Holiday travel

Holiday travel at SNA

John Wayne Airport, Santa Ana, CA. July 2023 – July 2026. Set against SNA’s own ordinary days of the same weekday in the weeks around each holiday.

History, not a forecast. This shows what happened in past holiday windows. It cannot say what this year will bring, and each holiday appears only a few times in the data, so one bad storm can decide a whole year. Check your airline for your own flight.

The five holidays at SNA

At SNA, Christmas to New Year’s ran furthest below ordinary days (−1.9 points) and July 4 furthest above (+5.8 points).

Each row pools every year of that holiday’s window at SNA and sets it against SNA’s own ordinary days of the same weekdays in the weeks around it. Open a holiday for its day-by-day figures.

The five holidays at SNA against its ordinary days
HolidayOn timeGap from usual, pointsCancelledWorst dayBest dayAll airports, gap
Thanksgiving3 times in the data84.7%usual 83.7%+1.0about the sameyears: 1 better, 1 about the same, 1 worse0.58%usual 0.78%Sunday after (three of three)Friday after (two of three)−2.1worse
Christmas to New Year’s3 times in the data82.1%usual 84.0%−1.9worseyears: 1 better, 2 worse1.37%usual 1.02%Moved each yearMoved each year−3.2worse
July 44 times in the data83.2%usual 77.4%+5.8betteryears: 4 better0.89%usual 1.41%July 5 (two of three)July 3 (three of three)+5.2better
Memorial Day3 times in the data84.1%usual 79.0%+5.1betteryears: 2 better, 1 about the same0.56%usual 0.96%Memorial Day (two of two)Sunday before (two of two)−0.3about the same
Labor Day3 times in the data85.9%usual 82.3%+3.6betteryears: 2 better, 1 about the same1.06%usual 1.58%Labor Day (years pooled)Sunday before (years pooled)+4.2better

A dash means fewer than 120 flights stood behind the figure, or behind the ordinary days it would be compared with: too few to print a rate, and nothing is estimated in its place. “Usual” is what ordinary days of the same weekday had at the same place in the weeks around the holiday, weighted by the flights being compared.