Route profile
BUR→BNA
Flight reliability, delays and best times to fly from Burbank to Nashville, 1,791 miles.
Right now
Aviation weather is not currently a factor.
Aviation weather is not currently a factor.
Route reliability
July 2023 – July 2026
Better than 95% of comparable major US routes (4,598 compared)
Calculated from 1,071 flights. How this is calculated · What counts as on time
BUR → BNA arrives on time 86.0% of the time; the return trip, BNA → BUR, arrives on time 74.5% of the time, an 11.5-point gap between the two directions of the same city pair.
BUR → BNA spends 21.9 minutes on the ground on a 1,791-mile trip: 15.0 minutes from pushback to wheels-up at BUR and 7.0 minutes from touchdown to gate at BNA.
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Data covering July 2023 – July 2026
What stands out
This route stays close to typical even on its worst days, a smaller gap than 93% of 4,598 comparable routes.
A typical arrival is 6 min early, and the worst tenth are only 30 minutes worse than that.
Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · July 2023 – July 2026 · Ranked against every other route with the same kind of figure and at least 4,598 in the comparison.
What sets this route apart
Where BUR to BNA differs most from similar routes by hour, weekday, month and airline, July 2023 – July 2026.
BUR to BNA is at its best against routes of similar length for flights scheduled at 7 AM: 93.8% arrive on time, 6.8 points ahead of the 87.0% those routes manage at that hour. Against all other routes the gap is 6 points.
BUR to BNA holds up on Saturdays better than routes of similar length do: 92.5% on time to their 78.5%, a 14 points lead. Against all other routes the gap is 13.4 points.
Southwest Airlines does better on BUR to BNA than on its routes of similar length: 86.0% on time here, 74.9% there, 11.1 points apart. Against all other routes the gap is 8.6 points.
BUR to BNA against comparable routes
July 2023 – July 2026| Measure | This route | Compared with | Them | Gap | Flights behind it |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hour: 7 AM departures | 93.8% | routes of similar length | 87.0% | +6.8 pts | 227 here, 113,890 there |
| Weekday: Saturday | 92.5% | routes of similar length | 78.5% | +14.0 pts | 134 here, 169,055 there |
| Airline: Southwest Airlines | 86.0% | routes of similar length | 74.9% | +11.1 pts | 1,061 here, 212,473 there |
Each comparison pools the flights of other routes, with this route’s own left out. Similar length means within 15% of this route’s 1,791 miles, with at least 5 such routes. A bucket is set against the most comparable group that has enough flights: similar length, then the same origin (at least 3 routes), then all other routes. Hours, weekdays and months appear only where both sides have 120 completed flights, and airlines where both have 600. The gap must be at least 2 points and 2 standard errors, and only the largest gap each way is kept per measure. These are differences in the flights counted, not causes.
When it goes wrong
July 2023 – July 2026
24 min late
against a median of 6 min early
Percentiles over 1,071 operations; cancelled and diverted flights are counted separately.
Will your connection be tight enough?
Layovers at BNA after arriving from BUR.
| Connection time | Chance of missing | Reads as |
|---|---|---|
| 30 min | 32% | Likely to miss |
| 45 min | 14% | Some risk |
| 60 min | 8.2% | Some risk |
| 90 min | 3.3% | Low risk |
| 120 min | 1.2% | Low risk |
This is one leg of a connection. Gate changes and the next flight's own schedule matter too. And a connection can fail before delay is even the question — this route cancels 0.47% of the time and diverts 0.47% of the time, which a late arrival never shows up in.
Chance of missing is the share of 1,061 arrivals on this route that landed later than the connection time less 30 minutes to reach the next gate.
The worst tenth of arrivals on this route land at least 24 minutes late (90th-percentile gate arrival delay), over 1,071 operations.
Any other layover length: connection checker.
Best time to fly
BUR → BNA flights departing 5–9 AM arrived on time 91.9% of the time, against 69.1% for 12–3 PM departures, a gap of 22.8 percentage points.
By departure window
By departure hour
- 12 AM to 6 AM: too few flights to score
- 7 AM: 93.8% on time from 228 flights
- 8 AM: 90.7% on time from 358 flights
- 9 AM: 81.1% on time from 191 flights
- 10 AM to 11 PM: too few flights to score
Departure windows with fewer than 120 flights are not scored.
Why BUR → BNA runs late
July 2023 – July 2026
the inbound aircraft was late, so this flight started late
crew, maintenance, boarding and fueling, all within the carrier’s control
airspace and airport capacity, including weather-driven flow control
weather severe enough to stop this flight specifically
screening or terminal security incidents
Share of the delay minutes US DOT attributed to each cause for BUR → BNA. Only delays of 15 minutes or more are attributed. What the five causes mean
Late-arriving aircraft is the largest cause on BUR → BNA, at 47.7%: flights here mostly leave late because the plane came in late, and the day shows it: 5–9 AM departures arrived on time 91.9% of the time and 12–3 PM departures 69.1%.
Airlines on this route
Carriers with at least 200 flights, by the airline that operated each one.
| Carrier | Flights | On time | Cancelled | Median delay | Severe |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwest Airlines | 1,071 | 86.0% | 0.47% | -6 min | 3.4% |
Weekly and seasonal patterns
By day of week
Wednesday is historically the most reliable day and Thursday the least, a gap of 13.2 percentage points.
Reliability over time
July 2023 – July 2026
Over the most recent 12 months (2025-08 to 2026-07), on-time arrivals averaged 81.7% against 87.3% in the 12 months before — declining by 5.6 percentage points.
Data and methodology
Calculated by FlyerIntel from 1,071 BUR → BNA flight records from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, covering July 2023 – July 2026. Late means 15 or more minutes past scheduled arrival; cancelled and diverted flights are left out of on-time rates.
Full methodology · Data sources · Report a problem
Related research: How Long a Layover Needs to Be · Two Airlines on One Route · Best Time of Day to Fly From Major US Airports
Analysis last recomputed