Holiday travel

Holiday travel at TPA

Tampa International Airport, Tampa, FL. July 2023 – July 2026. Set against TPA’s own ordinary days of the same weekday in the weeks around each holiday.

History, not a forecast. This shows what happened in past holiday windows. It cannot say what this year will bring, and each holiday appears only a few times in the data, so one bad storm can decide a whole year. Check your airline for your own flight.

The five holidays at TPA

At TPA, Christmas to New Year’s ran furthest below ordinary days (−7.5 points) and Labor Day furthest above (+5.0 points).

Each row pools every year of that holiday’s window at TPA and sets it against TPA’s own ordinary days of the same weekdays in the weeks around it. Open a holiday for its day-by-day figures.

The five holidays at TPA against its ordinary days
HolidayOn timeGap from usual, pointsCancelledWorst dayBest dayAll airports, gap
Thanksgiving3 times in the data80.5%usual 83.7%−3.2worseyears: 1 about the same, 2 worse0.76%usual 0.75%Sunday after (three of three)Thanksgiving Day (two of three)−2.1worse
Christmas to New Year’s3 times in the data74.2%usual 81.7%−7.5worseyears: 1 about the same, 2 worse1.15%usual 1.36%Moved each yearDecember 24 (two of three)−3.2worse
July 44 times in the data74.6%usual 70.1%+4.5betteryears: 3 better, 1 worse1.02%usual 1.76%July 2 (two of four)July 4 (two of four)+5.2better
Memorial Day3 times in the data76.9%usual 74.7%+2.2betteryears: 1 better, 2 about the same0.47%usual 0.81%Memorial Day (two of three)Moved each year−0.3about the same
Labor Day3 times in the data85.6%usual 80.6%+5.0betteryears: 1 better, 2 about the same0.67%usual 1.51%Sunday before (two of three)Moved each year+4.2better

A dash means fewer than 120 flights stood behind the figure, or behind the ordinary days it would be compared with: too few to print a rate, and nothing is estimated in its place. “Usual” is what ordinary days of the same weekday had at the same place in the weeks around the holiday, weighted by the flights being compared.