Route profile
MEM→EWR
Flight reliability, delays and best times to fly from Memphis to Newark, 946 miles.
Right now
Aviation weather is not currently a factor.
Aviation weather is not currently a factor.
Route reliability
July 2023 – July 2026
Better than 14% of comparable major US routes (4,598 compared)
Calculated from 1,413 flights. How this is calculated · What counts as on time
MEM → EWR arrives on time 80.5% of the time; the return trip, EWR → MEM, arrives on time 77.3% of the time, a 3.3-point gap between the two directions of the same city pair.
MEM → EWR spends 28.7 minutes on the ground on a 946-mile trip: 17.0 minutes from pushback to wheels-up at MEM and 11.7 minutes from touchdown to gate at EWR.
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Data covering July 2023 – July 2026
What stands out
On-time performance swings unusually widely by time of day here, wider than 93% of 4,023 comparable routes.
91.1% on time for 5–9 AM departures, against 59.3% for 3–6 PM.
Source: FlyerIntel analysis of US DOT BTS data · July 2023 – July 2026 · Ranked against every other route with the same kind of figure and at least 4,023 in the comparison.
What sets this route apart
Where MEM to EWR differs most from similar routes by hour, weekday, month and airline, July 2023 – July 2026.
MEM to EWR struggles most at 3 PM: 56.3% of its flights scheduled then arrive on time, 14.3 points behind the 70.6% on routes of similar length at the same hour. Against all other routes the gap is 16.4 points.
MEM to EWR holds up on Saturdays better than routes of similar length do: 85.9% on time to their 77.9%, a 8 points lead.
May is kinder to MEM to EWR than to routes of similar length: 86.3% on time against 74.5%, 11.8 points better. Against all other routes the gap is 11.1 points.
Republic Airways’ flights on MEM to EWR arrive on time 79.6% of the time, 2.8 points below the 82.4% it manages on its routes of similar length. Against all other routes the gap is 2.5 points.
MEM to EWR against comparable routes
July 2023 – July 2026| Measure | This route | Compared with | Them | Gap | Flights behind it |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hour: 3 PM departures | 56.3% | routes of similar length | 70.6% | −14.3 pts | 167 here, 177,419 there |
| Weekday: Saturday | 85.9% | routes of similar length | 77.9% | +8.0 pts | 135 here, 396,013 there |
| Month: May | 86.3% | routes of similar length | 74.5% | +11.8 pts | 139 here, 248,279 there |
| Airline: Republic Airways | 79.6% | routes of similar length | 82.4% | −2.8 pts | 1,095 here, 66,404 there |
Each comparison pools the flights of other routes, with this route’s own left out. Similar length means within 15% of this route’s 946 miles, with at least 5 such routes. A bucket is set against the most comparable group that has enough flights: similar length, then the same origin (at least 3 routes), then all other routes. Hours, weekdays and months appear only where both sides have 120 completed flights, and airlines where both have 600. The gap must be at least 2 points and 2 standard errors, and only the largest gap each way is kept per measure. These are differences in the flights counted, not causes.
Why MEM → EWR flights are cancelled
July 2023 – July 2026
MEM → EWR cancelled 57 of 1,413 scheduled flights — about 1 in every 25. The reason filed most often was extreme weather, 52.6% of the cancellations coded on this route — about 1 in every 47 scheduled flights.
Share of cancellations
Of 57 cancelled departures carrying a reason code.
What each reason means
Conditions the carrier judged severe enough to stop the flight: a blizzard, a hurricane, a line of thunderstorms.
30 cancellations, 52.6% of the total.
Airport capacity, air traffic control flow programs, heavy traffic and ordinary bad weather. A system decision, not the airline’s.
24 cancellations, 42.1% of the total.
Crew, maintenance, aircraft cleaning, baggage or fueling: what BTS counts as within the carrier’s own control.
3 cancellations, 5.3% of the total.
A terminal evacuation, a security breach, screening equipment failure, or screening queues over 29 minutes.
0 cancellations, 0.0% of the total.
Reason codes are the operating airline’s own filing with US DOT, not an independent finding of fault. With only one or two carriers on the route, the split mostly reflects how they file. Ordinary bad weather is filed under air traffic, so weather’s full share is larger than its bar.
57 coded cancellations were recorded on MEM → EWR; the section appears from 50.
When it goes wrong
July 2023 – July 2026
53 min late
against a median of 14 min early
MEM → EWR has an average that understates its risk: a typical arrival is 14 min early, but the worst tenth are 67 minutes worse than that. If the trip has something unmissable at the end of it, the median is the wrong number to plan against.
Percentiles over 1,413 operations; cancelled and diverted flights are counted separately.
Will your connection be tight enough?
Layovers at EWR after arriving from MEM.
| Connection time | Chance of missing | Reads as |
|---|---|---|
| 30 min | 27% | High risk |
| 45 min | 19% | High risk |
| 60 min | 15% | Some risk |
| 90 min | 9.1% | Some risk |
| 120 min | 6.6% | Some risk |
This is one leg of a connection. Gate changes and the next flight's own schedule matter too. And a connection can fail before delay is even the question — this route cancels 4.03% of the time and diverts 0.42% of the time, which a late arrival never shows up in.
Chance of missing is the share of 1,350 arrivals on this route that landed later than the connection time less 30 minutes to reach the next gate.
The worst tenth of arrivals on this route land at least 53 minutes late (90th-percentile gate arrival delay), over 1,413 operations.
Any other layover length: connection checker.
Best time to fly
MEM → EWR flights departing 5–9 AM arrived on time 91.1% of the time, against 59.3% for 3–6 PM departures, a gap of 31.8 percentage points.
By departure window
By departure hour
- 12 AM to 5 AM: too few flights to score
- 6 AM: 91.1% on time from 769 flights
- 7 AM to 2 PM: too few flights to score
- 3 PM: 56.3% on time from 187 flights
- 4 PM: 61.5% on time from 250 flights
- 5 PM to 11 PM: too few flights to score
Departure windows with fewer than 120 flights are not scored.
Why MEM → EWR runs late
July 2023 – July 2026
airspace and airport capacity, including weather-driven flow control
crew, maintenance, boarding and fueling, all within the carrier’s control
the inbound aircraft was late, so this flight started late
weather severe enough to stop this flight specifically
Share of the delay minutes US DOT attributed to each cause for MEM → EWR. Only delays of 15 minutes or more are attributed. What the five causes mean
Airlines on this route
Carriers with at least 200 flights, by the airline that operated each one.
| Carrier | Flights | On time | Cancelled | Median delay | Severe |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republic Airways | 1,145 | 79.6% | 3.93% | -14 min | 9.6% |
| United Airlines | 268 | 84.3% | 4.48% | -13 min | 7.1% |
Republic Airways flew 81.0% of the 1,413 flights listed.
United Airlines arrived on time 4.7 percentage points more often than Republic Airways on this route.
Weekly and seasonal patterns
By day of week
Saturday is historically the most reliable day and Friday the least, a gap of 9.9 percentage points.
Reliability over time
July 2023 – July 2026
Over the most recent 12 months (2025-05 to 2026-07), on-time arrivals averaged 79.9% against 81.1% in the 12 months before — broadly unchanged.
Data and methodology
Calculated by FlyerIntel from 1,413 MEM → EWR flight records from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, covering July 2023 – July 2026. Late means 15 or more minutes past scheduled arrival; cancelled and diverted flights are left out of on-time rates.
Full methodology · Data sources · Report a problem
Related research: How Long a Layover Needs to Be · Two Airlines on One Route · Best Time of Day to Fly From Major US Airports
Analysis last recomputed