Route profile
BNA→BUR
Flight reliability, delays and best times to fly from Nashville to Burbank, 1,791 miles.
Right now
Aviation weather is not currently a factor.
Aviation weather is not currently a factor.
Route reliability
July 2023 – July 2026
Better than 48% of comparable major US routes (4,598 compared)
Calculated from 1,068 flights. How this is calculated · What counts as on time
BNA → BUR arrives on time 74.5% of the time; the return trip, BUR → BNA, arrives on time 86.0% of the time, an 11.5-point gap between the two directions of the same city pair.
BNA → BUR spends 16.7 minutes on the ground on a 1,791-mile trip: 13.8 minutes from pushback to wheels-up at BNA and 2.9 minutes from touchdown to gate at BUR.
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Data covering July 2023 – July 2026
What sets this route apart
Where BNA to BUR differs most from similar routes by hour, weekday, month and airline, July 2023 – July 2026.
BNA to BUR struggles most at 5 PM: 64.4% of its flights scheduled then arrive on time, 7.8 points behind the 72.2% on routes of similar length at the same hour.
Wednesday is the day BNA to BUR slips furthest against routes of similar length, 69.8% on time where they average 80.4%, 10.6 points lower. Against all other routes the gap is 11 points.
BNA to BUR against comparable routes
July 2023 – July 2026| Measure | This route | Compared with | Them | Gap | Flights behind it |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hour: 5 PM departures | 64.4% | routes of similar length | 72.2% | −7.8 pts | 146 here, 82,729 there |
| Weekday: Wednesday | 69.8% | routes of similar length | 80.4% | −10.6 pts | 139 here, 170,016 there |
Each comparison pools the flights of other routes, with this route’s own left out. Similar length means within 15% of this route’s 1,791 miles, with at least 5 such routes. A bucket is set against the most comparable group that has enough flights: similar length, then the same origin (at least 3 routes), then all other routes. Hours, weekdays and months appear only where both sides have 120 completed flights, and airlines where both have 600. The gap must be at least 2 points and 2 standard errors, and only the largest gap each way is kept per measure. These are differences in the flights counted, not causes.
When it goes wrong
July 2023 – July 2026
43 min late
against a median of 1 min early
Percentiles over 1,068 operations; cancelled and diverted flights are counted separately.
Will your connection be tight enough?
Layovers at BUR after arriving from BNA.
| Connection time | Chance of missing | Reads as |
|---|---|---|
| 30 min | 47% | Likely to miss |
| 45 min | 25% | High risk |
| 60 min | 13% | Some risk |
| 90 min | 7.4% | Some risk |
| 120 min | 3.8% | Low risk |
This is one leg of a connection. Gate changes and the next flight's own schedule matter too. And a connection can fail before delay is even the question — this route cancels 0.56% of the time and diverts 0.28% of the time, which a late arrival never shows up in.
Chance of missing is the share of 1,059 arrivals on this route that landed later than the connection time less 30 minutes to reach the next gate.
The worst tenth of arrivals on this route land at least 43 minutes late (90th-percentile gate arrival delay), over 1,068 operations.
Any other layover length: connection checker.
Best time to fly
BNA → BUR flights departing 9 AM–12 PM arrived on time 81.3% of the time, against 67.8% for 3–6 PM departures, a gap of 13.5 percentage points.
By departure window
By departure hour
- 12 AM to 11 AM: too few flights to score
- 12 PM: 80.7% on time from 139 flights
- 1 PM: 79.7% on time from 125 flights
- 2 PM to 3 PM: too few flights to score
- 4 PM: 70.8% on time from 169 flights
- 5 PM: 64.4% on time from 147 flights
- 6 PM to 11 PM: too few flights to score
Departure windows with fewer than 120 flights are not scored.
Why BNA → BUR runs late
July 2023 – July 2026
the inbound aircraft was late, so this flight started late
crew, maintenance, boarding and fueling, all within the carrier’s control
airspace and airport capacity, including weather-driven flow control
weather severe enough to stop this flight specifically
Share of the delay minutes US DOT attributed to each cause for BNA → BUR. Only delays of 15 minutes or more are attributed. What the five causes mean
Late-arriving aircraft is the largest cause on BNA → BUR, at 58.1%: flights here mostly leave late because the plane came in late, and the day shows it: 9 AM–12 PM departures arrived on time 81.3% of the time and 3–6 PM departures 67.8%.
Airlines on this route
Carriers with at least 200 flights, by the airline that operated each one.
| Carrier | Flights | On time | Cancelled | Median delay | Severe |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwest Airlines | 1,068 | 74.5% | 0.56% | -1 min | 7.5% |
Weekly and seasonal patterns
By day of week
Friday is historically the most reliable day and Wednesday the least, a gap of 9.0 percentage points.
Reliability over time
July 2023 – July 2026
Over the most recent 12 months (2025-08 to 2026-07), on-time arrivals averaged 72.8% against 81.5% in the 12 months before — declining by 8.7 percentage points.
Data and methodology
Calculated by FlyerIntel from 1,068 BNA → BUR flight records from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, covering July 2023 – July 2026. Late means 15 or more minutes past scheduled arrival; cancelled and diverted flights are left out of on-time rates.
Full methodology · Data sources · Report a problem
Related research: How Long a Layover Needs to Be · Two Airlines on One Route · Best Time of Day to Fly From Major US Airports
Analysis last recomputed