Holiday travel

Holiday travel at HNL

Daniel K. Inouye International Airport, Honolulu, HI. July 2023 – July 2026. Set against HNL’s own ordinary days of the same weekday in the weeks around each holiday.

History, not a forecast. This shows what happened in past holiday windows. It cannot say what this year will bring, and each holiday appears only a few times in the data, so one bad storm can decide a whole year. Check your airline for your own flight.

The five holidays at HNL

At HNL every holiday with a figure ran at or above ordinary days; Memorial Day did best (+5.4 points) and Christmas to New Year’s came closest to usual (+1.9).

Each row pools every year of that holiday’s window at HNL and sets it against HNL’s own ordinary days of the same weekdays in the weeks around it. Open a holiday for its day-by-day figures.

The five holidays at HNL against its ordinary days
HolidayOn timeGap from usual, pointsCancelledWorst dayBest dayAll airports, gap
Thanksgiving3 times in the data88.9%usual 85.0%+3.9betteryears: 2 better, 1 worse0.21%usual 0.98%Sunday after (three of three)Friday after (two of three)−2.1worse
Christmas to New Year’s3 times in the data84.0%usual 82.1%+1.9betteryears: 2 better, 1 worse0.53%usual 1.13%Moved each yearJanuary 1 (two of three)−3.2worse
July 44 times in the data89.4%usual 84.3%+5.1betteryears: 3 better, 1 about the same0.33%usual 0.78%July 5 (two of four)July 4 (three of four)+5.2better
Memorial Day3 times in the data89.9%usual 84.5%+5.4betteryears: 2 better, 1 about the same0.94%usual 0.76%Moved each yearMemorial Day (two of three)−0.3about the same
Labor Day3 times in the data91.6%usual 89.4%+2.2betteryears: 1 better, 2 about the same0.21%usual 0.90%Saturday before (two of three)Sunday before (three of three)+4.2better

A dash means fewer than 120 flights stood behind the figure, or behind the ordinary days it would be compared with: too few to print a rate, and nothing is estimated in its place. “Usual” is what ordinary days of the same weekday had at the same place in the weeks around the holiday, weighted by the flights being compared.