Holiday travel

Labor Day at PHX

Phoenix Sky Harbor International Airport, Phoenix, AZ. July 2023 – July 2026. Set against PHX’s own ordinary days of the same weekday in the weeks around each holiday.

History, not a forecast. This shows what happened in past holiday windows. It cannot say what this year will bring, and each holiday appears only a few times in the data, so one bad storm can decide a whole year. Check your airline for your own flight.

The window, year by year

The window runs the Saturday through the Monday, around Labor Day (the first Monday of September). In the data: Sep 2–4, 2023; Aug 31 – Sep 2, 2024; Aug 30 – Sep 1, 2025. Three windows are in the data: enough to see whether a day repeats, not enough to call it a rule.

Compared with ordinary days, Labor Day flights were better in one, about the same in one, and worse in one of the three years. The gap ran from 2.8 points below usual in 2025 to 7.6 points above usual in 2023.

0.28% of scheduled departures were cancelled across the Labor Day windows, against 0.63% on ordinary days of the same weekdays. It was lower in two of the three years.

Labor Day, the whole window in each year against ordinary days
YearDeparturesOn timeUsualGap, pointsCancelledUsual
2023Sep 2–4, 20231,26490.4%82.8%+7.6better0.16%0.62%
2024Aug 31 – Sep 2, 20241,37883.4%82.8%+0.6about the same0.22%0.63%
2025Aug 30 – Sep 1, 20251,29679.9%82.7%−2.8worse0.46%0.63%
All years3 windows3,93884.5%82.8%+1.7better0.28%0.63%

Day by day

The Saturday before Labor Day was the worst day of the window in two of the three years. Over the years it ran 85.2% on time, about level with an ordinary Saturday.

No day was the best more than once: Monday, Sep 4 in 2023, Sunday, Sep 1 in 2024, and Saturday, Aug 30 in 2025.

  • Better than usual
  • Worse than usual
  • About the same
  • What ordinary days of the same weekday had
  • Lowest to highest single year
  • Lighter bars: days just outside the window

Bars show the on-time arrival rate and start at 60%, not zero. A dashed stub is a day with too few flights to print a rate.

Labor Day, every day of the window and the days around it
DayDepartures against an ordinary dayOn timeUsualGap, pointsCancelledEach year: 2023, 2024, 2025
Thursday beforeoutside the windowabout the same74.6%78.0%−3.4worse1.24%72.5 · 66.2 · 85.4
Friday beforeoutside the windowabout the same72.5%79.9%−7.4worse0.52%69.5 · 75.0 · 72.6
Saturday before6% fewer85.2%85.7%−0.5about the same0.67%86.1 · 83.0 · 86.7
Sunday before22% fewer87.0%81.0%+6.0better0.25%91.0 · 84.1 · 86.2
Labor Dayabout the same82.0%81.9%+0.1about the same0.00%93.5 · 83.1 · 70.1
Tuesday afteroutside the windowabout the same90.8%88.2%+2.6better0.08%93.8 · 90.6 · 87.7

A dash means fewer than 120 flights stood behind the figure, or behind the ordinary days it would be compared with: too few to print a rate, and nothing is estimated in its place. “Usual” is what ordinary days of the same weekday had at the same place in the weeks around the holiday, weighted by the flights being compared.

Which departure times held up

The busiest days at PHX were Saturday, Sep 2, 2023 (397 departures), Monday, Sep 4, 2023 (479 departures), Sunday, Sep 1, 2024 (422 departures), Monday, Sep 2, 2024 (542 departures), Sunday, Aug 31, 2025 (394 departures), and Monday, Sep 1, 2025 (517 departures).

Across the whole window, flights leaving 5–9 AM had the highest on-time rate: 93.2%, 2.4 points above usual for that time of day. Those leaving 6–9 PM had the lowest: 71.7%, 2.6 points below usual for that time of day.

Against usual for their time of day, flights leaving 12–3 PM did best (+4.7 points) and those leaving 6–9 PM did worst (−2.6 points).

On each year’s two busiest days, flights leaving 5–9 AM had the highest on-time rate: 93.5%, 2.6 points above usual for that time of day. Those leaving 6–9 PM had the lowest: 68.4%, 4.5 points below usual for that time of day.

Against usual for their time of day, flights leaving 12–3 PM did best (+5.3 points) and those leaving 6–9 PM did worst (−4.5 points).

Labor Day, on-time arrival by scheduled departure time
LeavingOn time, whole windowUsualGap, pointsOn time, busiest daysUsualGap, points
5–9 AM93.2%90.8%+2.4better93.5%90.9%+2.6better
9 AM–12 PM89.3%87.1%+2.2about the same89.3%86.8%+2.5about the same
12–3 PM86.7%82.0%+4.7better86.7%81.4%+5.3better
3–6 PM78.4%75.4%+3.0about the same77.9%74.7%+3.2about the same
6–9 PM71.7%74.3%−2.6about the same68.4%72.9%−4.5about the same
9 PM–5 AM82.7%82.3%+0.4about the same79.8%82.1%−2.3about the same

PHX beside every covered airport

Storms and outages move whole regions at once. This puts PHX’s year beside the year of all covered airports together, each against its own usual, to show whether PHX did better or worse than the network.

Labor Day at PHX beside all covered airports, by year
YearPHX on timePHX, gap from usualAll airports on timeAll airports, gap from usual
2023Sep 2–4, 202390.4%+7.687.4%+7.6
2024Aug 31 – Sep 2, 202483.4%+0.682.1%+2.4
2025Aug 30 – Sep 1, 202579.9%−2.882.2%+2.5

For every holiday at once, see the five holidays at PHX, or the network view.