Route profile
MSP→OMA
Flight reliability, delays and best times to fly from Minneapolis to Omaha, 282 miles.
Right now
Aviation weather is not currently a factor.
Aviation weather is not currently a factor.
Route reliability
July 2023 – July 2026
Better than 53% of comparable major US routes (4,598 compared)
Calculated from 4,297 flights. How this is calculated
MSP → OMA arrives on time 79.8% of the time; the return trip, OMA → MSP, arrives on time 82.8% of the time, a 3.0-point gap between the two directions of the same city pair.
MSP → OMA spends 27.8 minutes on the ground on a 282-mile trip: 22.9 minutes from pushback to wheels-up at MSP and 4.9 minutes from touchdown to gate at OMA.
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Data covering July 2023 – July 2026
What sets this route apart
Where MSP to OMA differs most from similar routes by hour, weekday, month and airline, July 2023 – July 2026.
MSP to OMA is at its best against routes of similar length for flights scheduled at 9 PM: 79.7% arrive on time, 8.9 points ahead of the 70.8% those routes manage at that hour. Against all other routes the gap is 10.3 points.
MSP to OMA struggles most at 10 AM: 76.5% of its flights scheduled then arrive on time, 8.8 points behind the 85.3% on routes of similar length at the same hour. Against all other routes the gap is 6.2 points.
MSP to OMA holds up on Sundays better than routes of similar length do: 82.7% on time to their 75.9%, a 6.8 points lead. Against all other routes the gap is 7.9 points.
In December, MSP to OMA runs 7.2 points below routes of similar length, 72.8% on time to 80.0%. Against all other routes the gap is 6 points.
July is kinder to MSP to OMA than to routes of similar length: 77.9% on time against 71.9%, 6 points better. Against all other routes the gap is 8.2 points.
MSP to OMA against comparable routes
July 2023 – July 2026| Measure | This route | Compared with | Them | Gap | Flights behind it |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hour: 9 PM departures | 79.7% | routes of similar length | 70.8% | +8.9 pts | 823 here, 26,427 there |
| Hour: 10 AM departures | 76.5% | routes of similar length | 85.3% | −8.8 pts | 315 here, 49,251 there |
| Weekday: Sunday | 82.7% | routes of similar length | 75.9% | +6.8 pts | 607 here, 97,945 there |
| Month: December | 72.8% | routes of similar length | 80.0% | −7.2 pts | 346 here, 52,497 there |
| Month: July | 77.9% | routes of similar length | 71.9% | +6.0 pts | 488 here, 74,496 there |
Each comparison pools the flights of other routes, with this route’s own left out. Similar length means within 15% of this route’s 282 miles, with at least 5 such routes. A bucket is set against the most comparable group that has enough flights: similar length, then the same origin (at least 3 routes), then all other routes. Hours, weekdays and months appear only where both sides have 120 completed flights, and airlines where both have 600. The gap must be at least 2 points and 2 standard errors, and only the largest gap each way is kept per measure. These are differences in the flights counted, not causes.
When it goes wrong
July 2023 – July 2026
49 min late
against a median of 7 min early
Percentiles over 4,297 operations; cancelled and diverted flights are counted separately.
Will your connection be tight enough?
Layovers at OMA after arriving from MSP.
| Connection time | Chance of missing | Reads as |
|---|---|---|
| 30 min | 33% | Likely to miss |
| 45 min | 20% | High risk |
| 60 min | 14% | Some risk |
| 90 min | 8.2% | Some risk |
| 120 min | 5.3% | Some risk |
This is one leg of a connection. Gate changes and the next flight's own schedule matter too. And a connection can fail before delay is even the question — this route cancels 0.65% of the time and diverts 0.16% of the time, which a late arrival never shows up in.
Chance of missing is the share of 4,262 arrivals on this route that landed later than the connection time less 30 minutes to reach the next gate.
The worst tenth of arrivals on this route land at least 49 minutes late (90th-percentile gate arrival delay), over 4,297 operations.
Any other layover length: connection checker.
Best time to fly
MSP → OMA flights departing 5–9 AM arrived on time 88.4% of the time, against 72.4% for 6–9 PM departures, a gap of 16.0 percentage points.
By departure window
By departure hour
- 12 AM to 7 AM: too few flights to score
- 8 AM: 88.4% on time from 651 flights
- 9 AM: 87.1% on time from 210 flights
- 10 AM: 76.5% on time from 318 flights
- 11 AM: 82.4% on time from 603 flights
- 12 PM to 2 PM: too few flights to score
- 3 PM: 75.9% on time from 887 flights
- 4 PM to 5 PM: too few flights to score
- 6 PM: 72.2% on time from 352 flights
- 7 PM to 8 PM: too few flights to score
- 9 PM: 79.7% on time from 840 flights
- 10 PM: 64.7% on time from 161 flights
- 11 PM: too few flights to score
Departure windows with fewer than 120 flights are not scored.
Why MSP → OMA runs late
July 2023 – July 2026
crew, maintenance, boarding and fueling, all within the carrier’s control
weather severe enough to stop this flight specifically
airspace and airport capacity, including weather-driven flow control
the inbound aircraft was late, so this flight started late
screening or terminal security incidents
Share of the delay minutes US DOT attributed to each cause for MSP → OMA. Only delays of 15 minutes or more are attributed.
Airlines on this route
Carriers with at least 200 flights, by the airline that operated each one.
| Carrier | Flights | On time | Cancelled | Median delay | Severe |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SkyWest Airlines | 3,691 | 79.3% | 0.54% | -6 min | 8.7% |
| Delta Air Lines | 338 | 76.4% | 1.48% | -6 min | 9.4% |
| Endeavor Air | 268 | 91.3% | 1.12% | -11 min | 2.6% |
SkyWest Airlines flew 85.9% of the 4,297 flights listed.
Endeavor Air arrived on time 14.9 percentage points more often than Delta Air Lines on this route.
Flights on this route
Flight numbers with at least 600 operations here and still on the schedule.
Weekly and seasonal patterns
By day of week
Saturday is historically the most reliable day and Friday the least, a gap of 6.8 percentage points.
By month
- Jan: 74.4%
- Feb: 83.3%
- Mar: 77.8%
- Apr: 83.9%
- May: 80.8%
- Jun: 70.9%
- Jul: 77.9%
- Aug: 78.6%
- Sep: 86.0%
- Oct: 87.9%
- Nov: 85.8%
- Dec: 72.8%
June is historically the weakest month and October the strongest, a spread of 17.0 percentage points.
Reliability over time
July 2023 – July 2026
- July 2023: too few flights to score (117)
- August 2023: 85.0% from 120 flights
- September 2023: too few flights to score (110)
- October 2023: too few flights to score (117)
- November 2023: too few flights to score (103)
- December 2023: too few flights to score (113)
- January 2024: 76.3% from 120 flights
- February 2024: too few flights to score (107)
- March 2024: too few flights to score (119)
- April 2024: too few flights to score (116)
- May 2024: too few flights to score (119)
- June 2024: too few flights to score (117)
- July 2024: too few flights to score (119)
- August 2024: too few flights to score (117)
- September 2024: too few flights to score (111)
- October 2024: too few flights to score (115)
- November 2024: too few flights to score (106)
- December 2024: too few flights to score (119)
- January 2025: too few flights to score (118)
- February 2025: too few flights to score (106)
- March 2025: too few flights to score (99)
- April 2025: too few flights to score (105)
- May 2025: too few flights to score (119)
- June 2025: too few flights to score (115)
- July 2025: too few flights to score (114)
- August 2025: too few flights to score (100)
- September 2025: too few flights to score (93)
- October 2025: 83.7% from 141 flights
- November 2025: too few flights to score (117)
- December 2025: too few flights to score (117)
- January 2026: too few flights to score (112)
- February 2026: too few flights to score (106)
- March 2026: 64.3% from 120 flights
- April 2026: too few flights to score (116)
- May 2026: 82.4% from 143 flights
- June 2026: 75.7% from 144 flights
- July 2026: 74.7% from 147 flights
Over the most recent 12 months (2025-08 to 2026-07), on-time arrivals averaged 74.4% against 81.5% in the 12 months before — declining by 7.1 percentage points.
Data and methodology
Calculated by FlyerIntel from 4,297 MSP → OMA flight records from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, covering July 2023 – July 2026. Late means 15 or more minutes past scheduled arrival; cancelled and diverted flights are left out of on-time rates.
Full methodology · Data sources · Report a problem
Related research: How Long a Layover Needs to Be · Two Airlines on One Route · Best Time of Day to Fly From Major US Airports
Analysis last recomputed