Route profile
SEA→JFK
Flight reliability, delays and best times to fly from Seattle to New York. · 2,422 miles
Right now
Current conditions at both ends of this route.
Aviation weather is not currently a factor. FAA operational data — ground stops, ground delay programs and closures — is not currently available to FlyerIntel.
Aviation weather is not currently a factor. FAA operational data — ground stops, ground delay programs and closures — is not currently available to FlyerIntel.
Airport conditions describe the airfield, not any individual flight. An airport operating normally is not a guarantee that a specific flight will depart on time.
Route reliability
July 2023 – June 2026
Better than 33% of comparable major US routes (4,577 compared)
Calculated from 8,844 flights. How this is calculated
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Data covering July 2023 – June 2026
Best time to fly
On-time arrival rate by scheduled local departure time.
SEA → JFK flights departing 5–9 AM arrived on time 82.5% of the time, against 59.7% for 12–3 PM departures — a gap of 22.8 percentage points.
By departure window
By departure hour
Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · July 2023 – June 2026 · Buckets with fewer than 120 flights are not scored.
Airlines on this route
Performance by the carrier that actually operated the flight.
| Carrier | Flights | On time | Cancelled | Median delay | Severe |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaska Airlines | 4,099 | 70.3% | 1.68% | 0 min | 8.4% |
| Delta Air Lines | 3,968 | 82.1% | 1.39% | -9 min | 5.2% |
| JetBlue | 777 | 62.3% | 2.19% | 4 min | 14.6% |
Delta Air Lines arrived on time 19.9 percentage points more often than JetBlue on this route.
Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · July 2023 – June 2026 · Carriers with fewer than 200 flights on this route are not listed.
Other ways to fly Seattle to New York
Airport pairs serving the same journey, grouped by the DOT's own city-market definition. They do not perform the same way.
| Route | Flights | On time | Cancelled | Median delay | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA→JFK this route Seattle to New York | 8,844 | 74.9% | 1.59% | -4 min | 60 |
| SEA→EWR Seattle to Newark | 6,154 | 79.5% | 1.58% | -9 min | 66 |
SEA → EWR is the most reliable pairing for this journey at 79.5% on time, against 74.9% for SEA → JFK.
Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · July 2023 – June 2026 · Grouped by DOT city market, which places Newark with the New York airports and Baltimore with the Washington ones.
Individual flights on this route
The same route is not equally reliable at every hour. These are the flight numbers with enough operating history to judge separately.
| Flight | Scheduled | Operations | On time |
|---|---|---|---|
| AS34 Alaska Airlines | 7:36 AM | 1,095 | 72.5% |
| AS16 Alaska Airlines | 2:40 PM | 1,046 | 54.8% |
| AS22 Alaska Airlines | 9:40 PM | 940 | 76.3% |
| AS26 Alaska Airlines | 11:38 PM | 934 | 78.4% |
| DL429 Delta Air Lines | 7:10 AM | 754 | 87.0% |
| DL415 Delta Air Lines | 11:15 AM | 750 | 75.2% |
| DL452 Delta Air Lines | 9:45 PM | 750 | 83.1% |
| B6264 JetBlue | 11:20 PM | 643 | 63.3% |
Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · July 2023 – June 2026 · Flight numbers with fewer than 270 operations on this route, or no longer scheduled, are not listed.
Weekly and seasonal patterns
By day of week
Tuesday is historically the most reliable day and Sunday the least, a gap of 8.7 percentage points.
By month
July is historically the weakest month and November the strongest, a spread of 27.7 percentage points.
Historical trend
On-time arrival rate by month.
Over the most recent 12 months (2025-07 to 2026-06), on-time arrivals averaged 75.3% against 74.1% in the 12 months before — broadly unchanged.
Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · July 2023 – June 2026
Data and methodology
All figures on this page are calculated by FlyerIntel from 8,844 SEA → JFK flight records published by the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, covering July 2023 – June 2026. A flight is counted as delayed when it arrives 15 or more minutes after its scheduled arrival time, following BTS methodology. Cancelled and diverted flights have no arrival time and are excluded from on-time rates rather than counted as late.