Route profile
PDX→MSP
Flight reliability, delays and best times to fly from Portland to Minneapolis, 1,426 miles.
Right now
Aviation weather is not currently a factor.
Aviation weather is not currently a factor.
Route reliability
July 2023 – July 2026
Better than 99% of comparable major US routes (4,598 compared)
Calculated from 4,215 flights. How this is calculated
PDX → MSP arrives on time 91.4% of the time; the return trip, MSP → PDX, arrives on time 84.2% of the time, a 7.2-point gap between the two directions of the same city pair.
PDX → MSP spends 20.6 minutes on the ground on a 1,426-mile trip: 13.7 minutes from pushback to wheels-up at PDX and 6.9 minutes from touchdown to gate at MSP.
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Data covering July 2023 – July 2026
What stands out
Every airline on this route performs about the same, a narrower carrier gap than 98% of 2,692 comparable routes.
Delta Air Lines (91.4% on time) and Alaska Airlines (91.1%) are close together here.
Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · July 2023 – July 2026 · Ranked against every other route with the same kind of figure and at least 2,692 in the comparison.
When it goes wrong
July 2023 – July 2026
12 min late
against a median of 11 min early
Percentiles over 4,215 operations; cancelled and diverted flights are counted separately.
Will your connection be tight enough?
Layovers at MSP after arriving from PDX.
| Connection time | Chance of missing | Reads as |
|---|---|---|
| 30 min | 21% | High risk |
| 45 min | 8.3% | Some risk |
| 60 min | 4.8% | Low risk |
| 90 min | 2.3% | Low risk |
| 120 min | 1.5% | Low risk |
This is one leg of a connection. Gate changes and the next flight's own schedule matter too. And a connection can fail before delay is even the question — this route cancels 0.47% of the time and diverts 0.14% of the time, which a late arrival never shows up in.
Chance of missing is the share of 4,189 arrivals on this route that landed later than the connection time less 30 minutes to reach the next gate.
The worst tenth of arrivals on this route land at least 12 minutes late (90th-percentile gate arrival delay), over 4,215 operations.
Any other layover length: connection checker.
Best time to fly
PDX → MSP flights departing 5–9 AM arrived on time 95.2% of the time, against 85.7% for 3–6 PM departures, a gap of 9.5 percentage points.
By departure window
By departure hour
- 12 AM: 91.5% on time from 780 flights
- 1 AM to 5 AM: too few flights to score
- 6 AM: 95.7% on time from 1,121 flights
- 7 AM to 9 AM: too few flights to score
- 10 AM: 92.4% on time from 132 flights
- 11 AM: 88.8% on time from 506 flights
- 12 PM: 94.0% on time from 254 flights
- 1 PM: 89.1% on time from 837 flights
- 2 PM: 88.9% on time from 219 flights
- 3 PM to 4 PM: too few flights to score
- 5 PM: 75.8% on time from 125 flights
- 6 PM to 11 PM: too few flights to score
Why PDX → MSP runs late
July 2023 – July 2026
crew, maintenance, boarding and fueling, all within the carrier’s control
the inbound aircraft was late, so this flight started late
airspace and airport capacity, including weather-driven flow control
screening or terminal security incidents
weather severe enough to stop this flight specifically
Share of the delay minutes US DOT attributed to each cause for PDX → MSP. Only delays of 15 minutes or more are attributed.
Airlines on this route
Carriers with at least 200 flights, by the airline that operated each one.
| Carrier | Flights | On time | Cancelled | Median delay | Severe |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delta Air Lines | 4,001 | 91.4% | 0.50% | -11 min | 2.5% |
| Alaska Airlines | 214 | 91.1% | 0.00% | -10 min | 0.5% |
Delta Air Lines flew 94.9% of the 4,215 flights listed.
Carriers on this route performed within a couple of percentage points of each other.
Flights on this route
Flight numbers with at least 600 operations here and still on the schedule.
| Flight | Scheduled | Operations | On time |
|---|---|---|---|
| DL2369 Delta Air Lines | 6:00 AM | 779 | 96.3% |
Weekly and seasonal patterns
By day of week
Saturday is historically the most reliable day and Monday the least, a gap of 3.3 percentage points.
By month
- Jan: 92.0%
- Feb: 93.4%
- Mar: 94.2%
- Apr: 96.3%
- May: 92.7%
- Jun: 86.6%
- Jul: 83.1%
- Aug: 91.1%
- Sep: 96.0%
- Oct: 97.9%
- Nov: 94.6%
- Dec: 88.0%
July is historically the weakest month and October the strongest, a spread of 14.8 percentage points.
Reliability over time
July 2023 – July 2026
- July 2023: 89.9% from 139 flights
- August 2023: 97.8% from 137 flights
- September 2023: too few flights to score (109)
- October 2023: too few flights to score (109)
- November 2023: too few flights to score (102)
- December 2023: too few flights to score (93)
- January 2024: too few flights to score (70)
- February 2024: too few flights to score (65)
- March 2024: too few flights to score (87)
- April 2024: too few flights to score (89)
- May 2024: too few flights to score (116)
- June 2024: 81.5% from 135 flights
- July 2024: 74.0% from 140 flights
- August 2024: 83.7% from 130 flights
- September 2024: too few flights to score (110)
- October 2024: too few flights to score (116)
- November 2024: too few flights to score (105)
- December 2024: too few flights to score (97)
- January 2025: too few flights to score (74)
- February 2025: too few flights to score (69)
- March 2025: too few flights to score (92)
- April 2025: too few flights to score (90)
- May 2025: too few flights to score (110)
- June 2025: 91.3% from 138 flights
- July 2025: 77.9% from 150 flights
- August 2025: 91.4% from 139 flights
- September 2025: 94.5% from 127 flights
- October 2025: 97.3% from 151 flights
- November 2025: 93.0% from 142 flights
- December 2025: 78.2% from 120 flights
- January 2026: too few flights to score (83)
- February 2026: too few flights to score (78)
- March 2026: too few flights to score (101)
- April 2026: too few flights to score (117)
- May 2026: 95.1% from 142 flights
- June 2026: 87.0% from 163 flights
- July 2026: 88.8% from 180 flights
Over the most recent 12 months (2025-08 to 2026-07), on-time arrivals averaged 91.9% against 91.5% in the 12 months before — broadly unchanged.
Data and methodology
Calculated by FlyerIntel from 4,215 PDX → MSP flight records from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, covering July 2023 – July 2026. Late means 15 or more minutes past scheduled arrival; cancelled and diverted flights are left out of on-time rates.
Full methodology · Data sources · Report a problem
Related research: How Long a Layover Needs to Be · Two Airlines on One Route · Best Time of Day to Fly From Major US Airports
Analysis last recomputed