Flight profile · Delta Air Lines
DL2866
Minneapolis (MSP) to Newark (EWR) · scheduled 2:13 PM – 5:59 PM
How DL2866 performs
486 operations, 2024-06-07 to 2026-06-30.
DL2866 arrived on time 64.7% of the time, against 77.6% for all MSP → EWR flights — this specific departure is 13.0 percentage points worse than the route as a whole. Against Delta Air Lines’s own flights on this route it is 10.6 points worse.
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · 486 operations between 2024-06-07 to 2026-06-30
Against the rest of the route
| On time | Cancelled | Median delay | Severe | Flights | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DL2866 | 64.7% | 2.26% | -2 min | 18.9% | 486 |
| Delta Air Lines on MSP → EWR | 75.3% | 1.94% | -7 min | 11.0% | 3,758 |
| All MSP → EWR flights | 77.6% | 2.32% | -9 min | 10.1% | 6,667 |
Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · 2024-06-07 to 2026-06-30
Other routes DL2866 has flown
A flight number is a slot in a schedule, and carriers reassign it. These are the other city pairs this number served in the analysis period.
| Route | Operated | Flights | On time |
|---|---|---|---|
| EWR→MSP Newark to Minneapolis | 2024-06-07 – 2026-06-30 | 442 | 58.8% |
| ATW→DTW Appleton to Detroit | 2025-10-06 – 2025-12-19 | 68 | — |
| DTW→ATW Detroit to Appleton | 2025-10-06 – 2025-12-19 | 68 | — |
| CHS→DTW Charleston to Detroit | 2024-07-13 – 2024-09-07 | 10 | — |
| DTW→CHS Detroit to Charleston | 2024-07-13 – 2024-09-07 | 10 | — |
| MSP→TPA Minneapolis to Tampa | 2023-07-01 – 2024-06-06 | 252 | 93.6% |
| TPA→MSP Tampa to Minneapolis | 2023-07-01 – 2024-01-07 | 191 | 86.7% |
Because the same number has served different journeys, the statistics above describe only the route DL2866 currently operates. Blending them would produce an average of two different flights.
Why DL2866 runs late
Where US DOT attributed the delay minutes on this flight.
airspace and airport capacity, including weather-driven flow control
crew, maintenance, boarding, fuelling — within the carrier’s control
the inbound aircraft was late, so this flight started late
weather severe enough to stop this flight specifically
Share of the delay minutes US DOT attributed to each cause for DL2866 on MSP → EWR. A single late flight can carry more than one cause, and only delays of fifteen minutes or more are attributed at all.
Other departures on MSP → EWR
Same airports, same journey — and not the same odds of arriving on time.
| Flight | Airline | On time | Median arrival | Operations |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DL2864 | Delta Air Lines | 83.6% | 10 min early | 704 |
| DL2846 | Delta Air Lines | 68.1% | 4 min early | 741 |
Every departure listed carries at least 600 operations, so the comparison is between figures that mean something. Schedules change; confirm the departure still operates before booking around this.
Data and methodology
Calculated by FlyerIntel from 486 records of DL2866 operating MSP → EWR, published by the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics. A flight counts as delayed when it arrives 15 or more minutes after schedule. Cancelled and diverted flights are excluded from the on-time rate and reported separately. Flight numbers are resolved as carrier plus number plus route, because the same number serves different routes over time.
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