Holiday travel

Holiday travel at SEA

Seattle-Tacoma International Airport, Seattle, WA. July 2023 – July 2026. Set against SEA’s own ordinary days of the same weekday in the weeks around each holiday.

History, not a forecast. This shows what happened in past holiday windows. It cannot say what this year will bring, and each holiday appears only a few times in the data, so one bad storm can decide a whole year. Check your airline for your own flight.

The five holidays at SEA

At SEA every holiday with a figure ran at or above ordinary days; Labor Day did best (+8.0 points) and Christmas to New Year’s came closest to usual (+0.9).

Each row pools every year of that holiday’s window at SEA and sets it against SEA’s own ordinary days of the same weekdays in the weeks around it. Open a holiday for its day-by-day figures.

The five holidays at SEA against its ordinary days
HolidayOn timeGap from usual, pointsCancelledWorst dayBest dayAll airports, gap
Thanksgiving3 times in the data84.8%usual 82.4%+2.4betteryears: 2 better, 1 about the same0.45%usual 0.66%Sunday after (three of three)Thanksgiving Day (three of three)−2.1worse
Christmas to New Year’s3 times in the data79.7%usual 78.8%+0.9about the sameyears: 2 better, 1 worse0.75%usual 2.12%Moved each yearMoved each year−3.2worse
July 44 times in the data80.3%usual 73.1%+7.2betteryears: 4 better0.24%usual 0.90%July 5 (two of four)July 4 (three of four)+5.2better
Memorial Day3 times in the data83.2%usual 76.1%+7.1betteryears: 3 better0.28%usual 0.47%Memorial Day (two of three)Sunday before (two of three)−0.3about the same
Labor Day3 times in the data84.7%usual 76.7%+8.0betteryears: 3 better0.21%usual 0.45%Saturday before (two of three)Moved each year+4.2better

A dash means fewer than 120 flights stood behind the figure, or behind the ordinary days it would be compared with: too few to print a rate, and nothing is estimated in its place. “Usual” is what ordinary days of the same weekday had at the same place in the weeks around the holiday, weighted by the flights being compared.