Flight profile · American Airlines
AA2649
Miami (MIA) to Detroit (DTW) · scheduled 9:06 PM – 11:56 PM
How AA2649 performs
629 operations, November 2023 – July 2026.
AA2649 arrived on time 66.9% of the time, against 73.4% for all MIA → DTW flights, so this departure is 6.5 percentage points worse than the route as a whole.
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · 629 operations, November 2023 – July 2026 · If AA2649 is cancelled or significantly changed, DOT’s automatic refund rule may entitle you to your money back. The refund checker walks through eligibility.
Where AA2649 is right now
A live reading, only if you ask for it. It is not part of the reliability record above.
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Against the rest of the route
| Flight or route | On time | Cancelled | Median delay | Severe | Flights |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AA2649 | 66.9% | 0.79% | 2 min | 10.0% | 629 |
| American Airlines on MIA → DTW | 66.9% | 1.18% | 0 min | 10.7% | 1,184 |
| All MIA → DTW flights | 73.4% | 1.21% | -4 min | 9.4% | 5,288 |
Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · November 2023 – July 2026
Why AA2649 runs late
Where US DOT attributed the delay minutes on this flight.
the inbound aircraft was late, so this flight started late
crew, maintenance, boarding and fueling, all within the carrier’s control
airspace and airport capacity, including weather-driven flow control
weather severe enough to stop this flight specifically
screening or terminal security incidents
Share of the delay minutes US DOT attributed to each cause for AA2649 on MIA → DTW. Only delays of 15 minutes or more are attributed.
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Data covering November 2023 – July 2026
Does a late aircraft delay this flight?
How often the plane that flies AA2649 comes in late, and what that does to the departure.
AA2649 is usually the aircraft’s first flight of the day: the schedule gives it a median of 8.4 hours on the ground at MIA, so its “inbound” is mostly the aircraft’s arrival the evening before.
The aircraft flying AA2649 came in 15 or more minutes late on 22% of the departures where its previous flight is known. There are not enough departures in both groups to say how the flight left after a late one and after an on-time one.
Each departure is matched to the flight the same aircraft flew into MIA just before it, using the tail number in the DOT file, 379 of 624 departures in all. A departure is left out when that flight is unknown, was cancelled or diverted, or the aircraft had sat for more than 12 hours. A flight the airline cancelled never left and is not in the count, and one flown by a substitute aircraft is matched to the aircraft that flew it, not to the one first planned.
Against the network at the same turn length
| Share of departures | Inbound landed 15+ late |
|---|---|
| AA2649 | 22% |
| Network, same turn | 29% |
A night on the ground absorbs most of a late arrival, so a late inbound matters far less on a turn this long than on a same-day one.
The network row is every flight with a scheduled turn of 6 hours or more, usually overnight. How often AA2649’s aircraft landed 15 or more minutes late is lower than the network’s. There are not enough departures in both groups to compare how it left.
More: Which Flight Numbers Pay for a Late Aircraft lists the flight numbers that pass a late aircraft on.
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Data covering November 2023 – July 2026
From pushback to gate
When it leaves MIA late, does that still matter by the time it reaches DTW?
AA2649 pushes back an average of 20.5 minutes late and reaches the gate at DTW an average of 14.4 minutes late. The 6.1 minutes between those two figures are slack the published schedule already carries, which is why a late pushback on this flight does not reliably become a late arrival. It spends 23.5 minutes on the taxiways at MIA, 1.1 minutes longer than a typical MIA departure in the same hour.
On arrival at DTW, AA2649 spends 10.1 min taxiing from touchdown to the gate — ground time a connecting passenger sits through before they can even leave the aircraft, on top of however late the flight itself ran. That is about what any arrival at DTW spends on the ground before reaching the gate.
Departure delay is averaged over every pushback and arrival delay over every completed arrival, so the two counts differ by the flights that never reached DTW. Taxi-out is gate to wheels up and sits inside the scheduled block rather than on top of it; the comparison is 34,965 departures from MIA scheduled in the clock hour AA2649 most often leaves in. Taxi-in is landing to gate, compared against every arrival FlyerIntel has on file at DTW (388,616 flights), not just AA2649’s own. More on taxi time.
Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · November 2023 – July 2026
The hour it leaves MIA
Part of any flight’s record belongs to the clock rather than to the flight. AA2649 has one departure time, so this is what that time is worth.
On-time arrival rate. 34,965 departures from MIA are scheduled in the 9 PM–10 PM hour over the period, against 340,469 across the whole day.
AA2649 is scheduled out of MIA at 9:06 PM, in the 9 PM–10 PM bank. Departures from MIA in that hour arrive on time 69.1% of the time against 73.2% across the airport’s whole day — the slot alone is worth 4.1 points worse before anything about this particular flight is considered.
The two airport figures cover every departure from MIA to every destination, so they describe the slot rather than this journey — the like-for-like comparison against the route is above. Hours are scheduled local, and a number whose schedule moved between banks inside the period has no single hour and is not described here at all. Why the hour matters.
Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · November 2023 – July 2026 · Hours below 120 departures are not scored.
Other routes AA2649 has flown
A flight number is a slot in a schedule, and carriers reassign it. These are the other city pairs this number served in the analysis period.
| Route | Operated | Flights | On time |
|---|---|---|---|
| DFW→LIT Dallas–Fort Worth to Little Rock | March 8, 2026 – April 6, 2026 | 30 | — |
| LAS→DFW Las Vegas to Dallas–Fort Worth | July 1, 2023 – March 7, 2026 | 455 | 91.5% |
Because the same number has served different journeys, the statistics above describe only the route AA2649 currently operates. Blending them would produce an average of two different flights.
When it goes wrong
The average describes a usual day. This is the day that ruins a connection.
58 min late
against a median of 2 min late
Percentiles over 629 operations; cancelled and diverted flights are counted separately.
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Data covering November 2023 – July 2026
Other flights on this route
Same airports, same journey, different odds of arriving on time.
| Flight | Airline | On time | Median arrival | Operations |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DL2638 | Delta Air Lines | 91.8% | 13 min early | 697 |
| DL1468 | Delta Air Lines | 74.2% | 3 min early | 936 |
| AA2649 this flight | American Airlines | 66.9% | 2 min late | 629 |
Every departure listed carries at least 600 operations, so the comparison is between figures that mean something. AA2649 is placed in the same ordering rather than left out of it; the rows around it are the most punctual departures on the route, not all of them, so this is a comparison and not a rank. Schedules change; confirm the departure still operates before booking around this.
Data and methodology
Calculated by FlyerIntel from 629 records of AA2649 operating MIA → DTW, published by the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics. A flight counts as delayed when it arrives 15 or more minutes after schedule. Cancelled and diverted flights are excluded from the on-time rate and reported separately. Flight numbers are resolved as carrier plus number plus route, because the same number serves different routes over time.
Full methodology · Data sources · Report a problem
Related research: Most and Least Reliable Flight Numbers · The Delay You Inherit · Making Up Time in the Air
Analysis last recomputed