Holiday travel

Memorial Day at HNL

Daniel K. Inouye International Airport, Honolulu, HI. July 2023 – July 2026. Set against HNL’s own ordinary days of the same weekday in the weeks around each holiday.

History, not a forecast. This shows what happened in past holiday windows. It cannot say what this year will bring, and each holiday appears only a few times in the data, so one bad storm can decide a whole year. Check your airline for your own flight.

The window, year by year

The window runs the Saturday through the Monday, around Memorial Day (the last Monday of May). In the data: May 25–27, 2024; May 24–26, 2025; May 23–25, 2026. Three windows are in the data: enough to see whether a day repeats, not enough to call it a rule.

Compared with ordinary days, Memorial Day flights were better in two and about the same in one of the three years. The gap ran from 2.3 points below usual in 2026 to 9.9 points above usual in 2025.

0.94% of scheduled departures were cancelled across the Memorial Day windows, against 0.76% on ordinary days of the same weekdays. The rate stayed within a quarter point of usual in all three years.

Memorial Day, the whole window in each year against ordinary days
YearDeparturesOn timeUsualGap, pointsCancelledUsual
2024May 25–27, 202450193.1%84.5%+8.6better1.40%0.76%
2025May 24–26, 202548494.4%84.5%+9.9better0.62%0.76%
2026May 23–25, 202649882.2%84.5%−2.3about the same0.80%0.76%
All years3 windows1,48389.9%84.5%+5.4better0.94%0.76%

Day by day

No day was the worst more than once: Saturday, May 25 in 2024, Sunday, May 25 in 2025, and Monday, May 25 in 2026.

Memorial Day was the best day of the window in two of the three years. Over the years it ran 89.8% on time, 5.0 points above an ordinary Monday.

  • Better than usual
  • Worse than usual
  • About the same
  • What ordinary days of the same weekday had
  • Lowest to highest single year
  • Lighter bars: days just outside the window

Bars show the on-time arrival rate and start at 50%, not zero. A dashed stub is a day with too few flights to print a rate.

Memorial Day, every day of the window and the days around it
DayDepartures against an ordinary dayOn timeUsualGap, pointsCancelledEach year: 2024, 2025, 2026
Thursday beforeoutside the windowabout the same77.5%84.0%−6.5worse1.37%72.8 · 87.2 · 72.9
Friday beforeoutside the window2% more74.4%79.6%−5.2worse2.70%79.4 · 85.9 · 57.8
Saturday beforeabout the same89.1%85.5%+3.6better1.22%91.9 · 93.1 · 82.4
Sunday beforeabout the same90.7%83.3%+7.4better0.82%93.2 · 93.0 · 85.8
Memorial Dayabout the same89.8%84.8%+5.0better0.79%94.1 · 96.9 · 78.4
Tuesday afteroutside the windowabout the same87.5%88.6%−1.1about the same0.41%86.8 · 96.2 · 79.5

A dash means fewer than 120 flights stood behind the figure, or behind the ordinary days it would be compared with: too few to print a rate, and nothing is estimated in its place. “Usual” is what ordinary days of the same weekday had at the same place in the weeks around the holiday, weighted by the flights being compared.

Which departure times held up

The busiest days at HNL were Sunday, May 26, 2024 (165 departures), Monday, May 27, 2024 (173 departures), Saturday, May 24, 2025 (161 departures), Monday, May 26, 2025 (165 departures), Saturday, May 23, 2026 (168 departures), and Monday, May 25, 2026 (167 departures).

Across the whole window, flights leaving 5–9 AM had the highest on-time rate: 96.5%, 4.7 points above usual for that time of day. Those leaving 9 PM–5 AM had the lowest: 84.8%, still 2.6 points above usual for that time of day.

The holiday helped flights leaving 12–3 PM the most (8.8 points above usual for that time of day) and those leaving 6–9 PM the least (1.7 points above).

On each year’s two busiest days, flights leaving 5–9 AM had the highest on-time rate: 97.2%, 5.3 points above usual for that time of day. Those leaving 12–3 PM had the lowest: 86.1%, still 9.6 points above usual for that time of day.

The holiday helped flights leaving 12–3 PM the most (9.6 points above usual for that time of day) and those leaving 3–6 PM the least (5.1 points above).

Memorial Day, on-time arrival by scheduled departure time
LeavingOn time, whole windowUsualGap, pointsOn time, busiest daysUsualGap, points
5–9 AM96.5%91.8%+4.7better97.2%91.9%+5.3better
9 AM–12 PM94.7%89.3%+5.4better94.7%88.7%+6.0better
12–3 PM84.9%76.1%+8.8better86.1%76.5%+9.6better
3–6 PM88.9%83.5%+5.4better88.8%83.7%+5.1better
6–9 PM90.2%88.5%+1.7about the same———
9 PM–5 AM84.8%82.2%+2.6about the same———

HNL beside every covered airport

Storms and outages move whole regions at once. This puts HNL’s year beside the year of all covered airports together, each against its own usual, to show whether HNL did better or worse than the network.

Memorial Day at HNL beside all covered airports, by year
YearHNL on timeHNL, gap from usualAll airports on timeAll airports, gap from usual
2024May 25–27, 202493.1%+8.672.7%−2.3
2025May 24–26, 202594.4%+9.976.4%+1.4
2026May 23–25, 202682.2%−2.375.0%0.0

For every holiday at once, see the five holidays at HNL, or the network view.