Flight profile · JetBlue
B615
New York (JFK) to San Francisco (SFO) · scheduled 6:30 AM – 10:14 AM
How B615 performs
693 operations, July 2023 – July 2026.
B615 arrived on time 84.2% of the time, against 76.9% for all JFK → SFO flights, so this departure is 7.3 percentage points better than the route as a whole. Against JetBlue’s own flights on this route it is 10.2 points better.
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · 693 operations, July 2023 – July 2026 · If B615 is cancelled or significantly changed, DOT’s automatic refund rule may entitle you to your money back. The refund checker walks through eligibility.
What stands out
How B615 compares to other flight numbers, not just to itself.
This flight runs unusually far ahead of the carrier's own average on this route, better than 92% of 11,589 comparable flight numbers.
84.2% on time for this specific departure, against 74.0% for the same carrier's other flights on this route.
Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · July 2023 – July 2026 · The one thing about this specific departure that ranks most extreme against every other published flight number, out of everything FlyerIntel checks — shown only when something clears a real statistical bar, not for every flight.
Where B615 is right now
A live reading, only if you ask for it. It is not part of the reliability record above.
Ask for the position of B615 right now, if receivers on the ground are hearing it. Nothing is requested until you press the button.
Against the rest of the route
| Flight or route | On time | Cancelled | Median delay | Severe | Flights |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B615 | 84.2% | 1.15% | -11 min | 3.2% | 693 |
| JetBlue on JFK → SFO | 74.0% | 1.39% | -8 min | 10.0% | 5,676 |
| All JFK → SFO flights | 76.9% | 1.36% | -10 min | 8.5% | 20,819 |
Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · July 2023 – July 2026
Why B615 runs late
Where US DOT attributed the delay minutes on this flight.
airspace and airport capacity, including weather-driven flow control
crew, maintenance, boarding and fueling, all within the carrier’s control
the inbound aircraft was late, so this flight started late
weather severe enough to stop this flight specifically
Share of the delay minutes US DOT attributed to each cause for B615 on JFK → SFO. Only delays of 15 minutes or more are attributed.
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Data covering July 2023 – July 2026
Does a late aircraft delay this flight?
How often the plane that flies B615 comes in late, and what that does to the departure.
The aircraft flying B615 came in 15 or more minutes late on 20% of the departures where its previous flight is known. There are not enough departures in both groups to say how the flight left after a late one and after an on-time one.
Each departure is matched to the flight the same aircraft flew into JFK just before it, using the tail number in the DOT file, 584 of 686 departures in all. A departure is left out when that flight is unknown, was cancelled or diverted, or the aircraft had sat for more than 12 hours. A flight the airline cancelled never left and is not in the count, and one flown by a substitute aircraft is matched to the aircraft that flew it, not to the one first planned.
Against the network at the same turn length
| Share of departures | Inbound landed 15+ late |
|---|---|
| B615 | 20% |
| Network, same turn | 23% |
The schedule leaves a long gap on the ground, which gives a late aircraft room to catch up before this flight pushes back.
The network row is every flight with a scheduled turn of 90 minutes to 3 hours. How often B615’s aircraft landed 15 or more minutes late is lower than the network’s. There are not enough departures in both groups to compare how it left.
More: Which Flight Numbers Pay for a Late Aircraft lists the flight numbers that pass a late aircraft on.
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Data covering July 2023 – July 2026
From pushback to gate
When it leaves JFK late, does that still matter by the time it reaches SFO?
B615 pushes back an average of 1.8 minutes late and reaches the gate at SFO an average of 6.0 minutes early. The 7.8 minutes between those two figures are slack the published schedule already carries, which is why a late pushback on this flight does not reliably become a late arrival. It spends 22.2 minutes on the taxiways at JFK, 1.4 minutes longer than a typical JFK departure in the same hour.
On arrival at SFO, B615 spends 9.3 min taxiing from touchdown to the gate — ground time a connecting passenger sits through before they can even leave the aircraft, on top of however late the flight itself ran. That is 1.4 minutes longer than a typical SFO arrival (7.9 min).
Departure delay is averaged over every pushback and arrival delay over every completed arrival, so the two counts differ by the flights that never reached SFO. Taxi-out is gate to wheels up and sits inside the scheduled block rather than on top of it; the comparison is 21,099 departures from JFK scheduled in the clock hour B615 most often leaves in. Taxi-in is landing to gate, compared against every arrival FlyerIntel has on file at SFO (436,060 flights), not just B615’s own. More on taxi time.
Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · July 2023 – July 2026
The hour it leaves JFK
Part of any flight’s record belongs to the clock rather than to the flight. B615 has one departure time, so this is what that time is worth.
On-time arrival rate. 21,099 departures from JFK are scheduled in the 6 AM–7 AM hour over the period, against 351,635 across the whole day.
B615 is scheduled out of JFK at 6:30 AM, in the 6 AM–7 AM bank. Departures from JFK in that hour arrive on time 87.0% of the time against 77.0% across the airport’s whole day — the slot alone is worth 10.0 points better before anything about this particular flight is considered.
The two airport figures cover every departure from JFK to every destination, so they describe the slot rather than this journey — the like-for-like comparison against the route is above. Hours are scheduled local, and a number whose schedule moved between banks inside the period has no single hour and is not described here at all. Why the hour matters.
Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · July 2023 – July 2026 · Hours below 120 departures are not scored.
When it goes wrong
The average describes a usual day. This is the day that ruins a connection.
23 min late
against a median of 11 min early
Percentiles over 693 operations; cancelled and diverted flights are counted separately.
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Data covering July 2023 – July 2026
Other flights on this route
Same airports, same journey, different odds of arriving on time.
| Flight | Airline | On time | Median arrival | Operations |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AA76 | American Airlines | 89.3% | 15 min early | 1,093 |
| AA179 | American Airlines | 89.1% | 21 min early | 1,025 |
| B615 this flight | JetBlue | 84.2% | 11 min early | 693 |
| DL668 | Delta Air Lines | 82.6% | 11 min early | 779 |
| DL679 | Delta Air Lines | 78.6% | 12 min early | 838 |
| B61515 | JetBlue | 78.1% | 8 min early | 653 |
| B6115 | JetBlue | 77.5% | 11 min early | 1,043 |
| AA177 | American Airlines | 71.9% | 6 min early | 1,110 |
| B6615 | JetBlue | 69.4% | 4 min early | 1,001 |
Every departure listed carries at least 600 operations, so the comparison is between figures that mean something. B615 is placed in the same ordering rather than left out of it; the rows around it are the most punctual departures on the route, not all of them, so this is a comparison and not a rank. Schedules change; confirm the departure still operates before booking around this.
Data and methodology
Calculated by FlyerIntel from 693 records of B615 operating JFK → SFO, published by the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics. A flight counts as delayed when it arrives 15 or more minutes after schedule. Cancelled and diverted flights are excluded from the on-time rate and reported separately. Flight numbers are resolved as carrier plus number plus route, because the same number serves different routes over time.
Full methodology · Data sources · Report a problem
Related research: Most and Least Reliable Flight Numbers · The Delay You Inherit · Making Up Time in the Air
Analysis last recomputed