Route profile
RSW→EWR
Flight reliability, delays and best times to fly from Fort Myers to Newark, 1,068 miles.
Right now
Aviation weather is not currently a factor.
Aviation weather is not currently a factor.
Route reliability
July 2023 – July 2026
Better than 19% of comparable major US routes (4,598 compared)
Calculated from 6,219 flights. How this is calculated · What counts as on time
RSW → EWR arrives on time 79.1% of the time; the return trip, EWR → RSW, arrives on time 77.7% of the time.
RSW → EWR spends 26.9 minutes on the ground on a 1,068-mile trip: 17.2 minutes from pushback to wheels-up at RSW and 9.6 minutes from touchdown to gate at EWR.
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Data covering July 2023 – July 2026
What stands out
This route's worst arrivals run unusually far past its typical one, a bigger gap than 93% of 4,598 comparable routes.
A typical arrival is 11 min early, but the worst tenth run 74 minutes worse than that.
Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · July 2023 – July 2026 · Ranked against every other route with the same kind of figure and at least 4,598 in the comparison.
What sets this route apart
Where RSW to EWR differs most from similar routes by hour, weekday, month and airline, July 2023 – July 2026.
RSW to EWR is at its best against routes of similar length for flights scheduled at 8 PM: 80.0% arrive on time, 14.5 points ahead of the 65.5% those routes manage at that hour. Against all other routes the gap is 12.6 points.
RSW to EWR struggles most at 5 PM: 57.3% of its flights scheduled then arrive on time, 10.3 points behind the 67.6% on routes of similar length at the same hour. Against all other routes the gap is 12.5 points.
RSW to EWR holds up on Tuesdays better than routes of similar length do: 84.5% on time to their 80.5%, a 4 points lead. Against all other routes the gap is 2.9 points.
June is kinder to RSW to EWR than to routes of similar length: 77.2% on time against 71.6%, 5.6 points better.
JetBlue’s flights on RSW to EWR arrive on time 66.4% of the time, 3.9 points below the 70.3% it manages on its routes of similar length. Against all other routes the gap is 5.8 points.
RSW to EWR against comparable routes
July 2023 – July 2026| Measure | This route | Compared with | Them | Gap | Flights behind it |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hour: 8 PM departures | 80.0% | routes of similar length | 65.5% | +14.5 pts | 280 here, 138,620 there |
| Hour: 5 PM departures | 57.3% | routes of similar length | 67.6% | −10.3 pts | 356 here, 175,043 there |
| Weekday: Tuesday | 84.5% | routes of similar length | 80.5% | +4.0 pts | 850 here, 390,129 there |
| Month: June | 77.2% | routes of similar length | 71.6% | +5.6 pts | 320 here, 230,573 there |
| Airline: JetBlue | 66.4% | routes of similar length | 70.3% | −3.9 pts | 1,023 here, 160,767 there |
Each comparison pools the flights of other routes, with this route’s own left out. Similar length means within 15% of this route’s 1,068 miles, with at least 5 such routes. A bucket is set against the most comparable group that has enough flights: similar length, then the same origin (at least 3 routes), then all other routes. Hours, weekdays and months appear only where both sides have 120 completed flights, and airlines where both have 600. The gap must be at least 2 points and 2 standard errors, and only the largest gap each way is kept per measure. These are differences in the flights counted, not causes.
Why RSW → EWR flights are cancelled
July 2023 – July 2026
RSW → EWR cancelled 157 of 6,219 scheduled flights — about 1 in every 40. The reason filed most often was extreme weather, 42.0% of the cancellations coded on this route — about 1 in every 94 scheduled flights.
Share of cancellations
Of 157 cancelled departures carrying a reason code.
What each reason means
Conditions the carrier judged severe enough to stop the flight: a blizzard, a hurricane, a line of thunderstorms.
66 cancellations, 42.0% of the total.
Crew, maintenance, aircraft cleaning, baggage or fueling: what BTS counts as within the carrier’s own control.
48 cancellations, 30.6% of the total.
Airport capacity, air traffic control flow programs, heavy traffic and ordinary bad weather. A system decision, not the airline’s.
43 cancellations, 27.4% of the total.
A terminal evacuation, a security breach, screening equipment failure, or screening queues over 29 minutes.
0 cancellations, 0.0% of the total.
Reason codes are the operating airline’s own filing with US DOT, not an independent finding of fault. With only one or two carriers on the route, the split mostly reflects how they file. Ordinary bad weather is filed under air traffic, so weather’s full share is larger than its bar.
157 coded cancellations were recorded on RSW → EWR; the section appears from 50.
When it goes wrong
July 2023 – July 2026
63 min late
against a median of 11 min early
RSW → EWR has an average that understates its risk: a typical arrival is 11 min early, but the worst tenth are 74 minutes worse than that. If the trip has something unmissable at the end of it, the median is the wrong number to plan against.
Percentiles over 6,219 operations; cancelled and diverted flights are counted separately.
Will your connection be tight enough?
Layovers at EWR after arriving from RSW.
| Connection time | Chance of missing | Reads as |
|---|---|---|
| 30 min | 31% | Likely to miss |
| 45 min | 20% | High risk |
| 60 min | 16% | High risk |
| 90 min | 10% | Some risk |
| 120 min | 7.2% | Some risk |
This is one leg of a connection. Gate changes and the next flight's own schedule matter too. And a connection can fail before delay is even the question — this route cancels 2.52% of the time and diverts 0.53% of the time, which a late arrival never shows up in.
Chance of missing is the share of 6,029 arrivals on this route that landed later than the connection time less 30 minutes to reach the next gate.
The worst tenth of arrivals on this route land at least 63 minutes late (90th-percentile gate arrival delay), over 6,219 operations.
Any other layover length: connection checker.
Best time to fly
RSW → EWR flights departing 5–9 AM arrived on time 94.7% of the time, against 64.7% for 3–6 PM departures, a gap of 30.0 percentage points.
By departure window
By departure hour
- 12 AM to 5 AM: too few flights to score
- 6 AM: 94.2% on time from 698 flights
- 7 AM: 95.4% on time from 614 flights
- 8 AM: 94.4% on time from 276 flights
- 9 AM: 92.2% on time from 283 flights
- 10 AM: 82.2% on time from 129 flights
- 11 AM: 84.8% on time from 645 flights
- 12 PM: 74.7% on time from 686 flights
- 1 PM: 66.1% on time from 362 flights
- 2 PM: 74.5% on time from 237 flights
- 3 PM: 70.8% on time from 468 flights
- 4 PM: 63.8% on time from 247 flights
- 5 PM: 57.3% on time from 377 flights
- 6 PM: 64.9% on time from 491 flights
- 7 PM: 74.2% on time from 372 flights
- 8 PM: 80.0% on time from 293 flights
- 9 PM to 11 PM: too few flights to score
Departure windows with fewer than 120 flights are not scored.
Why RSW → EWR runs late
July 2023 – July 2026
airspace and airport capacity, including weather-driven flow control
the inbound aircraft was late, so this flight started late
crew, maintenance, boarding and fueling, all within the carrier’s control
weather severe enough to stop this flight specifically
screening or terminal security incidents
Share of the delay minutes US DOT attributed to each cause for RSW → EWR. Only delays of 15 minutes or more are attributed. What the five causes mean
Airlines on this route
Carriers with at least 200 flights, by the airline that operated each one.
| Carrier | Flights | On time | Cancelled | Median delay | Severe |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United Airlines | 5,125 | 81.8% | 2.32% | -12 min | 8.9% |
| JetBlue | 1,073 | 66.4% | 3.36% | -1 min | 17.6% |
United Airlines flew 82.7% of the 6,198 flights listed. JetBlue cancelled 3.36% of its flights here against 2.32% for United Airlines.
United Airlines arrived on time 15.4 percentage points more often than JetBlue on this route.
Weekly and seasonal patterns
By day of week
Tuesday is historically the most reliable day and Sunday the least, a gap of 9.7 percentage points.
By month
- Jan: 82.5%
- Feb: 83.9%
- Mar: 76.3%
- Apr: 83.2%
- May: 74.5%
- Jun: 77.2%
- Jul: 66.1%
- Aug: 76.0%
- Sep: 84.3%
- Oct: 82.6%
- Nov: 81.7%
- Dec: 78.1%
July is historically the weakest month and September the strongest, a spread of 18.2 percentage points.
Reliability over time
July 2023 – July 2026
- July 2023: 60.0% from 155 flights
- August 2023: 77.3% from 131 flights
- September 2023: 74.6% from 123 flights
- October 2023: 90.5% from 189 flights
- November 2023: 93.8% from 160 flights
- December 2023: 85.9% from 207 flights
- January 2024: 80.4% from 213 flights
- February 2024: 88.7% from 198 flights
- March 2024: 78.4% from 191 flights
- April 2024: 88.3% from 202 flights
- May 2024: 75.7% from 182 flights
- June 2024: too few flights to score (115)
- July 2024: too few flights to score (119)
- August 2024: 75.2% from 121 flights
- September 2024: 93.9% from 120 flights
- October 2024: 91.8% from 133 flights
- November 2024: 75.4% from 183 flights
- December 2024: 67.9% from 221 flights
- January 2025: 83.0% from 227 flights
- February 2025: 84.4% from 206 flights
- March 2025: 73.7% from 214 flights
- April 2025: 73.2% from 225 flights
- May 2025: 57.3% from 161 flights
- June 2025: too few flights to score (114)
- July 2025: 72.3% from 123 flights
- August 2025: 75.4% from 124 flights
- September 2025: too few flights to score (117)
- October 2025: 66.5% from 162 flights
- November 2025: 77.8% from 206 flights
- December 2025: 81.5% from 205 flights
- January 2026: 84.0% from 181 flights
- February 2026: 78.0% from 184 flights
- March 2026: 77.0% from 229 flights
- April 2026: 89.0% from 210 flights
- May 2026: 87.9% from 176 flights
- June 2026: too few flights to score (100)
- July 2026: too few flights to score (92)
Over the most recent 12 months (2025-08 to 2026-07), on-time arrivals averaged 79.6% against 76.7% in the 12 months before — improving by 2.9 percentage points.
Data and methodology
Calculated by FlyerIntel from 6,219 RSW → EWR flight records from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, covering July 2023 – July 2026. Late means 15 or more minutes past scheduled arrival; cancelled and diverted flights are left out of on-time rates.
Full methodology · Data sources · Report a problem
Related research: How Long a Layover Needs to Be · Two Airlines on One Route · Best Time of Day to Fly From Major US Airports
Analysis last recomputed