Route profile
OAK→HNL
Flight reliability, delays and best times to fly from Oakland to Honolulu, 2,409 miles.
Right now
Aviation weather is not currently a factor.
Aviation weather is not currently a factor.
Route reliability
July 2023 – July 2026
Better than 66% of comparable major US routes (4,598 compared)
Calculated from 2,885 flights. How this is calculated · What counts as on time
OAK → HNL arrives on time 81.0% of the time; the return trip, HNL → OAK, arrives on time 85.7% of the time, a 4.8-point gap between the two directions of the same city pair.
OAK → HNL spends 20.6 minutes on the ground on a 2,409-mile trip: 12.9 minutes from pushback to wheels-up at OAK and 7.7 minutes from touchdown to gate at HNL.
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Data covering July 2023 – July 2026
What sets this route apart
Where OAK to HNL differs most from similar routes by hour, weekday, month and airline, July 2023 – July 2026.
OAK to HNL is at its best against routes of similar length for flights scheduled at 2 PM: 88.5% arrive on time, 13.7 points ahead of the 74.8% those routes manage at that hour. Against all other routes the gap is 13.9 points.
OAK to HNL struggles most at 3 PM: 63.7% of its flights scheduled then arrive on time, 11.7 points behind the 75.4% on routes of similar length at the same hour. Against all other routes the gap is 9 points.
June is kinder to OAK to HNL than to routes of similar length: 88.0% on time against 74.3%, 13.7 points better. Against all other routes the gap is 15.3 points.
In January, OAK to HNL runs 8.4 points below routes of similar length, 71.8% on time to 80.2%. Against all other routes the gap is 7.3 points.
Hawaiian Airlines does better on OAK to HNL than on its routes of similar length: 77.3% on time here, 71.3% there, 6 points apart. Against all other routes the gap is 5.7 points.
OAK to HNL against comparable routes
July 2023 – July 2026| Measure | This route | Compared with | Them | Gap | Flights behind it |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hour: 2 PM departures | 88.5% | routes of similar length | 74.8% | +13.7 pts | 122 here, 32,107 there |
| Hour: 3 PM departures | 63.7% | routes of similar length | 75.4% | −11.7 pts | 251 here, 46,295 there |
| Month: June | 88.0% | routes of similar length | 74.3% | +13.7 pts | 209 here, 96,304 there |
| Month: January | 71.8% | routes of similar length | 80.2% | −8.4 pts | 227 here, 77,046 there |
| Airline: Hawaiian Airlines | 77.3% | routes of similar length | 71.3% | +6.0 pts | 895 here, 28,131 there |
Each comparison pools the flights of other routes, with this route’s own left out. Similar length means within 15% of this route’s 2,409 miles, with at least 5 such routes. A bucket is set against the most comparable group that has enough flights: similar length, then the same origin (at least 3 routes), then all other routes. Hours, weekdays and months appear only where both sides have 120 completed flights, and airlines where both have 600. The gap must be at least 2 points and 2 standard errors, and only the largest gap each way is kept per measure. These are differences in the flights counted, not causes.
When it goes wrong
July 2023 – July 2026
28 min late
against a median of 6 min early
Percentiles over 2,885 operations; cancelled and diverted flights are counted separately.
Will your connection be tight enough?
Layovers at HNL after arriving from OAK.
| Connection time | Chance of missing | Reads as |
|---|---|---|
| 30 min | 38% | Likely to miss |
| 45 min | 18% | High risk |
| 60 min | 9.3% | Some risk |
| 90 min | 4.2% | Low risk |
| 120 min | 2.7% | Low risk |
This is one leg of a connection. Gate changes and the next flight's own schedule matter too. And a connection can fail before delay is even the question — this route cancels 1.49% of the time and diverts 0.14% of the time, which a late arrival never shows up in.
Chance of missing is the share of 2,838 arrivals on this route that landed later than the connection time less 30 minutes to reach the next gate.
The worst tenth of arrivals on this route land at least 28 minutes late (90th-percentile gate arrival delay), over 2,885 operations.
Any other layover length: connection checker.
Best time to fly
OAK → HNL flights departing 9 AM–12 PM arrived on time 86.4% of the time, against 63.7% for 3–6 PM departures, a gap of 22.7 percentage points.
By departure window
By departure hour
- 12 AM to 6 AM: too few flights to score
- 7 AM: 84.3% on time from 232 flights
- 8 AM: 77.3% on time from 894 flights
- 9 AM: 87.2% on time from 621 flights
- 10 AM to 11 AM: too few flights to score
- 12 PM: 79.3% on time from 203 flights
- 1 PM: 85.7% on time from 482 flights
- 2 PM: 88.5% on time from 122 flights
- 3 PM: 63.7% on time from 251 flights
- 4 PM to 11 PM: too few flights to score
Why OAK → HNL runs late
July 2023 – July 2026
crew, maintenance, boarding and fueling, all within the carrier’s control
the inbound aircraft was late, so this flight started late
airspace and airport capacity, including weather-driven flow control
weather severe enough to stop this flight specifically
screening or terminal security incidents
Share of the delay minutes US DOT attributed to each cause for OAK → HNL. Only delays of 15 minutes or more are attributed. What the five causes mean
Airlines on this route
Carriers with at least 200 flights, by the airline that operated each one.
| Carrier | Flights | On time | Cancelled | Median delay | Severe |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwest Airlines | 1,736 | 82.3% | 0.00% | -9 min | 3.2% |
| Hawaiian Airlines | 938 | 77.3% | 4.37% | -2 min | 6.6% |
| Alaska Airlines | 211 | 85.6% | 0.95% | -1 min | 2.4% |
Southwest Airlines flew 60.2% of the 2,885 flights listed. Hawaiian Airlines cancelled 4.37% of its flights here against 0.00% for Southwest Airlines.
Alaska Airlines arrived on time 8.3 percentage points more often than Hawaiian Airlines on this route.
Weekly and seasonal patterns
By day of week
Saturday is historically the most reliable day and Wednesday the least, a gap of 8.3 percentage points.
By month
- Jan: 71.8%
- Feb: 73.9%
- Mar: 85.7%
- Apr: 85.6%
- May: 90.2%
- Jun: 88.0%
- Jul: 80.8%
- Aug: 76.3%
- Sep: 83.3%
- Oct: 83.4%
- Nov: 81.6%
- Dec: 72.7%
January is historically the weakest month and May the strongest, a spread of 18.4 percentage points.
Reliability over time
July 2023 – July 2026
Over the most recent 12 months (2025-08 to 2026-07), on-time arrivals averaged 79.7% against 86.0% in the 12 months before — declining by 6.3 percentage points.
Data and methodology
Calculated by FlyerIntel from 2,885 OAK → HNL flight records from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, covering July 2023 – July 2026. Late means 15 or more minutes past scheduled arrival; cancelled and diverted flights are left out of on-time rates.
Full methodology · Data sources · Report a problem
Related research: How Long a Layover Needs to Be · Two Airlines on One Route · Best Time of Day to Fly From Major US Airports
Analysis last recomputed