Route profile
MIA→MCO
Flight reliability, delays and best times to fly from Miami to Orlando, 192 miles.
Right now
Aviation weather is not currently a factor.
Aviation weather is not currently a factor.
Route reliability
July 2023 – July 2026
Better than 12% of comparable major US routes (4,598 compared)
Calculated from 11,752 flights. How this is calculated
MIA → MCO arrives on time 72.0% of the time; the return trip, MCO → MIA, arrives on time 76.8% of the time, a 4.8-point gap between the two directions of the same city pair.
MIA → MCO spends 32.8 minutes on the ground on a 192-mile trip: 21.0 minutes from pushback to wheels-up at MIA and 11.8 minutes from touchdown to gate at MCO.
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Data covering July 2023 – July 2026
What stands out
Reliability here swings unusually widely by season, a wider month-to-month spread than 97% of 3,357 comparable routes.
85.6% on time in a typical November, against 58.3% in July.
Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · July 2023 – July 2026 · Ranked against every other route with the same kind of figure and at least 3,357 in the comparison.
Why MIA → MCO flights are cancelled
July 2023 – July 2026
MIA → MCO cancelled 157 of 11,752 scheduled flights — about 1 in every 75. The reason filed most often was extreme weather, 71.3% of the cancellations coded on this route — about 1 in every 105 scheduled flights.
Share of cancellations
Of 157 cancelled departures carrying a reason code.
What each reason means
Conditions the carrier judged severe enough to stop the flight: a blizzard, a hurricane, a line of thunderstorms.
112 cancellations, 71.3% of the total.
Airport capacity, air traffic control flow programs, heavy traffic and ordinary bad weather. A system decision, not the airline’s.
26 cancellations, 16.6% of the total.
Crew, maintenance, aircraft cleaning, baggage or fueling: what BTS counts as within the carrier’s own control.
19 cancellations, 12.1% of the total.
A terminal evacuation, a security breach, screening equipment failure, or screening queues over 29 minutes.
0 cancellations, 0.0% of the total.
Reason codes are the operating airline’s own filing with US DOT, not an independent finding of fault. Ordinary bad weather is filed under air traffic, so weather’s full share is larger than its bar.
157 coded cancellations were recorded on MIA → MCO; the section appears from 50.
When it goes wrong
July 2023 – July 2026
71 min late
against a median of 3 min early
MIA → MCO has an average that understates its risk: a typical arrival is 3 min early, but the worst tenth are 74 minutes worse than that. If the trip has something unmissable at the end of it, the median is the wrong number to plan against.
Percentiles over 11,752 operations; cancelled and diverted flights are counted separately.
Will your connection be tight enough?
Layovers at MCO after arriving from MIA.
| Connection time | Chance of missing | Reads as |
|---|---|---|
| 30 min | 43% | Likely to miss |
| 45 min | 27% | High risk |
| 60 min | 20% | High risk |
| 90 min | 12% | Some risk |
| 120 min | 7.4% | Some risk |
This is one leg of a connection. Gate changes and the next flight's own schedule matter too. And a connection can fail before delay is even the question — this route cancels 1.34% of the time and diverts 0.17% of the time, which a late arrival never shows up in.
Chance of missing is the share of 11,575 arrivals on this route that landed later than the connection time less 30 minutes to reach the next gate.
The worst tenth of arrivals on this route land at least 71 minutes late (90th-percentile gate arrival delay), over 11,752 operations.
Any other layover length: connection checker.
Best time to fly
MIA → MCO flights departing 5–9 AM arrived on time 91.7% of the time, against 63.1% for 6–9 PM departures, a gap of 28.6 percentage points.
By departure window
By departure hour
- 12 AM to 5 AM: too few flights to score
- 6 AM: 96.4% on time from 363 flights
- 7 AM: 91.4% on time from 585 flights
- 8 AM: 88.5% on time from 498 flights
- 9 AM: 85.9% on time from 1,432 flights
- 10 AM: 83.1% on time from 166 flights
- 11 AM: 73.8% on time from 173 flights
- 12 PM: 76.0% on time from 609 flights
- 1 PM: 69.0% on time from 416 flights
- 2 PM: 65.9% on time from 317 flights
- 3 PM: 66.4% on time from 1,065 flights
- 4 PM: 66.1% on time from 519 flights
- 5 PM: 61.4% on time from 1,197 flights
- 6 PM: 61.7% on time from 650 flights
- 7 PM: 61.8% on time from 1,049 flights
- 8 PM: 65.1% on time from 1,174 flights
- 9 PM: 70.7% on time from 409 flights
- 10 PM: 68.7% on time from 1,085 flights
- 11 PM: too few flights to score
Why MIA → MCO runs late
July 2023 – July 2026
the inbound aircraft was late, so this flight started late
crew, maintenance, boarding and fueling, all within the carrier’s control
airspace and airport capacity, including weather-driven flow control
weather severe enough to stop this flight specifically
screening or terminal security incidents
Share of the delay minutes US DOT attributed to each cause for MIA → MCO. Only delays of 15 minutes or more are attributed.
Late-arriving aircraft is the largest cause on MIA → MCO, at 40.8%: flights here mostly leave late because the plane came in late, and the day shows it: 5–9 AM departures arrived on time 91.7% of the time and 6–9 PM departures 63.1%.
How this route holds up in bad weather
July 2023 – July 2026
Bad weather raises cancellations by a similar amount at both ends of MIA to MCO: 3.3 times the normal rate at MIA and 3.2 times at MCO. Cancelled in bad weather against normal hours: MIA 4.5% against 1.3%, MCO 4.0% against 1.3%. Flights that did leave MIA in bad weather arrived on time 50.6% of the time, against 74.1% in normal hours.
Bad weather and normal hours at the airports
Scheduled departures, July 2023 – July 2026| Departures from | MIA | MCO |
|---|---|---|
| Cancelled in bad weather | 4.5% | 4.0% |
| Cancelled in normal hours | 1.3% | 1.3% |
| Arrived on time, bad weather | 50.6% | 54.1% |
| Arrived on time, normal hours | 74.1% | 76.3% |
| Departures in bad weather | 15,746 | 33,297 |
Of the carriers on this route, Delta Air Lines (2.0% cancelled against 4.7% for the other carriers at MIA) cancelled the fewest departures from MIA in bad weather and American Airlines (5.4% cancelled against 4.2% for the other carriers at MIA) the most. One more carrier flies this route but has too few bad-weather departures from MIA to compare.
This route’s airlines in bad weather at MIA
All departures from MIA| Airline | Bad-weather departures | Cancelled | Other carriers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Delta Air Lines | 1,774 | 2.0%below the others | 4.7% |
| Southwest Airlines | 914 | 2.4%below the others | 4.5% |
| American Airlines | 8,534 | 5.4%above the others | 4.2% |
These are airport figures, not route figures: every scheduled departure from MIA and MCO, to any destination, in hours the weather report called bad. The airline rows count each carrier’s departures from MIA on every route.
Weather source and limits. In full: MIA (airlines), MCO, What Weather Costs Each Airport, Who Cancels More When the Weather Turns, Airports That Change Places When Weather Turns.
Airlines on this route
Carriers with at least 200 flights, by the airline that operated each one.
| Carrier | Flights | On time | Cancelled | Median delay | Severe |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| American Airlines | 9,044 | 70.3% | 1.38% | -2 min | 12.3% |
| Delta Air Lines | 1,511 | 75.4% | 1.52% | -6 min | 12.6% |
| Southwest Airlines | 608 | 86.0% | 0.82% | -9 min | 6.6% |
| Republic Airways | 586 | 74.7% | 0.68% | -5 min | 11.0% |
American Airlines flew 77.0% of the 11,749 flights listed.
Southwest Airlines arrived on time 15.7 percentage points more often than American Airlines on this route.
Flights on this route
Flight numbers with at least 600 operations here and still on the schedule.
| Flight | Scheduled | Operations | On time |
|---|---|---|---|
| AA2803 American Airlines | 8:31 PM | 1,047 | 62.8% |
Weekly and seasonal patterns
By day of week
Tuesday is historically the most reliable day and Sunday the least, a gap of 12.2 percentage points.
By month
- Jan: 71.8%
- Feb: 73.2%
- Mar: 70.1%
- Apr: 76.1%
- May: 66.4%
- Jun: 65.1%
- Jul: 58.3%
- Aug: 65.4%
- Sep: 76.6%
- Oct: 82.6%
- Nov: 85.6%
- Dec: 77.4%
July is historically the weakest month and November the strongest, a spread of 27.3 percentage points.
Reliability over time
July 2023 – July 2026
- July 2023: 62.1% from 367 flights
- August 2023: 75.1% from 370 flights
- September 2023: 72.7% from 357 flights
- October 2023: 83.9% from 317 flights
- November 2023: 89.3% from 299 flights
- December 2023: 76.5% from 311 flights
- January 2024: 64.7% from 341 flights
- February 2024: 73.1% from 302 flights
- March 2024: 66.4% from 306 flights
- April 2024: 80.8% from 299 flights
- May 2024: 63.7% from 326 flights
- June 2024: 55.8% from 326 flights
- July 2024: 60.8% from 341 flights
- August 2024: 57.0% from 314 flights
- September 2024: 79.3% from 273 flights
- October 2024: 87.5% from 318 flights
- November 2024: 85.2% from 297 flights
- December 2024: 75.2% from 302 flights
- January 2025: 78.9% from 325 flights
- February 2025: 74.6% from 302 flights
- March 2025: 73.9% from 341 flights
- April 2025: 73.6% from 329 flights
- May 2025: 63.1% from 314 flights
- June 2025: 69.4% from 301 flights
- July 2025: 51.8% from 309 flights
- August 2025: 62.4% from 357 flights
- September 2025: 78.6% from 347 flights
- October 2025: 77.2% from 356 flights
- November 2025: 82.5% from 318 flights
- December 2025: 80.3% from 331 flights
- January 2026: 72.0% from 331 flights
- February 2026: 71.8% from 296 flights
- March 2026: 69.4% from 299 flights
- April 2026: 74.1% from 293 flights
- May 2026: 72.6% from 303 flights
- June 2026: 71.1% from 264 flights
- July 2026: 57.5% from 270 flights
Over the most recent 12 months (2025-08 to 2026-07), on-time arrivals averaged 72.7% against 72.4% in the 12 months before — broadly unchanged.
Data and methodology
Calculated by FlyerIntel from 11,752 MIA → MCO flight records from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, covering July 2023 – July 2026. Late means 15 or more minutes past scheduled arrival; cancelled and diverted flights are left out of on-time rates.
Full methodology · Data sources · Report a problem
Related research: How Long a Layover Needs to Be · Two Airlines on One Route · Best Time of Day to Fly From Major US Airports
Analysis last recomputed