Holiday travel
Thanksgiving at RSW
Southwest Florida International Airport, Fort Myers, FL. July 2023 – July 2026. Set against RSW’s own ordinary days of the same weekday in the weeks around each holiday.
The window, year by year
The window runs the Wednesday before through the Sunday after, around Thanksgiving Day (the fourth Thursday of November). In the data: Nov 22–26, 2023; Nov 27 – Dec 1, 2024; Nov 26–30, 2025. Three windows are in the data: enough to see whether a day repeats, not enough to call it a rule.
Compared with ordinary days, Thanksgiving flights were about the same in one and worse in two of the three years. The gap ran from 12.3 points below usual in 2025 to 2.4 points below usual in 2024.
1.10% of scheduled departures were cancelled across the Thanksgiving windows, against 0.69% on ordinary days of the same weekdays. It was higher in one of the three years.
| Year | Departures | On time | Usual | Gap, points | Cancelled | Usual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023Nov 22–26, 2023 | 512 | 80.4% | 84.1% | −3.7worse | 0.59% | 0.69% |
| 2024Nov 27 – Dec 1, 2024 | 515 | 81.8% | 84.2% | −2.4about the same | 0.39% | 0.68% |
| 2025Nov 26–30, 2025 | 524 | 71.9% | 84.2% | −12.3worse | 2.29% | 0.69% |
| All years3 windows | 1,551 | 78.0% | 84.2% | −6.2worse | 1.10% | 0.69% |
Day by day
The Sunday after Thanksgiving was the worst day of the window in the year measured. Over the years it ran 54.2% on time, 24.8 points below an ordinary Sunday.
The Wednesday before Thanksgiving was the best day of the window in the year measured. Over the years it ran 84.3% on time, still 3.3 points below an ordinary Wednesday.
Thanksgiving Day itself carried 36% fewer departures than an ordinary Thursday and ran 93.3% on time.
- Better than usual
- Worse than usual
- About the same
- What ordinary days of the same weekday had
- Lowest to highest single year
- Lighter bars: days just outside the window
Bars show the on-time arrival rate and start at 50%, not zero.
| Day | Departures against an ordinary day | On time | Usual | Gap, points | Cancelled | Each year: 2023, 2024, 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday beforeoutside the window | 5% more | 89.5% | 84.2% | +5.3better | 0.31% | — · — · — |
| Tuesday beforeoutside the window | 21% more | 84.6% | 87.8% | −3.2about the same | 0.00% | — · — · — |
| Wednesday before | 25% more | 84.3% | 87.6% | −3.3about the same | 0.29% | — · — · 85.4 |
| Thanksgiving Day | 36% fewer | 93.3% | 82.6% | +10.7better | 0.00% | — · — · — |
| Friday after | about the same | 87.7% | 84.7% | +3.0about the same | 0.00% | — · — · — |
| Saturday after | 20% more | 78.5% | 86.4% | −7.9worse | 1.71% | — · — · — |
| Sunday after | 12% more | 54.2% | 79.0% | −24.8worse | 2.80% | — · — · 37.9 |
| Monday afteroutside the window | 12% more | 80.7% | 84.2% | −3.5about the same | 0.29% | — · — · 74.2 |
| Tuesday afteroutside the window | about the same | 78.8% | 87.8% | −9.0worse | 0.00% | — · — · — |
A dash means fewer than 120 flights stood behind the figure, or behind the ordinary days it would be compared with: too few to print a rate, and nothing is estimated in its place. “Usual” is what ordinary days of the same weekday had at the same place in the weeks around the holiday, weighted by the flights being compared.
Which departure times held up
The busiest days at RSW were Saturday, Nov 25, 2023 (116 departures), Sunday, Nov 26, 2023 (119 departures), Saturday, Nov 30, 2024 (119 departures), Sunday, Dec 1, 2024 (116 departures), Wednesday, Nov 26, 2025 (123 departures), and Sunday, Nov 30, 2025 (122 departures).
Across the whole window, flights leaving 5–9 AM had the highest on-time rate: 93.8%, still 1.2 points below usual for that time of day. Those leaving 6–9 PM had the lowest: 66.5%, 11.8 points below usual for that time of day.
The holiday cost flights leaving 6–9 PM the most (11.8 points below usual for that time of day) and those leaving 9 AM–12 PM the least (0.8 points below).
On each year’s two busiest days, flights leaving 5–9 AM had the highest on-time rate: 94.4%, about level with usual for that time of day. Those leaving 3–6 PM had the lowest: 51.1%, 24.5 points below usual for that time of day.
Against usual for their time of day, flights leaving 5–9 AM did best (+0.8 points) and those leaving 3–6 PM did worst (−24.5 points).
| Leaving | On time, whole window | Usual | Gap, points | On time, busiest days | Usual | Gap, points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5–9 AM | 93.8% | 95.0% | −1.2about the same | 94.4% | 93.6% | +0.8about the same |
| 9 AM–12 PM | 85.1% | 85.9% | −0.8about the same | 83.9% | 85.8% | −1.9about the same |
| 12–3 PM | 75.0% | 82.7% | −7.7worse | 60.0% | 81.0% | −21.0worse |
| 3–6 PM | 67.9% | 77.7% | −9.8worse | 51.1% | 75.6% | −24.5worse |
| 6–9 PM | 66.5% | 78.3% | −11.8worse | 62.8% | 77.6% | −14.8worse |
| 9 PM–5 AM | — | — | — | — | — | — |
RSW beside every covered airport
Storms and outages move whole regions at once. This puts RSW’s year beside the year of all covered airports together, each against its own usual, to show whether RSW did better or worse than the network.
| Year | RSW on time | RSW, gap from usual | All airports on time | All airports, gap from usual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023Nov 22–26, 2023 | 80.4% | −3.7 | 83.7% | +1.9 |
| 2024Nov 27 – Dec 1, 2024 | 81.8% | −2.4 | 82.6% | +0.8 |
| 2025Nov 26–30, 2025 | 71.9% | −12.3 | 72.8% | −9.0 |
For every holiday at once, see the five holidays at RSW, or the network view.