Route profile
MDW→RDU
Flight reliability, delays and best times to fly from Chicago to Raleigh–Durham. · 632 miles
Right now
Current conditions at both ends of this route.
Aviation weather is not currently a factor. FAA operational data — ground stops, ground delay programs and closures — is not currently available to FlyerIntel.
The National Weather Service has issued a dense fog advisory covering the airport. Weather conditions are slightly below ideal. FAA operational data — ground stops, ground delay programs and closures — is not currently available to FlyerIntel.
Airport conditions describe the airfield, not any individual flight. An airport operating normally is not a guarantee that a specific flight will depart on time.
Route reliability
July 2023 – June 2026
Better than 59% of comparable major US routes (4,577 compared)
Calculated from 3,190 flights. How this is calculated
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Data covering July 2023 – June 2026
Best time to fly
On-time arrival rate by scheduled local departure time.
MDW → RDU flights departing 5–9 AM arrived on time 90.9% of the time, against 69.5% for 6–9 PM departures — a gap of 21.4 percentage points.
By departure window
By departure hour
Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · July 2023 – June 2026 · Buckets with fewer than 120 flights are not scored.
Airlines on this route
Performance by the carrier that actually operated the flight.
| Carrier | Flights | On time | Cancelled | Median delay | Severe |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwest Airlines | 3,051 | 79.0% | 1.31% | -3 min | 5.4% |
Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · July 2023 – June 2026 · Carriers with fewer than 200 flights on this route are not listed.
Other ways to fly Chicago to Raleigh–Durham
Airport pairs serving the same journey, grouped by the DOT's own city-market definition. They do not perform the same way.
| Route | Flights | On time | Cancelled | Median delay | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORD→RDU Chicago to Raleigh–Durham | 9,723 | 77.1% | 1.30% | -5 min | 60 |
| MDW→RDU this route Chicago to Raleigh–Durham | 3,190 | 78.6% | 1.38% | -3 min | 69 |
MDW → RDU is the most reliable pairing for this journey at 78.6% on time, against 77.1% for ORD → RDU.
Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · July 2023 – June 2026 · Grouped by DOT city market, which places Newark with the New York airports and Baltimore with the Washington ones.
Weekly and seasonal patterns
By day of week
Wednesday is historically the most reliable day and Sunday the least, a gap of 6.6 percentage points.
By month
July is historically the weakest month and February the strongest, a spread of 27.3 percentage points.
Historical trend
On-time arrival rate by month.
Over the most recent 12 months (2025-07 to 2026-06), on-time arrivals averaged 80.7% against 80.0% in the 12 months before — broadly unchanged.
Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · July 2023 – June 2026
Data and methodology
All figures on this page are calculated by FlyerIntel from 3,190 MDW → RDU flight records published by the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, covering July 2023 – June 2026. A flight is counted as delayed when it arrives 15 or more minutes after its scheduled arrival time, following BTS methodology. Cancelled and diverted flights have no arrival time and are excluded from on-time rates rather than counted as late.