Route profile
DTW→JFK
Flight reliability, delays and best times to fly from Detroit to New York, 509 miles.
Right now
Aviation weather is not currently a factor.
Aviation weather is not currently a factor.
Route reliability
July 2023 – July 2026
Better than 23% of comparable major US routes (4,598 compared)
Calculated from 4,570 flights. How this is calculated · What counts as on time
DTW → JFK arrives on time 79.7% of the time; the return trip, JFK → DTW, arrives on time 76.2% of the time, a 3.5-point gap between the two directions of the same city pair.
DTW → JFK spends 30.9 minutes on the ground on a 509-mile trip: 19.2 minutes from pushback to wheels-up at DTW and 11.7 minutes from touchdown to gate at JFK.
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Data covering July 2023 – July 2026
What sets this route apart
Where DTW to JFK differs most from similar routes by hour, weekday, month and airline, July 2023 – July 2026.
DTW to JFK struggles most at 12 PM: 70.0% of its flights scheduled then arrive on time, 12.1 points behind the 82.1% on routes of similar length at the same hour. Against all other routes the gap is 9.4 points.
DTW to JFK is at its best against routes of similar length for flights scheduled at 9 PM: 72.4% arrive on time, 4.4 points ahead of the 68.0% those routes manage at that hour.
In January, DTW to JFK runs 8.3 points below routes of similar length, 71.4% on time to 79.7%. Against all other routes the gap is 7.7 points.
March is kinder to DTW to JFK than to routes of similar length: 84.3% on time against 78.8%, 5.5 points better. Against all other routes the gap is 6.4 points.
Delta Air Lines’ flights on DTW to JFK arrive on time 74.9% of the time, 7.9 points below the 82.8% it manages on its routes of similar length. Against all other routes the gap is 6.6 points.
DTW to JFK against comparable routes
July 2023 – July 2026| Measure | This route | Compared with | Them | Gap | Flights behind it |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hour: 12 PM departures | 70.0% | routes of similar length | 82.1% | −12.1 pts | 213 here, 77,439 there |
| Hour: 9 PM departures | 72.4% | routes of similar length | 68.0% | +4.4 pts | 544 here, 50,493 there |
| Month: January | 71.4% | routes of similar length | 79.7% | −8.3 pts | 231 here, 101,055 there |
| Month: March | 84.3% | routes of similar length | 78.8% | +5.5 pts | 235 here, 112,690 there |
| Airline: Delta Air Lines | 74.9% | routes of similar length | 82.8% | −7.9 pts | 1,685 here, 299,366 there |
Each comparison pools the flights of other routes, with this route’s own left out. Similar length means within 15% of this route’s 509 miles, with at least 5 such routes. A bucket is set against the most comparable group that has enough flights: similar length, then the same origin (at least 3 routes), then all other routes. Hours, weekdays and months appear only where both sides have 120 completed flights, and airlines where both have 600. The gap must be at least 2 points and 2 standard errors, and only the largest gap each way is kept per measure. These are differences in the flights counted, not causes.
Why DTW → JFK flights are cancelled
July 2023 – July 2026
DTW → JFK cancelled 124 of 4,570 scheduled flights — about 1 in every 37. The reason filed most often was extreme weather, 40.3% of the cancellations coded on this route — about 1 in every 91 scheduled flights.
Share of cancellations
Of 124 cancelled departures carrying a reason code.
What each reason means
Conditions the carrier judged severe enough to stop the flight: a blizzard, a hurricane, a line of thunderstorms.
50 cancellations, 40.3% of the total.
Airport capacity, air traffic control flow programs, heavy traffic and ordinary bad weather. A system decision, not the airline’s.
42 cancellations, 33.9% of the total.
Crew, maintenance, aircraft cleaning, baggage or fueling: what BTS counts as within the carrier’s own control.
32 cancellations, 25.8% of the total.
A terminal evacuation, a security breach, screening equipment failure, or screening queues over 29 minutes.
0 cancellations, 0.0% of the total.
Reason codes are the operating airline’s own filing with US DOT, not an independent finding of fault. Ordinary bad weather is filed under air traffic, so weather’s full share is larger than its bar.
124 coded cancellations were recorded on DTW → JFK; the section appears from 50.
When it goes wrong
July 2023 – July 2026
51 min late
against a median of 9 min early
DTW → JFK has an average that understates its risk: a typical arrival is 9 min early, but the worst tenth are 60 minutes worse than that. If the trip has something unmissable at the end of it, the median is the wrong number to plan against.
Percentiles over 4,570 operations; cancelled and diverted flights are counted separately.
Will your connection be tight enough?
Layovers at JFK after arriving from DTW.
| Connection time | Chance of missing | Reads as |
|---|---|---|
| 30 min | 33% | Likely to miss |
| 45 min | 20% | High risk |
| 60 min | 14% | Some risk |
| 90 min | 8.7% | Some risk |
| 120 min | 5.7% | Some risk |
This is one leg of a connection. Gate changes and the next flight's own schedule matter too. And a connection can fail before delay is even the question — this route cancels 2.71% of the time and diverts 0.15% of the time, which a late arrival never shows up in.
Chance of missing is the share of 4,439 arrivals on this route that landed later than the connection time less 30 minutes to reach the next gate.
The worst tenth of arrivals on this route land at least 51 minutes late (90th-percentile gate arrival delay), over 4,570 operations.
Any other layover length: connection checker.
Best time to fly
DTW → JFK flights departing 9 AM–12 PM arrived on time 89.3% of the time, against 68.1% for 6–9 PM departures, a gap of 21.2 percentage points.
By departure window
By departure hour
- 12 AM to 5 AM: too few flights to score
- 6 AM: 85.8% on time from 464 flights
- 7 AM: 89.0% on time from 683 flights
- 8 AM to 9 AM: too few flights to score
- 10 AM: 89.4% on time from 857 flights
- 11 AM: too few flights to score
- 12 PM: 70.0% on time from 220 flights
- 1 PM to 2 PM: too few flights to score
- 3 PM: 77.6% on time from 233 flights
- 4 PM: 73.6% on time from 785 flights
- 5 PM to 6 PM: too few flights to score
- 7 PM: 71.8% on time from 275 flights
- 8 PM: 65.8% on time from 163 flights
- 9 PM: 72.4% on time from 553 flights
- 10 PM to 11 PM: too few flights to score
Why DTW → JFK runs late
July 2023 – July 2026
airspace and airport capacity, including weather-driven flow control
crew, maintenance, boarding and fueling, all within the carrier’s control
the inbound aircraft was late, so this flight started late
weather severe enough to stop this flight specifically
screening or terminal security incidents
Share of the delay minutes US DOT attributed to each cause for DTW → JFK. Only delays of 15 minutes or more are attributed. What the five causes mean
Airlines on this route
Carriers with at least 200 flights, by the airline that operated each one.
| Carrier | Flights | On time | Cancelled | Median delay | Severe |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delta Air Lines | 1,732 | 74.9% | 2.48% | -7 min | 10.4% |
| Endeavor Air | 1,440 | 86.6% | 2.08% | -12 min | 5.8% |
| JetBlue | 1,287 | 77.4% | 3.96% | -6 min | 10.6% |
Delta Air Lines flew 38.8% of the 4,459 flights listed. JetBlue cancelled 3.96% of its flights here against 2.08% for Endeavor Air.
Endeavor Air arrived on time 11.7 percentage points more often than Delta Air Lines on this route.
Other ways to fly Detroit to New York
Airport pairs in the same two city markets, as the DOT defines them.
| Route | Flights | On time | Cancelled | Median delay | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DTW→LGA Detroit to New York | 12,501 | 80.0% | 3.11% | -9 min | 57 |
| DTW→JFK this route Detroit to New York | 4,570 | 79.7% | 2.71% | -9 min | 55 |
Flights on this route
Flight numbers with at least 600 operations here and still on the schedule.
| Flight | Scheduled | Operations | On time |
|---|---|---|---|
| DL2934 Delta Air Lines | 9:25 PM | 708 | 73.1% |
Weekly and seasonal patterns
By day of week
Tuesday is historically the most reliable day and Sunday the least, a gap of 7.7 percentage points.
By month
- Jan: 71.4%
- Feb: 84.6%
- Mar: 84.3%
- Apr: 83.0%
- May: 78.2%
- Jun: 76.6%
- Jul: 68.8%
- Aug: 80.9%
- Sep: 80.5%
- Oct: 86.4%
- Nov: 87.0%
- Dec: 76.5%
July is historically the weakest month and November the strongest, a spread of 18.2 percentage points.
Reliability over time
July 2023 – July 2026
- July 2023: 62.1% from 217 flights
- August 2023: 76.9% from 217 flights
- September 2023: 68.3% from 211 flights
- October 2023: 83.9% from 218 flights
- November 2023: 91.7% from 205 flights
- December 2023: 85.1% from 176 flights
- January 2024: 73.0% from 153 flights
- February 2024: 87.4% from 145 flights
- March 2024: 86.5% from 156 flights
- April 2024: 81.6% from 180 flights
- May 2024: 74.7% from 182 flights
- June 2024: 75.4% from 142 flights
- July 2024: 70.0% from 124 flights
- August 2024: 79.5% from 124 flights
- September 2024: 88.3% from 120 flights
- October 2024: 89.5% from 124 flights
- November 2024: too few flights to score (119)
- December 2024: too few flights to score (113)
- January 2025: too few flights to score (23)
- February 2025: too few flights to score (24)
- March 2025: too few flights to score (26)
- April 2025: too few flights to score (28)
- May 2025: too few flights to score (88)
- June 2025: too few flights to score (112)
- July 2025: 77.2% from 121 flights
- August 2025: 89.3% from 124 flights
- September 2025: 90.6% from 138 flights
- October 2025: 87.5% from 153 flights
- November 2025: 82.9% from 145 flights
- December 2025: too few flights to score (97)
- January 2026: too few flights to score (60)
- February 2026: too few flights to score (52)
- March 2026: too few flights to score (54)
- April 2026: too few flights to score (52)
- May 2026: too few flights to score (110)
- June 2026: too few flights to score (117)
- July 2026: 70.2% from 120 flights
Over the most recent 12 months (2025-08 to 2026-07), on-time arrivals averaged 82.3% against 79.4% in the 12 months before — improving by 2.9 percentage points.
Data and methodology
Calculated by FlyerIntel from 4,570 DTW → JFK flight records from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, covering July 2023 – July 2026. Late means 15 or more minutes past scheduled arrival; cancelled and diverted flights are left out of on-time rates.
Full methodology · Data sources · Report a problem
Related research: How Long a Layover Needs to Be · Two Airlines on One Route · Best Time of Day to Fly From Major US Airports
Analysis last recomputed