Holiday travel

Holiday travel at IAD

Washington Dulles International Airport, Washington, VA. July 2023 – July 2026. Set against IAD’s own ordinary days of the same weekday in the weeks around each holiday.

History, not a forecast. This shows what happened in past holiday windows. It cannot say what this year will bring, and each holiday appears only a few times in the data, so one bad storm can decide a whole year. Check your airline for your own flight.

The five holidays at IAD

At IAD, Memorial Day ran furthest below ordinary days (−2.2 points) and Labor Day furthest above (+4.3 points).

Each row pools every year of that holiday’s window at IAD and sets it against IAD’s own ordinary days of the same weekdays in the weeks around it. Open a holiday for its day-by-day figures.

The five holidays at IAD against its ordinary days
HolidayOn timeGap from usual, pointsCancelledWorst dayBest dayAll airports, gap
Thanksgiving3 times in the data83.6%usual 83.2%+0.4about the sameyears: 1 better, 1 about the same, 1 worse0.29%usual 0.58%Sunday after (three of three)Wednesday before (two of three)−2.1worse
Christmas to New Year’s3 times in the data80.9%usual 79.8%+1.1about the sameyears: 1 better, 2 about the same0.56%usual 2.16%Moved each yearMoved each year−3.2worse
July 44 times in the data76.2%usual 72.2%+4.0betteryears: 3 better, 1 worse2.19%usual 2.01%July 1 (three of four)July 4 (two of four)+5.2better
Memorial Day3 times in the data77.2%usual 79.4%−2.2about the sameyears: 1 better, 1 about the same, 1 worse0.55%usual 0.59%Saturday before (three of three)Memorial Day (three of three)−0.3about the same
Labor Day3 times in the data86.9%usual 82.6%+4.3betteryears: 2 better, 1 about the same0.38%usual 1.23%Labor Day (two of three)Saturday before (two of three)+4.2better

A dash means fewer than 120 flights stood behind the figure, or behind the ordinary days it would be compared with: too few to print a rate, and nothing is estimated in its place. “Usual” is what ordinary days of the same weekday had at the same place in the weeks around the holiday, weighted by the flights being compared.