Holiday travel

Holiday travel at TUS

Tucson International Airport, Tucson, AZ. July 2023 – July 2026. Set against TUS’s own ordinary days of the same weekday in the weeks around each holiday.

History, not a forecast. This shows what happened in past holiday windows. It cannot say what this year will bring, and each holiday appears only a few times in the data, so one bad storm can decide a whole year. Check your airline for your own flight.

The five holidays at TUS

At TUS, Memorial Day ran furthest below ordinary days (−1.6 points) and July 4 furthest above (+5.8 points).

Each row pools every year of that holiday’s window at TUS and sets it against TUS’s own ordinary days of the same weekdays in the weeks around it. Open a holiday for its day-by-day figures.

The five holidays at TUS against its ordinary days
HolidayOn timeGap from usual, pointsCancelledWorst dayBest dayAll airports, gap
Thanksgiving3 times in the data88.5%usual 86.1%+2.4betteryears: 1 better, 2 about the same0.49%usual 0.79%Sunday after (years pooled)Friday after (years pooled)−2.1worse
Christmas to New Year’s3 times in the data84.7%usual 85.6%−0.9about the sameyears: 1 better, 2 worse0.84%usual 0.81%December 28 (years pooled)December 30 (years pooled)−3.2worse
July 44 times in the data85.8%usual 80.0%+5.8betteryears: 3 better, 1 about the same0.48%usual 0.90%July 1 (years pooled)July 4 (years pooled)+5.2better
Memorial Day3 times in the data78.3%usual 79.9%−1.6about the sameyears: 1 better, 2 about the same0.91%usual 0.98%Memorial Day (years pooled)Sunday before (years pooled)−0.3about the same
Labor Day3 times in the data87.1%usual 85.3%+1.8about the sameyears: 2 about the same1.06%usual 0.43%Labor Day (years pooled)Sunday before (years pooled)+4.2better

A dash means fewer than 120 flights stood behind the figure, or behind the ordinary days it would be compared with: too few to print a rate, and nothing is estimated in its place. “Usual” is what ordinary days of the same weekday had at the same place in the weeks around the holiday, weighted by the flights being compared.