Route profile

SAT→MSP

Flight reliability, delays and best times to fly from San Antonio to Minneapolis, 1,097 miles.

Right now

Origin · SATNo disruption reported

Aviation weather is not currently a factor.

Updated

San Antonio airport profile →

Destination · MSPNo disruption reported

Aviation weather is not currently a factor.

Updated

Minneapolis airport profile →

Route reliability

July 2023 – July 2026

Route Reliability Score
79/ 100Strong

Better than 86% of comparable major US routes (4,598 compared)

Calculated from 2,744 flights. How this is calculated · What counts as on time

On-time arrivals
86.5%
2,349 of 2,717
Cancellation rate
0.84%
23 cancelled
Median arrival delay
-10 min
Average 0.8 min
Severe delays
4.7%
60+ minutes late
Delay when late
83 min
Average, when 15+ min late
Flights analyzed
2,744
1 carrier

SAT → MSP arrives on time 86.5% of the time; the return trip, MSP → SAT, arrives on time 77.4% of the time, a 9.0-point gap between the two directions of the same city pair.

SAT → MSP spends 21.5 minutes on the ground on a 1,097-mile trip: 14.1 minutes from pushback to wheels-up at SAT and 7.4 minutes from touchdown to gate at MSP.

Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Data covering July 2023 – July 2026

What sets this route apart

Where SAT to MSP differs most from similar routes by hour, weekday, month and airline, July 2023 – July 2026.

SAT to MSP is at its best against routes of similar length for flights scheduled at 6 PM: 79.1% arrive on time, 11.9 points ahead of the 67.2% those routes manage at that hour. Against all other routes the gap is 10.5 points.

SAT to MSP holds up on Saturdays better than routes of similar length do: 91.4% on time to their 77.0%, a 14.4 points lead. Against all other routes the gap is 12.3 points.

March is kinder to SAT to MSP than to routes of similar length: 92.4% on time against 75.2%, 17.2 points better. Against all other routes the gap is 14.5 points.

Delta Air Lines does better on SAT to MSP than on its routes of similar length: 86.5% on time here, 80.3% there, 6.2 points apart. Against all other routes the gap is 5 points.

SAT to MSP against comparable routes

July 2023 – July 2026
Where SAT to MSP differs most from comparable routes, with the group each figure is compared with and the flights behind it
MeasureThis routeCompared withThemGapFlights behind it
Hour: 6 PM departures79.1%routes of similar length67.2%+11.9 pts470 here, 172,628 there
Weekday: Saturday91.4%routes of similar length77.0%+14.4 pts291 here, 374,012 there
Month: March92.4%routes of similar length75.2%+17.2 pts170 here, 248,163 there
Airline: Delta Air Lines86.5%routes of similar length80.3%+6.2 pts2,717 here, 463,802 there

Each comparison pools the flights of other routes, with this route’s own left out. Similar length means within 15% of this route’s 1,097 miles, with at least 5 such routes. A bucket is set against the most comparable group that has enough flights: similar length, then the same origin (at least 3 routes), then all other routes. Hours, weekdays and months appear only where both sides have 120 completed flights, and airlines where both have 600. The gap must be at least 2 points and 2 standard errors, and only the largest gap each way is kept per measure. These are differences in the flights counted, not causes.

When it goes wrong

July 2023 – July 2026

One arrival in ten is worse than

23 min late

against a median of 10 min early

Arrived an hour or more late4.7%
Typical delay when late83 min
Cancelled0.84%
Landed somewhere else0.15%

Percentiles over 2,744 operations; cancelled and diverted flights are counted separately.

Will your connection be tight enough?

Layovers at MSP after arriving from SAT.

Connection buffer and chance of missing by layover length, SAT → MSP arrivals
Connection timeChance of missingReads as
30 min27%High risk
45 min13%Some risk
60 min8.7%Some risk
90 min4.7%Low risk
120 min3.3%Low risk

This is one leg of a connection. Gate changes and the next flight's own schedule matter too. And a connection can fail before delay is even the question — this route cancels 0.84% of the time and diverts 0.15% of the time, which a late arrival never shows up in.

Chance of missing is the share of 2,717 arrivals on this route that landed later than the connection time less 30 minutes to reach the next gate.

The worst tenth of arrivals on this route land at least 23 minutes late (90th-percentile gate arrival delay), over 2,744 operations.

Any other layover length: connection checker.

Best time to fly

SAT → MSP flights departing 5–9 AM arrived on time 93.9% of the time, against 79.1% for 6–9 PM departures, a gap of 14.8 percentage points.

By departure window

5–9 AM93.9%
9 AM–12 PM85.7%
12–3 PM81.2%
3–6 PM—
6–9 PM79.1%

By departure hour

  • 12 AM to 5 AM: too few flights to score
  • 6 AM: 93.9% on time from 1,126 flights
  • 7 AM to 10 AM: too few flights to score
  • 11 AM: 85.7% on time from 304 flights
  • 12 PM: too few flights to score
  • 1 PM: 76.7% on time from 147 flights
  • 2 PM: 82.3% on time from 584 flights
  • 3 PM to 5 PM: too few flights to score
  • 6 PM: 79.1% on time from 474 flights
  • 7 PM to 11 PM: too few flights to score

Departure windows with fewer than 120 flights are not scored.

Why SAT → MSP runs late

July 2023 – July 2026

Share of the delay minutes US DOT attributed to each cause for SAT → MSP. Only delays of 15 minutes or more are attributed. What the five causes mean

Airlines on this route

Carriers with at least 200 flights, by the airline that operated each one.

Airlines on this route
CarrierFlightsOn timeCancelledMedian delaySevere
Delta Air Lines2,74486.5%0.84%-10 min4.7%

Flights on this route

Flight numbers with at least 600 operations here and still on the schedule.

Flights on this route
FlightScheduledOperationsOn time
DL2717 Delta Air Lines6:25 AM78594.1%

Weekly and seasonal patterns

By day of week

Mon85.3%
Tue88.2%
Wed87.6%
Thu84.6%
Fri84.7%
Sat91.4%
Sun84.8%

Saturday is historically the most reliable day and Thursday the least, a gap of 6.8 percentage points.

By month

  • Jan: 84.7%
  • Feb: 90.8%
  • Mar: 92.4%
  • Apr: 87.3%
  • May: 85.3%
  • Jun: 79.5%
  • Jul: 82.3%
  • Aug: 84.9%
  • Sep: 88.2%
  • Oct: 92.7%
  • Nov: 90.5%
  • Dec: 83.7%

June is historically the weakest month and October the strongest, a spread of 13.2 percentage points.

Reliability over time

July 2023 – July 2026

Over the most recent 12 months (2025-08 to 2026-07), on-time arrivals averaged 85.4% against 87.5% in the 12 months before — declining by 2.1 percentage points.

Data and methodology

Calculated by FlyerIntel from 2,744 SAT → MSP flight records from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, covering July 2023 – July 2026. Late means 15 or more minutes past scheduled arrival; cancelled and diverted flights are left out of on-time rates.

Full methodology · Data sources · Report a problem

Related research: How Long a Layover Needs to Be · Two Airlines on One Route · Best Time of Day to Fly From Major US Airports

Analysis last recomputed