Holiday travel

Holiday travel at SBA

Santa Barbara Municipal Airport, Santa Barbara, CA. July 2023 – July 2026. Set against SBA’s own ordinary days of the same weekday in the weeks around each holiday.

History, not a forecast. This shows what happened in past holiday windows. It cannot say what this year will bring, and each holiday appears only a few times in the data, so one bad storm can decide a whole year. Check your airline for your own flight.

The five holidays at SBA

At SBA, Christmas to New Year’s ran furthest below ordinary days (−6.9 points) and July 4 furthest above (+4.2 points).

Each row pools every year of that holiday’s window at SBA and sets it against SBA’s own ordinary days of the same weekdays in the weeks around it. Open a holiday for its day-by-day figures.

The five holidays at SBA against its ordinary days
HolidayOn timeGap from usual, pointsCancelledWorst dayBest dayAll airports, gap
Thanksgiving3 times in the data84.8%usual 83.4%+1.4about the same0.62%usual 0.89%——−2.1worse
Christmas to New Year’s3 times in the data77.7%usual 84.6%−6.9worseyears: 2 about the same, 1 worse3.22%usual 1.25%——−3.2worse
July 44 times in the data83.5%usual 79.3%+4.2better1.83%usual 1.46%——+5.2better
Memorial Day3 times in the data82.0%usual 79.1%+2.9about the same0.48%usual 0.63%——−0.3about the same
Labor Day3 times in the data87.6%usual 84.2%+3.4about the same0.56%usual 0.42%——+4.2better

A dash means fewer than 120 flights stood behind the figure, or behind the ordinary days it would be compared with: too few to print a rate, and nothing is estimated in its place. “Usual” is what ordinary days of the same weekday had at the same place in the weeks around the holiday, weighted by the flights being compared.