Flight profile · Delta Air Lines
DL407
Los Angeles (LAX) to Detroit (DTW) · scheduled 10:30 PM – 5:44 AM
How DL407 performs
960 operations, July 2023 – July 2026.
DL407 arrived on time 80.6% of the time, against 83.8% for all LAX → DTW flights, so this departure is 3.2 percentage points worse than the route as a whole. Against Delta Air Lines’ own flights on this route it is 4.0 points worse.
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · 960 operations, July 2023 – July 2026 · If DL407 is cancelled or significantly changed, DOT’s automatic refund rule may entitle you to your money back. The refund checker walks through eligibility.
Where DL407 is right now
A live reading, only if you ask for it. It is not part of the reliability record above.
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Against the rest of the route
| Flight or route | On time | Cancelled | Median delay | Severe | Flights |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DL407 | 80.6% | 0.42% | -6 min | 5.4% | 960 |
| Delta Air Lines on LAX → DTW | 84.6% | 0.65% | -8 min | 4.2% | 6,158 |
| All LAX → DTW flights | 83.8% | 0.83% | -8 min | 5.2% | 8,283 |
Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · July 2023 – July 2026
Why DL407 runs late
Where US DOT attributed the delay minutes on this flight.
crew, maintenance, boarding and fueling, all within the carrier’s control
the inbound aircraft was late, so this flight started late
airspace and airport capacity, including weather-driven flow control
screening or terminal security incidents
weather severe enough to stop this flight specifically
Share of the delay minutes US DOT attributed to each cause for DL407 on LAX → DTW. Only delays of 15 minutes or more are attributed.
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Data covering July 2023 – July 2026
Does a late aircraft delay this flight?
How often the plane that flies DL407 comes in late, and what that does to the departure.
When the aircraft came in 15 or more minutes late, DL407 pushed back an average of 32 minutes late; when it came in on time or early, an average of 3 minutes late.
Each departure is matched to the flight the same aircraft flew into LAX just before it, using the tail number in the DOT file, 912 of 956 departures in all. A departure is left out when that flight is unknown, was cancelled or diverted, or the aircraft had sat for more than 12 hours. A flight the airline cancelled never left and is not in the count, and one flown by a substitute aircraft is matched to the aircraft that flew it, not to the one first planned.
Against the network at the same turn length
| Share of departures | Inbound landed 15+ late | Left 15+ late after a late inbound | Left 15+ late after an on-time inbound |
|---|---|---|---|
| DL407 | 20% | 58% | 10% |
| Network, same turn | 17% | 68% | 9% |
The schedule leaves a normal turn: enough time to clean and board if the aircraft is on time, little to spare if it is not.
The network row is every flight with a scheduled turn of 60 to 89 minutes. How often DL407’s aircraft landed 15 or more minutes late is about the same as the network’s and, once the aircraft was late, how often DL407 left 15 or more minutes late is lower than the network’s.
More: Which Flight Numbers Pay for a Late Aircraft lists the flight numbers that pass a late aircraft on.
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Data covering July 2023 – July 2026
From pushback to gate
When it leaves LAX late, does that still matter by the time it reaches DTW?
DL407 pushes back an average of 11.4 minutes late and reaches the gate at DTW an average of 3.0 minutes late. The 8.4 minutes between those two figures are slack the published schedule already carries, which is why a late pushback on this flight does not reliably become a late arrival. It spends 15.9 minutes on the taxiways at LAX, 2.2 minutes shorter than a typical LAX departure in the same hour.
On arrival at DTW, DL407 spends 9.7 min taxiing from touchdown to the gate — ground time a connecting passenger sits through before they can even leave the aircraft, on top of however late the flight itself ran. That is about what any arrival at DTW spends on the ground before reaching the gate.
Departure delay is averaged over every pushback and arrival delay over every completed arrival, so the two counts differ by the flights that never reached DTW. Taxi-out is gate to wheels up and sits inside the scheduled block rather than on top of it; the comparison is 26,417 departures from LAX scheduled in the clock hour DL407 most often leaves in. Taxi-in is landing to gate, compared against every arrival FlyerIntel has on file at DTW (388,616 flights), not just DL407’s own. More on taxi time.
Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · July 2023 – July 2026
The hour it leaves LAX
Part of any flight’s record belongs to the clock rather than to the flight. DL407 has one departure time, so this is what that time is worth.
On-time arrival rate. 26,417 departures from LAX are scheduled in the 10 PM–11 PM hour over the period, against 595,153 across the whole day.
DL407 is scheduled out of LAX at 10:30 PM, in the 10 PM–11 PM bank. Departures from LAX in that hour arrive on time 80.2% of the time against 81.4% across the airport’s whole day, so the hour DL407 leaves in is an ordinary one for LAX and explains nothing about its record either way.
The two airport figures cover every departure from LAX to every destination, so they describe the slot rather than this journey — the like-for-like comparison against the route is above. Hours are scheduled local, and a number whose schedule moved between banks inside the period has no single hour and is not described here at all. Why the hour matters.
Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · July 2023 – July 2026 · Hours below 120 departures are not scored.
By day of week
Does DL407 run worse on particular days?
Tuesday is historically the most reliable day and Sunday the least, a gap of 14.3 percentage points.
Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · July 2023 – July 2026 · Days with fewer than 120 operations are not scored.
Other routes DL407 has flown
A flight number is a slot in a schedule, and carriers reassign it. These are the other city pairs this number served in the analysis period.
| Route | Operated | Flights | On time |
|---|---|---|---|
| STT→BOS Charlotte Amalie to Boston | January 6, 2026 – March 7, 2026 | 61 | — |
| ALB→DTW Albany to Detroit | June 6, 2025 | 1 | — |
| DTW→ALB Detroit to Albany | June 6, 2025 | 1 | — |
| LGA→BOS New York to Boston | April 19–26, 2025 | 2 | — |
| MSP→ORD Minneapolis to Chicago | March 15, 2025 – April 12, 2025 | 5 | — |
| PBI→JFK West Palm Beach to New York | April 9, 2024 – May 6, 2024 | 28 | — |
| PDX→ATL Portland to Atlanta | October 28–31, 2023 | 4 | — |
| MSN→SLC Madison to Salt Lake City | August 20–23, 2023 | 2 | — |
Because the same number has served different journeys, the statistics above describe only the route DL407 currently operates. Blending them would produce an average of two different flights.
When it goes wrong
The average describes a usual day. This is the day that ruins a connection.
35 min late
against a median of 6 min early
Percentiles over 960 operations; cancelled and diverted flights are counted separately.
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Data covering July 2023 – July 2026
Other flights on this route
Same airports, same journey, different odds of arriving on time.
| Flight | Airline | On time | Median arrival | Operations |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DL494 | Delta Air Lines | 87.9% | 9 min early | 952 |
| DL802 | Delta Air Lines | 81.2% | 4 min early | 979 |
| DL708 | Delta Air Lines | 80.9% | 9 min early | 812 |
| DL407 this flight | Delta Air Lines | 80.6% | 6 min early | 960 |
Every departure listed carries at least 600 operations, so the comparison is between figures that mean something. DL407 is placed in the same ordering rather than left out of it; the rows around it are the most punctual departures on the route, not all of them, so this is a comparison and not a rank. Schedules change; confirm the departure still operates before booking around this.
Data and methodology
Calculated by FlyerIntel from 960 records of DL407 operating LAX → DTW, published by the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics. A flight counts as delayed when it arrives 15 or more minutes after schedule. Cancelled and diverted flights are excluded from the on-time rate and reported separately. Flight numbers are resolved as carrier plus number plus route, because the same number serves different routes over time.
Full methodology · Data sources · Report a problem
Related research: Most and Least Reliable Flight Numbers · The Delay You Inherit · Making Up Time in the Air
Analysis last recomputed