BNA → DFW Flight Reliability

Right now

Origin · BNANo disruption reported

Aviation weather is not currently a factor.

Updated 08:53 UTC

Nashville airport profile →

Destination · DFWNo disruption reported

Aviation weather is not currently a factor.

Updated 08:53 UTC

Dallas–Fort Worth airport profile →

Route reliability

July 2023 – July 2026

Route Reliability Score

42/ 100Weak

Better than 5% of comparable major US routes (4,598 compared)

Calculated from 10,714 flights. How this is calculated

On-time arrivals

73.6%

7,618 of 10,357

Cancellation rate

3.01%

322 cancelled

Median arrival delay

-4 min

Average 17.8 min

Severe delays

10.9%

60+ minutes late

Delay when late

96 min

Average, when 15+ min late

Flights analyzed

10,714

2 carriers

BNA → DFW arrives on time 73.6% of the time; the return trip, DFW → BNA, arrives on time 67.8% of the time, a 5.7-point gap between the two directions of the same city pair.

BNA → DFW spends 32.4 minutes on the ground on a 631-mile trip: 17.5 minutes from pushback to wheels-up at BNA and 14.9 minutes from touchdown to gate at DFW.

Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Data covering July 2023 – July 2026

What stands out

Every airline on this route performs about the same, a narrower carrier gap than 91% of 2,692 comparable routes.

Envoy Air (75.5% on time) and American Airlines (73.7%) are close together here.

Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · July 2023 – July 2026 · Ranked against every other route with the same kind of figure and at least 2,692 in the comparison.

Why BNA → DFW flights are cancelled

July 2023 – July 2026

BNA → DFW cancelled 322 of 10,714 scheduled flights — about 1 in every 33. The reason filed most often was extreme weather, 84.5% of the cancellations coded on this route — about 1 in every 39 scheduled flights.

Share of cancellations

Weather84.5%

Airline14.0%

Air traffic1.6%

Security0.0%

Of 322 cancelled departures carrying a reason code.

What each reason means

Extreme weather1 in 39

Conditions the carrier judged severe enough to stop the flight: a blizzard, a hurricane, a line of thunderstorms.

272 cancellations, 84.5% of the total.

The airline1 in 238

Crew, maintenance, aircraft cleaning, baggage or fueling: what BTS counts as within the carrier’s own control.

45 cancellations, 14.0% of the total.

The air traffic system1 in 2,143

Airport capacity, air traffic control flow programs, heavy traffic and ordinary bad weather. A system decision, not the airline’s.

5 cancellations, 1.6% of the total.

Security—

A terminal evacuation, a security breach, screening equipment failure, or screening queues over 29 minutes.

0 cancellations, 0.0% of the total.

Reason codes are the operating airline’s own filing with US DOT, not an independent finding of fault. With only one or two carriers on the route, the split mostly reflects how they file. Ordinary bad weather is filed under air traffic, so weather’s full share is larger than its bar.

322 coded cancellations were recorded on BNA → DFW; the section appears from 50.

When it goes wrong

July 2023 – July 2026

One arrival in ten is worse than

67 min late

against a median of 4 min early

Arrived an hour or more late10.9%

Typical delay when late96 min

Cancelled3.01%

Landed somewhere else0.33%

BNA → DFW has an average that understates its risk: a typical arrival is 4 min early, but the worst tenth are 71 minutes worse than that. If the trip has something unmissable at the end of it, the median is the wrong number to plan against.

Percentiles over 10,714 operations; cancelled and diverted flights are counted separately.

Will your connection be tight enough?

Layovers at DFW after arriving from BNA.

Connection buffer and chance of missing by layover length, BNA → DFW arrivals
Connection time	Chance of missing	Reads as
30 min	42%	Likely to miss
45 min	26%	High risk
60 min	17%	High risk
90 min	11%	Some risk
120 min	7.4%	Some risk

This is one leg of a connection. Gate changes and the next flight's own schedule matter too. And a connection can fail before delay is even the question — this route cancels 3.01% of the time and diverts 0.33% of the time, which a late arrival never shows up in.

Chance of missing is the share of 10,357 arrivals on this route that landed later than the connection time less 30 minutes to reach the next gate.

The worst tenth of arrivals on this route land at least 67 minutes late (90th-percentile gate arrival delay), over 10,714 operations.

Any other layover length: connection checker.

Best time to fly

BNA → DFW flights departing 5–9 AM arrived on time 82.1% of the time, against 59.7% for 3–6 PM departures, a gap of 22.4 percentage points.

By day and hour

On-time arrival rate for each weekday and scheduled departure hour, in local time at the departure airport (BNA).

Hour of departure matters more than day of the week: hourly averages sit a typical 10.4 points from the route-wide rate, weekday averages 2.6 points.

On-time arrival rate for BNA to DFW by weekday and scheduled departure hour, local time. Each button reads out one slot.
Hour	Monday	Tuesday	Wednesday	Thursday	Friday	Saturday	Sunday
5 AM–6 AM
6 AM–7 AM
7 AM–8 AM
8 AM–9 AM
9 AM–10 AM
10 AM–11 AM
11 AM–12 PM
12 PM–1 PM
1 PM–2 PM
2 PM–3 PM
3 PM–4 PM
4 PM–5 PM
5 PM–6 PM
6 PM–7 PM
7 PM–8 PM

On-time rate, % · stronger color, fewer on time

50–59
60–69
70–79
80–89

Fewer than 120 flights, not scored

Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · July 2023 – July 2026 · On time is arrival within 15 minutes of schedule. Cells round to whole percentages; the table shows one decimal.

No slot is named best or worst: too few reach 500 flights. Departures after 8 PM (116 flights) are not drawn: no slot in those hours has enough flights to score.

View as tableHide table

On-time arrival rate (%) with flights beneath, by scheduled departure hour and weekday for BNA to DFW. A dash means fewer than 120 flights, which are not scored.
Hour	Monday	Tuesday	Wednesday	Thursday	Friday	Saturday	Sunday
5 AM–6 AM	85.6% on time162 flights	85.4% on time154 flights	86.9% on time157 flights	86.7% on time165 flights	89.0% on time161 flights	89.4% on time169 flights	83.6% on time158 flights
6 AM–7 AM	73.8% on time149 flights	79.4% on time135 flights	84.5% on time138 flights	84.2% on time142 flights	76.8% on time145 flights	74.2% on time131 flights	82.1% on time140 flights
7 AM–8 AM	84 flights, too few to score	85 flights, too few to score	85 flights, too few to score	85 flights, too few to score	83 flights, too few to score	89 flights, too few to score	83 flights, too few to score
8 AM–9 AM	112 flights, too few to score	117 flights, too few to score	106 flights, too few to score	112 flights, too few to score	113 flights, too few to score	100 flights, too few to score	75.0% on time121 flights
9 AM–10 AM	112 flights, too few to score	85.2% on time126 flights	113 flights, too few to score	118 flights, too few to score	113 flights, too few to score	112 flights, too few to score	74.2% on time128 flights
10 AM–11 AM	76 flights, too few to score	55 flights, too few to score	56 flights, too few to score	63 flights, too few to score	75 flights, too few to score	63 flights, too few to score	65 flights, too few to score
11 AM–12 PM	75.3% on time151 flights	83.4% on time150 flights	82.7% on time151 flights	81.8% on time146 flights	80.0% on time150 flights	84.2% on time152 flights	77.3% on time146 flights
12 PM–1 PM	48 flights, too few to score	33 flights, too few to score	29 flights, too few to score	38 flights, too few to score	50 flights, too few to score	31 flights, too few to score	37 flights, too few to score
1 PM–2 PM	73.2% on time130 flights	77.3% on time132 flights	73.6% on time144 flights	76.9% on time126 flights	70.2% on time127 flights	109 flights, too few to score	71.3% on time130 flights
2 PM–3 PM	5 flights, too few to score	2 flights, too few to score	0 flights, too few to score	6 flights, too few to score	3 flights, too few to score	1 flight, too few to score	3 flights, too few to score
3 PM–4 PM	69.1% on time156 flights	72.7% on time155 flights	59.4% on time157 flights	51.2% on time176 flights	67.5% on time158 flights	62.3% on time153 flights	62.0% on time169 flights
4 PM–5 PM	46 flights, too few to score	50 flights, too few to score	48 flights, too few to score	45 flights, too few to score	45 flights, too few to score	29 flights, too few to score	43 flights, too few to score
5 PM–6 PM	55.6% on time146 flights	64.5% on time124 flights	57.9% on time126 flights	51.5% on time142 flights	52.2% on time141 flights	118 flights, too few to score	51.9% on time141 flights
6 PM–7 PM	58 flights, too few to score	57 flights, too few to score	48 flights, too few to score	67 flights, too few to score	55 flights, too few to score	51 flights, too few to score	72 flights, too few to score
7 PM–8 PM	54.3% on time133 flights	76 flights, too few to score	103 flights, too few to score	62.7% on time153 flights	62.5% on time135 flights	74 flights, too few to score	53.9% on time162 flights

By departure window

5–9 AM82.1%

9 AM–12 PM81.9%

12–3 PM73.6%

3–6 PM59.7%

6–9 PM61.4%

9 PM–5 AM—

By departure hour

12 AM

3 AM

6 AM

9 AM

12 PM

3 PM

6 PM

9 PM

Departure windows with fewer than 120 flights are not scored.

Why BNA → DFW runs late

July 2023 – July 2026

Late-arriving aircraft44.6%

the inbound aircraft was late, so this flight started late

The airline29.8%

crew, maintenance, boarding and fueling, all within the carrier’s control

Air traffic control20.8%

airspace and airport capacity, including weather-driven flow control

Weather4.8%

weather severe enough to stop this flight specifically

Security0.1%

screening or terminal security incidents

Share of the delay minutes US DOT attributed to each cause for BNA → DFW. Only delays of 15 minutes or more are attributed.

Late-arriving aircraft is the largest cause on BNA → DFW, at 44.6%: flights here mostly leave late because the plane came in late, and the day shows it: 5–9 AM departures arrived on time 82.1% of the time and 3–6 PM departures 59.7%.

How this route holds up in bad weather

July 2023 – July 2026

The harder-hit end is DFW, where the flight lands. Its figure counts departures from DFW, so it says more about how that airport copes than about this route. Bad weather cancels 7.0 times the normal rate at DFW against 4.4 times at BNA. Cancelled in bad weather against normal hours: BNA 4.7% against 1.1%, DFW 10.4% against 1.5%. Flights that did leave DFW in bad weather arrived on time 56.4% of the time, against 74.4% in normal hours.

Bad weather and normal hours at the airports

Scheduled departures, July 2023 – July 2026

Departures from BNA and DFW in hours of bad weather and in normal hours
Departures from	BNA	DFW
Cancelled in bad weather	4.7%	10.4%
Cancelled in normal hours	1.1%	1.5%
Arrived on time, bad weather	66.5%	56.4%
Arrived on time, normal hours	79.0%	74.4%
Departures in bad weather	20,643	72,822

None of the 2 carriers on this route stood clearly apart from the other carriers at BNA in bad weather.

This route’s airlines in bad weather at BNA

All departures from BNA

Cancellation rates in bad weather at BNA for the airlines that fly BNA to DFW, against the other carriers at BNA in the same months
Airline	Bad-weather departures	Cancelled	Other carriers
American Airlines	1,819	4.9%about level	4.4%
Envoy Air	508	6.5%about level	5.1%

These are airport figures, not route figures: every scheduled departure from BNA and DFW, to any destination, in hours the weather report called bad. The airline rows count each carrier’s departures from BNA on every route.

Weather source and limits. In full: BNA (airlines), DFW, What Weather Costs Each Airport, Who Cancels More When the Weather Turns, Airports That Change Places When Weather Turns.

Airlines on this route

Carriers with at least 200 flights, by the airline that operated each one.

Airlines on this route
Carrier	Flights	On time	Cancelled	Median delay	Severe
American Airlines	9,561	73.7%	2.95%	-4 min	10.6%
Envoy Air	656	75.5%	1.98%	-7 min	10.2%

American Airlines flew 93.6% of the 10,217 flights listed.

Carriers on this route performed within a couple of percentage points of each other.

Flights on this route

Flight numbers with at least 600 operations here and still on the schedule.

Flights on this route
Flight	Scheduled	Operations	On time
AA2787 American Airlines	5:00 AM	1,081	86.4%
AA2583 American Airlines	7:00 AM	920	77.3%
AA1103 American Airlines	9:47 AM	653	83.2%

AA2787 (5:00 AM) arrived on time 86.4% of the time, 9.1 points more often than AA2583 (7:00 AM) at 77.3%.

Weekly and seasonal patterns

By day of week

Mon71.6%

Tue77.6%

Wed74.7%

Thu72.7%

Fri72.9%

Sat76.5%

Sun69.7%

Tuesday is historically the most reliable day and Sunday the least, a gap of 7.9 percentage points.

By month

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

May is historically the weakest month and February the strongest, a spread of 19.1 percentage points.

Reliability over time

July 2023 – July 2026

24

25

26

Over the most recent 12 months (2025-08 to 2026-07), on-time arrivals averaged 75.6% against 74.6% in the 12 months before — broadly unchanged.

Data and methodology

Calculated by FlyerIntel from 10,714 BNA → DFW flight records from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, covering July 2023 – July 2026. Late means 15 or more minutes past scheduled arrival; cancelled and diverted flights are left out of on-time rates.

Full methodology · Data sources · Report a problem

Analysis last recomputed September 26, 2026

BNA airport DFW airport Return direction DFW → BNA

BNA→DFW

Right now

Route reliability

What stands out

Why BNA → DFW flights are cancelled

Share of cancellations

What each reason means

When it goes wrong

Will your connection be tight enough?

Best time to fly

By day and hour

By departure window

By departure hour

Why BNA → DFW runs late

How this route holds up in bad weather

Bad weather and normal hours at the airports

This route’s airlines in bad weather at BNA

Airlines on this route

Flights on this route

Weekly and seasonal patterns

By day of week

By month

Reliability over time

Data and methodology