights to score (111)
- October 2024: too few flights to score (115)
- November 2024: too few flights to score (106)
- December 2024: too few flights to score (119)
- January 2025: too few flights to score (118)
- February 2025: too few flights to score (106)
- March 2025: too few flights to score (99)
- April 2025: too few flights to score (105)
- May 2025: too few flights to score (119)
- June 2025: too few flights to score (114)
- July 2025: too few flights to score (114)
- August 2025: too few flights to score (100)
- September 2025: too few flights to score (93)
- October 2025: 90.8% from 141 flights
- November 2025: too few flights to score (117)
- December 2025: too few flights to score (117)
- January 2026: too few flights to score (112)
- February 2026: too few flights to score (106)
- March 2026: 70.8% from 120 flights
- April 2026: too few flights to score (116)
- May 2026: 90.9% from 143 flights
- June 2026: 83.3% from 144 flights
- July 2026: 83.7% from 147 flights
Over the most recent 12 months (2025-08 to 2026-07), on-time arrivals averaged 81.0% against 83.0% in the 12 months before — declining by 2.0 percentage points.
Data and methodology
Calculated by FlyerIntel from 4,296 OMA → MSP flight records from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, covering July 2023 – July 2026. Late means 15 or more minutes past scheduled arrival; cancelled and diverted flights are left out of on-time rates.
Full methodology · Data sources · Report a problem
Related research: How Long a Layover Needs to Be · Two Airlines on One Route · Best Time of Day to Fly From Major US Airports
Analysis last recomputed